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BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
2. Yeah, but chances of winning there seem slim, unfortunately.
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:05 PM
Oct 2012

Silver has us down to a 36% chance of winning the Sunshine State. It would be absolutely great to win there, it is not essential for us to do so. We need to keep our focus on the lower-hanging fruit: Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.

blue-kite

(432 posts)
4. Not sure I agree... I can't see R/R winning Florida, then Ohio, then Virginia... without camping in.
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:09 PM
Oct 2012

in both the latter states for the next 10 days.
How much better is it to force him down to Florida on defence.
PN, IO, NV, WI, MI too difficult for him. OH and VA turning more and more dem with each day.
Anyway, roll on 6th.
BK

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
11. I'm not saying Florida won't be close...
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 05:07 PM
Oct 2012

...and the fact that we are forcing Mittens to spend time and money there which means less time and money he'll have to spend in Ohio, Wisconsin, and Virginia, is very good news. Although I do believe we will fall short in Florida simply because we always have trouble over coming the I-4 corridor and the fact that there are too many damn conservatives who live in the state plus the high number of wealthy retirees living in high-priced condos which outnumber the liberal pockets in South Florida.

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)
7. Wrong wrong wrong. Jesus Christ.
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:37 PM
Oct 2012

Read the campaign statements over the past several weeks. Jesus, it's not hard. They have been right EVERY SINGLE TIME on the state of the race. Florida has only JUST started early voting and the campaign likes what they have been seeing. Stop looking at Nate, his numbers are based on the same damn polls we are all looking at. He doesn't know any more than we do.

Damn. Why is it so hard to keep up with the statements from the campaign that represent the party YOU BELONG TO.

BlueDemKev

(3,003 posts)
17. Sounds good...
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 06:55 PM
Oct 2012

...if we could win Florida's 29 electoral votes, we could put this election away early and easily.

ffr

(22,672 posts)
3. All it takes if Democratic boots going to the polls
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:09 PM
Oct 2012

Every state is in play. And I'm convinced Florida has the real possibility to be blue this election. Long lines for early voting can only mean one thing, Democrats are getting their votes in.

Maximumnegro

(1,134 posts)
8. A lot of Dems pretend they're ignoring GOP polls
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:41 PM
Oct 2012

but still believe them when they assess the state of the race AND lock on to Nate like he's got a crystal ball. The campaign has always said FL was in play. Why the hell would Obama be spending so much time and money there if it wasn't?

But then many of these same doubters were saying VA wasn't in play either until the 'reality' they were basing their assumptions on finally caught up with them.

Really disappointed in a lot of Dems, man. You'd think with all the time spent on the web they would be more informed.

Jennicut

(25,415 posts)
19. Nate is simply being cautious.
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 10:20 PM
Oct 2012

I see improvement in all of Obama's polling in VA, NC, and FL over the last week. Even Rasmussen had FL closer again this week. If that holds up over the next few days before the election, Nate's model will improve. He only goes by all the polls averaged together.

jenmito

(37,326 posts)
10. My father just went to vote (in W. Palm Beach, FL) but the line was too long. He never saw
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 04:46 PM
Oct 2012

anything like it! He's going back tomorrow to vote.

moobu2

(4,822 posts)
12. The dark side had a big rally in Pensacola yesterday
Sun Oct 28, 2012, 05:11 PM
Oct 2012

All of them were there. I got so sick of hearing about it.

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