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Wow Hillary is not going to break 40%?!??! (Original Post) berni_mccoy May 2016 OP
It's WV... scscholar May 2016 #1
Wow Sanders is 14% off his target?!??! Tarc May 2016 #2
Tarc tarc tarc tarc tarc... berni_mccoy May 2016 #5
I see the big picture, bro-bro Tarc May 2016 #8
You see only what you want berni_mccoy May 2016 #10
How's that pledged delegate hole looking? 285 by tomorrow? Tarc May 2016 #24
The lack of self awareness in your post is too much. Renew Deal May 2016 #44
delegates Craig234 May 2016 #53
You hit all the buzzphrases on your talking points sheet Tarc May 2016 #54
So that's how you try to attack the truth Craig234 May 2016 #55
Yep. They both missed their targets by 1. But when you're leading by damn near 300, Number23 May 2016 #27
That's plenty itsrobert May 2016 #3
For some reason... I'm not worried. Fawke Em May 2016 #6
I'm a huge Bernie supporter, but coal country isn't the rust belt. Fawke Em May 2016 #4
What she said votesparks May 2016 #7
I'm a she. A 46 year old she! Fawke Em May 2016 #13
Sorry votesparks May 2016 #20
Yes! So many people moved from here to Ohio and Michigan to find work when I was a kid. Fawke Em May 2016 #23
NAFTA is precisely the nexus that links OH, WI, PA and MI to Appalachia. nadinbrzezinski May 2016 #32
Empty homes in my hometown votesparks May 2016 #46
I know, Dayton is not doing well nadinbrzezinski May 2016 #47
Post removed Post removed May 2016 #51
My father grew up outside Charleston berni_mccoy May 2016 #9
I apologize. I see what you mean, now. Fawke Em May 2016 #26
This message was self-deleted by its author TM99 May 2016 #12
When VA seceded from the Union, WV split off and was admitted as a state. strategery blunder May 2016 #16
Some of my best friends in the service were "hillbillies" NWCorona May 2016 #22
This message was self-deleted by its author ThePhilosopher04 May 2016 #25
I will add this nadinbrzezinski May 2016 #31
My Sis-in-law says hill folk. R. Daneel Olivaw May 2016 #42
Meh. Obama only got 26% of the vote there in 2008 in the primary. He did fine. Zynx May 2016 #11
Remind me who got the other 74% that year? Barack_America May 2016 #34
No one, actually. Hillary got 67%, but it was a protest vote. Zynx May 2016 #50
10% of the vote is for neither bernie nor hillary...but for who? nt msongs May 2016 #14
So Bernie has taken the lead??? JoePhilly May 2016 #15
By a bit. But Hillary is still winning one county...by 18 votes. Barack_America May 2016 #19
Bernie just took Charleston.. Fawke Em May 2016 #29
Wow ... he's got the nomination all locked up. JoePhilly May 2016 #49
36.8% right now. 60% reporting. jillan May 2016 #17
Really doesn't matter about +4 or 5 delegates for Bernie. Jitter65 May 2016 #18
Exactly. Fawke Em May 2016 #35
And may not win a single county. Only leading in one by 17 votes. morningfog May 2016 #21
I could be wrong SheenaR May 2016 #28
Yes, yes it was nadinbrzezinski May 2016 #37
Wow SheenaR May 2016 #39
And Bernie will STILL miss his vote share target. Adrahil May 2016 #30
And Hillary is STILL under a criminal investigation. Fawke Em May 2016 #36
LOL. SO predictable. Adrahil May 2016 #38
Something is going on with 10% of the total votes. JimDandy May 2016 #33
That happens from time to time nadinbrzezinski May 2016 #48
By my count Sanders needs to win an additional 127 delegates above his targets to secure the JumpinJehosaphat May 2016 #40
Doesn't she need to break just 20%... Skid Rogue May 2016 #41
Only if you add sd's like the M$M does all the time. And that is wrong. litlbilly May 2016 #43
and Obama didn't break 26 percent in W.VA in 2008. onenote May 2016 #45
Bill Clinton won the GE in 1992 with only 43% GreatGazoo May 2016 #52

Tarc

(10,476 posts)
2. Wow Sanders is 14% off his target?!??!
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:23 PM
May 2016

That's pretty bad for the rest of the states, as their % just goes up and up!


 

Craig234

(335 posts)
53. delegates
Wed May 11, 2016, 08:32 AM
May 2016

Delegates are secured (by Hillary) with corrupt big donor money, free national media for 25 years getting low-information Democrats to vote for the name they recognize, and adopting phony progressive policies for the primary season. Congrats on that.

 

Craig234

(335 posts)
55. So that's how you try to attack the truth
Thu May 12, 2016, 02:56 AM
May 2016

Talk about talking points - throw out a buzzword when you can't answer. No talking points in the post.

Number23

(24,544 posts)
27. Yep. They both missed their targets by 1. But when you're leading by damn near 300,
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:47 PM
May 2016

being off by a delegate or 100 doesn't mean nearly as much as some folks want it to.

http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
4. I'm a huge Bernie supporter, but coal country isn't the rust belt.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:24 PM
May 2016

We're Appalachia.

I live in East Tennessee and spend time in western North Carolina. If you'll look at those heat maps of Bernie v. Hillary votes, you'll see this swath of votes (in the green) that now run up the Appalachian Trail in the South up through West Virginia.

Want to know about us "hillbillies?" We were against slavery. We were against the KKK. We were also considered "less than." We are mostly Irish/Native American. We are the last vestige of union workers in the South. We are FDR Democrats.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
13. I'm a she. A 46 year old she!
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:28 PM
May 2016

Hillary should be my wheelhouse, but, no. She's too conservative for these times. Incremental fixes won't help climate change.

What part of Kentucky? I want to come up there and help? I'm in Knoxville.

votesparks

(1,288 posts)
20. Sorry
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:33 PM
May 2016

Large part of my childhood spent in Corbin, Campton, Louisville. My parents still live in Frankfort, and I live in a displaced Appalachian zone, Dayton, Ohio.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
23. Yes! So many people moved from here to Ohio and Michigan to find work when I was a kid.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:44 PM
May 2016

I only wish my Dad could have lived long enough to see Bernie. My Dad was one of the original CAD-CAM operators in this county. He helped develop the Flip-Fone from the 80s for GTE! He kept losing jobs to NAFTA. He finally got tired of moving and gave up. He took a manager's job at Home Depot for half the pay just to stop moving.

He would have loved Bernie. I know because my step-Mom not only voted for Bernie in Huntsville, AL, but volunteers. It brings her closer to the memory of my Daddy.

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
32. NAFTA is precisely the nexus that links OH, WI, PA and MI to Appalachia.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:52 PM
May 2016

and it is the gift that keeps on giving...

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
47. I know, Dayton is not doing well
Wed May 11, 2016, 12:49 AM
May 2016

neither is Flint... or for that matter... the shoe leather industry in the state of Hildago in Mexico. And it is for the same reason. NAFTA.

Response to Fawke Em (Reply #13)

 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
9. My father grew up outside Charleston
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:26 PM
May 2016

My Uncle owned several coal mines. WV was the Dynamo for the rust belt, namely Pittsburgh steel.

Response to Fawke Em (Reply #4)

strategery blunder

(4,225 posts)
16. When VA seceded from the Union, WV split off and was admitted as a state.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:29 PM
May 2016

I'm fuzzy on the details, as I've never had a chance to visit the region, but I'm sure an Appalachian DUer will be happy to fill in the blanks.

Response to Fawke Em (Reply #4)

 

nadinbrzezinski

(154,021 posts)
31. I will add this
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:51 PM
May 2016

if I were the Clinton campaign, I would be worried about the rust belt though. There are some similar dynamics this year over there.

And I will add this about Appalachia. It is the home of the Union movement (most folks do not know the tie of redneck to the union movement), but dang it, they have gotten it with both barrels from both the North and the South for being Scott Irish. Yes I am familiar with that history.

Zynx

(21,328 posts)
50. No one, actually. Hillary got 67%, but it was a protest vote.
Wed May 11, 2016, 08:16 AM
May 2016

They just really didn't like Obama. It wasn't that they liked her.

If we want to get into the game of that she's lost states she won last time, she's also picked up states she lost catastrophically last time.

 

Jitter65

(3,089 posts)
18. Really doesn't matter about +4 or 5 delegates for Bernie.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:30 PM
May 2016

Nebraska proves once again that when there is a primary and not a caucus the only Dems get to vote, Hillary wins hands down.

Remember, the people who are voting FOR Hillary now, will be voting for her in the GE. The people voting for Bernie now as a protest against Hillary will NOT be voting for Bernie in the GE should he win the nomination. It's just a fact and W.VA is only one example.

Fawke Em

(11,366 posts)
35. Exactly.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:54 PM
May 2016

I think it's a measurable example that the rest of the South really wasn't. Most of the South was early and had VERY open primaries. I know my whole neighborhood is still sporting their Bernie gear, but I live in a very unionized side of town.

SheenaR

(2,052 posts)
28. I could be wrong
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:47 PM
May 2016

But wasn't this one of her best states in 2008? My how things change and her supporters now smear the state

 

Adrahil

(13,340 posts)
30. And Bernie will STILL miss his vote share target.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:50 PM
May 2016

Yup. That's how far behind he is, and it got worse tonight.

JimDandy

(7,318 posts)
33. Something is going on with 10% of the total votes.
Tue May 10, 2016, 10:53 PM
May 2016

A Paul T Farrell, Jr. is supposedly drawing a substantial number of the *other* total. Maybe he is really earning them. I don't know because I'm not familiar with the political landscape there. But, WV is using touch screen voting machines, which have been notorious in the past for being so poorly calibrated that votes can get tossed to another candidate whose name is next to the one the voter intended to mark.

JumpinJehosaphat

(22 posts)
40. By my count Sanders needs to win an additional 127 delegates above his targets to secure the
Tue May 10, 2016, 11:02 PM
May 2016

Majority of pledged delegates. Very doable!

Skid Rogue

(711 posts)
41. Doesn't she need to break just 20%...
Tue May 10, 2016, 11:09 PM
May 2016

in the remaining states to keep her win? So, didn't she double what she actually needs?

onenote

(42,747 posts)
45. and Obama didn't break 26 percent in W.VA in 2008.
Wed May 11, 2016, 12:42 AM
May 2016

Suggesting that West Virginia isn't a bell weather state. Rather, it is a state in which a woman will handily defeat a black man, and a white man will handily defeat a woman.

Whoo-de-fucking-do.

GreatGazoo

(3,937 posts)
52. Bill Clinton won the GE in 1992 with only 43%
Wed May 11, 2016, 08:31 AM
May 2016

Hillary will need someone running third party like Perot did.

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