2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPPP: Mormon vote could give Romney win in Washington state caucus
Raleigh, N.C. Momentum has swung strongly in Mitt Romney's direction among
Washington Republicans over the last two weeks. He now leads in the state with 37% to
32% for Rick Santorum, 16% for Ron Paul, and 13% for Newt Gingrich. That represents
a reversal from PPP's previous poll which found Santorum in the driver's seat with 38%
to Romney's 27%. The large shift in Washington reflects what has happened in the race
nationally over that period of time.
Two weeks ago Santorum's net favorability was 46 points better than Romney's in
Washington. Now it's only 11 points better. Santorum's popularity has declined, going
from +51 (69/18) to just +29 (60/31). Meanwhile Romney is on the up swing, going from
only +5 (47/42) to +18 (55/37).
If Romney does end up winning Saturday night it will be a large Mormon vote that puts
him over the top. We find that 14% of likely caucus goers are Mormons and 64% of them
support Romney to 15% for Paul and 13% for Santorum. Romney actually trails
Santorum 35-32 with non-Mormons.
http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2011/PPP_Release_WA_302.pdf
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Wonder if Saint Santorum will bring this up if he loses.
Major Hogwash
(17,656 posts)However, this answers the age-old question of how to lose 35 points in popularity among the GOP in just 2 weeks.
Bash women!
Everybody has a mother!
The stupid dorks.
They never should have started the war against women.
They're going to lose big this fall for it.
DCBob
(24,689 posts)Its bizarre on so many levels.
muriel_volestrangler
(101,320 posts)Santorum actually lost the Catholic vote in Michigan, according to the exit poll. I found a survey from 2008 or so, saying JFK was the 2nd favourite president among Republicans - only Reagan beat him. He was more popular than Eisenhower, Lincoln and all other Republicans.