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Even though Bernie won WV last night, his chances have slipped even lower. (Original Post) onehandle May 2016 OP
Its not over. CentralMass May 2016 #1
It's pretty much over. JoePhilly May 2016 #4
No one has won the nomination. CentralMass May 2016 #7
That is a process statement, not a reality statement. JoePhilly May 2016 #9
At this moment it is a reality. CentralMass May 2016 #10
Math is math. nt LaydeeBug May 2016 #13
Here is the math. CentralMass May 2016 #14
Like the guy sitting on Death Row - he isn't dead (yet). COLGATE4 May 2016 #11
If he does not get large percentages of the votes then it is still a loss to his campaign. Thinkingabout May 2016 #2
Yup...he had delegate goal he had to meet or beat to keep moving in the right direction Sheepshank May 2016 #3
Yet he's still got you guys shitting your pantsuits, so it's all good. n/t QC May 2016 #5
Not mine - LOL Iliyah May 2016 #8
He didn't need 65% last night. morningfog May 2016 #6
It keeps getting worse and worse for him. NurseJackie May 2016 #12

CentralMass

(15,265 posts)
1. Its not over.
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:09 PM
May 2016

Hillary has 1,716 pledged delegates and Bernie has 1,433 with some big states still to go.

JoePhilly

(27,787 posts)
9. That is a process statement, not a reality statement.
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:29 PM
May 2016

Technically, the nomination is not won until the convention. But we already know who will win. Reality.

CentralMass

(15,265 posts)
14. Here is the math.
Thu May 12, 2016, 09:10 AM
May 2016

Of the 3,149 delegates that have been awarded so far Hillary has 1,716 and Bernie has 1,433. So Hillary enjiys a 283 delegate lead at this point.

While the reported super delegate count commitrd so far is Hillary 524 to Bernie'Sanders 40. Bernie's 40 out of 564 superd's is 7% of the 564 while Hillary's 524 is 92.9% of the 564 superd's that have committed. Clearly a sham.

So if right now the super delegates that have committed to date had done so proportionately by the standard delegate count that each candidate has won the tally would be

Hillary 1,716 + 307 = 2,023
Bernie 1,433 + 257 = 1,690

This would be only a 333 delegate difference at this point in the race with some key states to go and since the superd's don't really commit until the convention.there is only a 283 awarded delegate count delta between the two candidates right now. Bernie can tie or surpass Hillary in standard pledged delegates before the convention and before she can secure enough standard delegates to win the nomination.

Thinkingabout

(30,058 posts)
2. If he does not get large percentages of the votes then it is still a loss to his campaign.
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:10 PM
May 2016

The percentage will increase for the next primary and again if he does not win by a large percentage then the percentage will grow again.

 

Sheepshank

(12,504 posts)
3. Yup...he had delegate goal he had to meet or beat to keep moving in the right direction
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:12 PM
May 2016

Didn't make the goal, therefore he falls behind

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
6. He didn't need 65% last night.
Wed May 11, 2016, 10:24 PM
May 2016

He needs 65.7% of all remains pledged delegates. Really, he needs about 65% of the June 7 delegates. Just relax and enjoy the next 27 days.

NurseJackie

(42,862 posts)
12. It keeps getting worse and worse for him.
Thu May 12, 2016, 07:37 AM
May 2016

The more he struggles, the more the sands shift beneath his feet.

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