2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumLooks like Florida is still in play
I just saw a tweet from local news source that said Mittens will be in Jax,Fl on Wednesday while Obama and Bill Clinton will be in Orlando, Fl on Monday.
blue-kite
(432 posts)BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Silver has us down to a 36% chance of winning the Sunshine State. It would be absolutely great to win there, it is not essential for us to do so. We need to keep our focus on the lower-hanging fruit: Ohio, Wisconsin, Iowa, Nevada, Pennsylvania, and Michigan.
blue-kite
(432 posts)in both the latter states for the next 10 days.
How much better is it to force him down to Florida on defence.
PN, IO, NV, WI, MI too difficult for him. OH and VA turning more and more dem with each day.
Anyway, roll on 6th.
BK
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)...and the fact that we are forcing Mittens to spend time and money there which means less time and money he'll have to spend in Ohio, Wisconsin, and Virginia, is very good news. Although I do believe we will fall short in Florida simply because we always have trouble over coming the I-4 corridor and the fact that there are too many damn conservatives who live in the state plus the high number of wealthy retirees living in high-priced condos which outnumber the liberal pockets in South Florida.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)Read the campaign statements over the past several weeks. Jesus, it's not hard. They have been right EVERY SINGLE TIME on the state of the race. Florida has only JUST started early voting and the campaign likes what they have been seeing. Stop looking at Nate, his numbers are based on the same damn polls we are all looking at. He doesn't know any more than we do.
Damn. Why is it so hard to keep up with the statements from the campaign that represent the party YOU BELONG TO.
flamingdem
(39,332 posts)BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)...if we could win Florida's 29 electoral votes, we could put this election away early and easily.
LukeFL
(594 posts)ffr
(22,672 posts)Every state is in play. And I'm convinced Florida has the real possibility to be blue this election. Long lines for early voting can only mean one thing, Democrats are getting their votes in.
MjolnirTime
(1,800 posts)Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)but still believe them when they assess the state of the race AND lock on to Nate like he's got a crystal ball. The campaign has always said FL was in play. Why the hell would Obama be spending so much time and money there if it wasn't?
But then many of these same doubters were saying VA wasn't in play either until the 'reality' they were basing their assumptions on finally caught up with them.
Really disappointed in a lot of Dems, man. You'd think with all the time spent on the web they would be more informed.
melody
(12,365 posts)He doesn't play by the rules -- ever.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)I see improvement in all of Obama's polling in VA, NC, and FL over the last week. Even Rasmussen had FL closer again this week. If that holds up over the next few days before the election, Nate's model will improve. He only goes by all the polls averaged together.
jenmito
(37,326 posts)anything like it! He's going back tomorrow to vote.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Cheers!
jenmito
(37,326 posts)Cheers!
moobu2
(4,822 posts)All of them were there. I got so sick of hearing about it.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)It will close but our superior ground game will win it.