2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumElection Forecast Summaries: 10/31 (evening)
From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.
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Votamatic: O 332 (unch)
University of Illinois U-C: O 294.4 (+2.8); p(RE)=97.9% (+3%)
Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 206, T 52 (unch)
Huffington Post: O 277, R 206, T 55 (O+15, T-15)
FiveThirtyEight: O 300.4 (+1.4); p(RE)=79.0% (+1.6%)
Princeton: O 303 (O-15); p(RE)=93%, 98.1% (-2%, -0.9%)
DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=86.69% (unch)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,428!
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)A LIST of LINKS to Twenty 2012 Presidential Electoral Vote Forecast Maps
Here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251196040
Chichiri
(4,667 posts)I appreciate your diligence toward completion, but Rasmussen?
Tx4obama
(36,974 posts)NCLefty
(3,678 posts)where everyone outside of the rw echo-chamber laughed and laughed.
But they are still at it I guess. Alrighty then!