Sanders and CA

[bkkyosemite]

Last edited Fri Apr 29, 2016, 11:54 PM - Edit history (1)

https://thepoliticalanalyzer.com/2016/04/30/sanders-dominates-clinton-in-california-with-61-25/

Link includes graphs:

" Posted on April 30, 2016 by thepoliticalanalyzer

The following article is based on a public opinion survey. The methodology considers historical survey of Pew Research and Gallup, and CNN and MSNBC Polls.

I worked on the Californian electorate dividing the Democratic electorate in age and ethnicity, I assigned the turnout consideration and I finally divided Counties in California and then in Macro-Areas.

Specifically, according to the latest CNN Poll I assigned to Sanders the 60% of White Electorate and 62% of Black Electorate to Clinton.

I remained faithful to my ‘theory of wildfire’ and I extended it from Oregon to North California to the Bay Area and Sacramento MSA.

Following the data of UC Davis ‘Center for Elecorate Change’ I attributed to the Hispanic Community the percentage of votes and the turnout to be awarded to Bernie Sanders county by county: 60%.

I also worked by age and I corroborated in this way the data of the largest research centers by aligning the percentages of voters to be attributed to Sanders and Clinton.

The current situation in California tells us that the strength of Vermont Senator is still great and he’s by far the most popular politician. He currently reaches 61.25% of the vote but, that being said, it will be important to understand how many Unaffiliated Electors and how many Hispanics will vote.

If Sanders was able to keep focused his electorate, be able to win big the most important state of America, and in so doing to monopolize the Democratic Convention a few weeks later. If that were not enough, the state would be the springboard for the creation of a new political platform and the start of the race in the upcoming Presidential Elections."

[Barack_America]

1. Most excellent.

Lead the way, CA.

[bjo59]

2. Oh man, I hope such information isn't now being used by interested parties

to fix the outcome of the primary election. Any primary not carried out through the caucus method is pretty nerve wracking these days.

[marlakay]

3. Bernie group in my area norcal

Still going strong. I think people are fighting for progressive values.

[bkkyosemite]

4. I'm a Californian stuck in So. Oregon..Go CA for Bernie!

[Pastiche423]

17. Hey, so am I!

I miss home, but no way could I afford to live there now.

[bkkyosemite]

19. Me either ...what part of the state you live in.

[Pastiche423]

22. Southern coast.

You?

[highprincipleswork]

5. Go California! You can go for Bernie. You know you want to. Lots of opportunities, even to register

people before May 23rd.

Caucus this weekend, on Sunday, to select delegates that will represent the primary vote. Look up according to your district, per House Representative.

[BreakfastClub]

6. Hillary won the CA primary in '08. She'll do fine this time around too. Sorry. nt

[ContinentalOp]

7. I'm not sure which is more clueless

Calling it "north California" or assuming that sanders will win 60% of the Latino vote.

[dr60omg]

8. I was in Kern county the other week and saw a Kern for Bern rally

no big names but in arguably the most conservative county in CA there was a 300 person (approximately) rally for Sanders. Everywhere I see Sanders name all over the place. His name has been in lights on a bridge
We can still do this

[potone]

9. God, I hope so! N/T

[VOX]

10. "...to monopolize the Democratic Convention"???

Not the best word-choice for an anti-"Wall Shtreet(sic)" candidate...

[kgnu_fan]

11. GO Bernie!!!

[DemocratSinceBirth]

12. I checked his past predictions. The Political Analyzer is right on the money.

https://thepoliticalanalyzer.com/2016/04/09/poll-sanders-leads-clinton-by-8-in-new-york/


https://thepoliticalanalyzer.com/2016/04/05/thats-why-sanders-leading-with-58-in-new-york/



https://thepoliticalanalyzer.com/2016/04/01/bernie-has-the-average-of-58-in-the-north-east/


https://thepoliticalanalyzer.com/page/2/

[ISUGRADIA]

15. Hey!

They did get the 5 state Sanders victory sweep of April 26 right! ... Oh wait

[DemocratSinceBirth]

16. His analysis is unique

The Analyzer used the demographic data accumulated from public polling and then essentially arbitrarily decided how each group represented in that demographic data will vote.

What could go wrong?

[SidDithers]

13. ...

Sid

[bkkyosemite]

20. Sid you did that on purpose..(I'm not talking about your laughing icon either)

[ISUGRADIA]

14. Ha ha

I think this person's prediction about Cali will be as accurate as their April 26 Primaries prediction.

[Godhumor]

18. So much effort put in to produce something meaningless

He doesn't understand how to do this kind of work effectively.

[alcibiades_mystery]

21. If Sanders loses California...

Oh forget it, I know, I know. Sanders never loses. If he loses, the election wasn't legitimate.

[AzDar]

23. K & R