2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Sanders wins Indiana, but doesn't get landslide he needed
Bernie Sanders won the Indiana Democratic primary on Tuesday night, giving his campaign a moral boost if not an actual path to the Democratic nomination.
The state was called at around 9:15pm for Sanders by CNN and NBC News.
Votes are still being counted, but the early results have Hillary Clinton pulling in around 45 percent of the vote. That means, because of the Democrats's proportional allocation rules, Sanders and Clinton are likely to essentially split Indiana's 92 delegates meaning the victory won't help Sanders cut into Clinton's big delegate lead.
As Vox's Matt Yglesias explained over the weekend, the Democratic primary fight has been effectively over for some time. Hillary Clinton is going to be the nominee.
There's a simple reason for this: Clinton has received many millions more votes than Sanders has at this point in the race, and she therefore has many more of the "pledged" delegates who determine the nominee at the Democratic convention.
Going into tonight, Clinton had a delegate lead of 1664 to 1371 not including the superdelegates who have long been in her corner.
Sanders needs to win 66 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to claim a majority of them. To pull that off, Sanders had to win all of the remaining states by more than he's won in any state but his home-state of Vermont.
http://www.vox.com/2016/5/3/11581934/bernie-sanders-wins-indiana
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)riversedge
(70,305 posts)Morning!!!
http://www.vox.com/2016/5/3/11581934/bernie-sanders-wins-indiana
.........Hillary Clinton is going to be the Democratic nominee
yardwork
(61,711 posts)riversedge
(70,305 posts)riversedge
(70,305 posts)http://www.vox.com/2016/5/3/11581934/bernie-sanders-wins-indiana
.........Hillary Clinton is going to be the Democratic nominee
As Vox's Matt Yglesias explained over the weekend, the Democratic primary fight has been effectively over for some time. Hillary Clinton is going to be the nominee.
There's a simple reason for this: Clinton has received many millions more votes than Sanders has at this point in the race, and she therefore has many more of the "pledged" delegates who determine the nominee at the Democratic convention.
Going into tonight, Clinton had a delegate lead of 1664 to 1371 not including the superdelegates who have long been in her corner.
Sanders needs to win 66 percent of the remaining pledged delegates to claim a majority of them. To pull that off, Sanders had to win all of the remaining states by more than he's won in any state but his home-state of Vermont, according to Yglesias.
That not going to happen, especially given that Sanders is down in polling in several of the biggest states ahead, like California and New Jersey. Not winning Indiana by a big margin thus puts Sanders even further behind his target to catch up with Clinton...........................