Election Forecast Summaries: 10/30 (evening)
(Sorry for being so late; I was waiting for Nate Silver to update. (Weren't we all?) And no, I don't know what HuffPo is smoking.)
From now until the election I'll post once or twice a day with these summaries. "p(RE)" means "probability of re-election," although I've now gone to a standard percentage-based unit. "unch" means unchanged from last report.
[font color="blue"]
Votamatic: O 332 (unch)
University of Illinois U-C: O 291.6 (+0.2); p(RE)=94.9% (unch)
Electoral-vote.com: O 280, R 235, T 23 (unch)
Huffington Post: O 253, R 206, T 79 (O-24, R+15, T+9)
FiveThirtyEight: O 299 (+4.4); p(RE)=77.4% (+4.5%)
Princeton: O 305 (+2); p(RE)=93%, 98% (unch)
DeSart/Holbrook: O 281 (unch); p(RE)=86.66% (unch)[/font]
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...And Just For Laughs, UnSkewedPolls: O 179, R 359 (unch from 10/25) [/font] which means my bet with Dean Chambers is presently worth $2,400!
