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Chichiri

(4,667 posts)
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 02:43 AM Nov 2012

Election Forecast Summaries: 10/31 (evening)

From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.

[font color="blue"]
Votamatic: O 332 (unch)

University of Illinois U-C: O 294.4 (+2.8); p(RE)=97.9% (+3%)

Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 206, T 52 (unch)

Huffington Post: O 277, R 206, T 55 (O+15, T-15)

FiveThirtyEight: O 300.4 (+1.4); p(RE)=79.0% (+1.6%)

Princeton: O 303 (O-15); p(RE)=93%, 98.1% (-2%, -0.9%)

DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=86.69% (unch)[/font]
[font color="red"]
...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,428!

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Election Forecast Summaries: 10/31 (evening) (Original Post) Chichiri Nov 2012 OP
Here's a link with a LIST of LINKS to Twenty 2012 Presidential Electoral Vote Forecast Maps Tx4obama Nov 2012 #1
Rasmussen? Chichiri Nov 2012 #2
It's just a list, I did not say I agreed with them all :) n/t Tx4obama Nov 2012 #3
I think I assumed "unskewed" would go away after their initial stunt NCLefty Nov 2012 #4

Tx4obama

(36,974 posts)
1. Here's a link with a LIST of LINKS to Twenty 2012 Presidential Electoral Vote Forecast Maps
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 02:45 AM
Nov 2012

A LIST of LINKS to Twenty 2012 Presidential Electoral Vote Forecast Maps
Here: http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251196040

NCLefty

(3,678 posts)
4. I think I assumed "unskewed" would go away after their initial stunt
Thu Nov 1, 2012, 03:10 AM
Nov 2012

where everyone outside of the rw echo-chamber laughed and laughed.

But they are still at it I guess. Alrighty then!

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