We Ask America (GOP Pollster) Obama strong in his homestate

[WI_DEM]

(Mitt can't say the same about MA or MI):

There’s been a surprising amount of conjecture coming our way lately about the possibility of Mitt Romney inching closer to Barack Obama in Illinois. We’ve not paid much attention that that conjecture until it started to be uttered in some national circles and a handful of reporters we respect called to ask if there was anything to it.

There isn’t.

We polled 1,198 Illinois likely voters last night. Following are the weighted head-to-head results and a regional breakdown:

Poll type: Automated Date: October 30, 2012 - Participants: 1,198 Likely Voters - Margin of Error: ± 2.95%
Barack Obama Mitt Romney 3rd Party
ALL VOTERS 57% 41% 2%
Chicago 82% 16% 2%
Sub. Cook 66% 31% 3%
Collar Counties 44% 55% 1%
Downstate 46% 51% 3%

http://weaskamerica.com/2012/10/31/favorite-son/

[TroyD]

1. (+16) seems a little low for ILLINOIS to me

I would think it would end up being (+20), yes?

[WI_DEM]

2. It's lower than 2008 but a 57-41 margin is hardly low.

Also very little polling is done in IL because there are no serious reasons, and this is a poll with a GOP bias and even though it's solid for Obama he could be plus 20 in another poll.

[faithfulcitizen]

3. have you been to Illinois? It's just like Indiana, mostly rural with a big city at the top.

[tarheelsunc]

4. Good to know that Kenya is safe Obama

I'm honestly surprised the lead in Illinois is only 16%. He won by about 25% in 2008. If this is true, it's great news because it shows what I have been suspecting, Obama is stronger in swing states and weaker in Republicant strongholds and Democratic strongholds than in 2008.