Election Polls: Sanders has more potential to beat Trump than Clinton

[imagine2015]

Polls: Sanders has more potential to beat Trump
Recent data show Sanders has double-digit lead in support over Republican candidate while Clinton would face tight race.
By Ryan Rifai
5/15/2016


Recent polls have demonstrated that Democratic presidential candidate Bernie Sanders holds a much higher potential to defeat Donald Trump, the presumptive Republican nominee, in an election than Hillary Clinton, although the latter is the Democratic party's front-runner.

The Reuters news agency, RealClearPolitics, a US non-partisan polling data aggregator, are among the organisations that have released ratings indicating that Sanders would have the upperhand in the battle for the White House.

Clinton has so far won 1,716 delegates and Sanders has gained 1,433. Factoring in super-delegates, Clinton has 2,240 and Sanders has 1,473. But super-delegates can still switch allegiance until the July 25 Democratic convention is held.

However, RealClearPolitics showed on Tuesday that Sanders had a 13 percent advantage over Trump, while Clinton had five more points than Trump.

A Reuters/Ipsos poll released on Wednesday signalled a tight coin-toss race between Clinton and Trump, without reporting on Sanders.

In March, a Reuters poll said that Sanders would beat Trump by at least 14 percent, while reporting on the potential of a very close race between Trump and Clinton.

Dustin Woodard, an analytics expert who took a major part in the discovery of the Reuters poll trend, told Al Jazeera that a significant reason for Sanders' advantage was due to disproportional support from independent voters - a group that he says other polls failed to factor in.

"Independents are the largest voting population in the US. Gallup reports that independents are 42 percent of the voting population, while Democrats are only 29 percent and Republicans are only 26 percent".

Read the full article at:
http://www.aljazeera.com/indepth/features/2016/05/polls-sanders-potential-beat-trump-160514170035436.html

[woolldog]

1. Too bad he's never going to be the Democratic nominee.

Not that those numbers would hold up if he were. But it's academic at this point. The primary is over.

[imagine2015]

6. I missed it. When was the convention held? It should have been in the news.

[woolldog]

7. You're in denial.

Care to make a wager that Sanders will not be the nominee?

[CobaltBlue]

10. woolldog—I see that posted a lot. If that’s true, Hillary Clinton voters don’t need to post that.

[onehandle]

2. 'General election polls before and during the primary are predictive of absolutely nothing.'

Ignore hypothetical matchups in primary season – they also measure nothing. General election polls before and during the primary season have a very wide margin of error. That’s especially the case for candidates who aren’t even in the race and therefore haven’t been treated to the onslaught of skeptical media coverage usually associated with being the candidate.

http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/harrys-guide-to-2016-election-polls

[NewImproved Deal]

3. Good analysis.

Thanks...

[link:|

[Thinkingabout]

4. Problem is that he will not beat Hillary in the DNC primary, though

There are wry super delegates who have not endorsed and one of those is Sanders, I think the 156 will go to Hillary, she only needs 148.

[Txbluedog]

5. That's nice and all

But the rules are that the nominee us the one that has a majority of the delegates, nominating someone besides the person with the most delegates is UNdemocratic

[imagine2015]

8. It seems you don't understand or haven't read convention rules.

Are you claiming that the candidate who has the most pledged (elected) delegates must be nominated?

If so, that is flat out wrong. And super delegates are not required to vote for the candidate who has won the most pledged delegates or most votes in the primaries.

Super delegates are free agents and may vote for whichever candidate they think has the best chance to beat Trump in the general election.

Isn't that right?

[Jitter65]

9. Once the GOP turns their attention to Bernie it will be a blood bath. Those same white males will

chew him up and spit him out.

[LoverOfLiberty]

11. Don't matter

She's your choice other than Trump.

Real sick of this could've bee, should've been.

[Betty Karlson]

12. K&R. Ditch the candidate that relies of Debbie's favors. and go with the candidate who wins indepen-

dents by double digits!