2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWoke up this morning, logged on and went straight to
http://www.thegreenpapers.com/P16/DHere's what I found there:
Clinton, Hillary Diane Rodham 12,248,297 56.46% 1,651 40.76%
Sanders, Bernard "Bernie" 9,102,979 41.96% 1,346 33.23%
Over 3 million popular votes and 300 pledged delegates ahead.
This primary season is over, for all intents and purposes. Both names will still be on the ballot in the 15 remaining states, but the percentage ratios you see above are likely to stay almost exactly the same, right through California and DC. How hard Sanders and Clinton will campaign going forward remains to be seen, but the results will be similar to the existing results, within a couple of percentage points from here on out.
I'm moving on to General Election mode. The writing is clearly visible on the wall.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)GoldenThunder
(300 posts)...and your political future is over as well.
brooklynite
(94,594 posts)JustABozoOnThisBus
(23,350 posts)Her H1B visa policy is loved by many.
eridani
(51,907 posts)Whenever members get a chance to weigh in,, Sanders gets the endorsement.
Agnosticsherbet
(11,619 posts)Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)grossproffit
(5,591 posts)uponit7771
(90,347 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)using Hillary logic when she ran against Obama. It's not over yet, she has still not won the nomination.
Squinch
(50,955 posts)to her at any time during this election.
Oh, and haven't the Sanders supporters been saying that she was evil for saying that?
pnwmom
(108,980 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)Someone here said recently that it is in defeat that we find out who we really are.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)inserting it into this thread. Ugly business, indeed.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)When Clinton implied that in 2008, I said that she was "too stupid to be elected." I was right. She wouldn't say such a thing now. It may have cost her the election then.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)you choose a candidate and then you elect that person. Hillary is the candidate, and you can bet, I and many others will vote for her. If Sander's had won, I would vote for him...I must add Sanders has been very annoying to me...but I would still do it because I am a democrat and I know the damage a GOP presidency would do.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)She made the observation Robert Kennedy was campaigning in June as a well-known historical reference in that context.
What she actually said in context:
Svafa
(594 posts)yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)I mean, we're all adults here. We can see she was making a point about how so many candidates stayed in the race to the end.
Why the higher standard for her?
The tastelessness is taking those words out of context and ginning it up as another false narrative. And all these years later, it goes on and on unquestionably. Another special feature that applies singularly to Hillary. I wonder why?
Svafa
(594 posts)It was flat-out tacky to talk about the possibility of assassination, regardless of who said it. And her implication that something positive for Clinton (her winning the presidency) could come of something so horrific is disturbing. Just another example of Clinton caring about nothing except getting elected.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)"Her implication" is non-existent.
And then you go on an unwarranted, unsubstantiated Hillary Hate tirade.
"Caring about nothing except getting elected."
This is why GD-P is just a giant heap of revolting garbage as far as debate and conversation with so-called Bernie supporters has devolved to for the last year.
Svafa
(594 posts)She listed historical instances (one of them being the assassination of RFK), with the implication that any of them could happen again, to justify her staying in the race.
As a side note, it is kind of funny to rewatch the video now and hear her actually say "you should be willing to campaign for every vote; you should be willing to debate any time, anywhere," though!
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)She is just pointing out how many previous candidates have been in the race through California.
She also points out she remained in a contested election and was leading in the popular vote.
And I think it is obvious Bernie had as many debates as he could stand!
Maybe Hillary should debate Martin O'Malley? That'd make as much sense.
Svafa
(594 posts)It doesn't mean "to come right out and say." Of course she doesn't come out and say, "Obama could get assassinated!" But just by bringing up the example of RFK in this context, she is implying that the same could happen to Obama.
By arguing that she should stay in the race and then floating out historical examples of people who have stayed in the race or events that have had a significant impact on the nomination (i.e., assassination), she is clearly insinuating that any of those scenarios could play out in the Clinton/Obama race.
yallerdawg
(16,104 posts)More of the unfounded speculation and innuendo that forms the basis of this constant bile of Hillary Hate.
She implied no such thing. She stated a fact. Great, notable icons of the Democratic Party campaigned to the end of the primary! Why was she being singled out to end her campaign and why was she not ending it already? For example Bill Clinton and Robert Kennedy.
Going anywhere else with this is in your head - not Hillary's!
WATCH THE VIDEO!
Svafa
(594 posts)At this point, I have to simply believe that you are doing nothing but being intentionally obtuse. You know very well that you will find few people, even Clinton supporters, who agree with you (most Clinton supporters will admit that this was at least a gaffe/poor choice of words).
Good day.
Squinch
(50,955 posts)shit they made up about her.
Or they ascribe all kinds of evil motives to the Hillary supporters they are talking to and then hate the person because of the motives they themselves made up.
I really think this is a lot of the reason they lost.
StevieM
(10,500 posts)That story was never about Hillary introducing this argument and other people then responding to it. It was an attack on Hillary from the first moment the smear was introduced.
Hillary wasn't answering a question about whether she could still win the race. She was answering a question about whether it was damaging to party unity to have a race still not wrapped up by June. She gave examples of other primaries that were still going on in June. She mentioned her husband's race. She mentioned the 1968 race, and she accented the word JUNE.
There wasn't even a conversation taking place about whether or not she could still win.
Hillary, for better or worse, had rejected the argument that the pledged delegate winner was the rightful nominee. She had rejected it for months, and the Obama supporters criticized her for rejecting it. The assertion you are making is premised on the notion that Hillary was in agreement with the PD count argument.
2008 was the first time that the PD winner was regarded as the de facto automatic winner and that pledged delegates were treated as the equivalent of electoral votes. A new precedent was set in that election. The last race that had been close enough to make it an issue was in 1984, which was just 12 years after the people started picking then nominees in 1972.
So it was to be expected that in 2008 there would still be contention over that point. Clinton and her supporters were pointing to other standards, like who won the states that, taken together, constituted a majority of the electoral college in the general election.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)StevieM
(10,500 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)StevieM
(10,500 posts)Acting like you have ownership over history, and anyone who disagrees with you is rewriting history, is a conservative trait.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)uponit7771
(90,347 posts)kstewart33
(6,551 posts)If you have to go over the line to promote your candidate, that is a sure sign of unfortunate desperation.
It is over. Accept it and move on to helping to build the movement into something that's well worth your time - into a liberal movement that can actually achieve change.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)against Obama.
And losing is a real bummer. I just hope that the tenor of this forum will change in the next few weeks, and that Bernie and his staff turn to building the movement.
If he does that, his legacy will really mean something.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)care about the people. Wait til she brings on SS cuts and...the other Corporate wants she will surprise you people...I'm voting for Bernie in Oregon. My ballot comes out on my b-day the 29th.
Squinch
(50,955 posts)spin machine. Do yourself a favor and try to find any time where she says anything like that. You won't find it.
What she has said is that she wants to increase the lowest out-pays from SS so that the poorest elderly and disabled get more money.
Sheepshank
(12,504 posts)they go to great lengths to promote those here on DUP. One must wonder why?
emulatorloo
(44,131 posts)He started up with that nonsense on Day 1 of Obama admin.
Squinch
(50,955 posts)eridani
(51,907 posts)It means "Cut Social Security, but replace the losses for those in the lowest quintile."
Squinch
(50,955 posts)the minimum wage.
Do yourself a favor and look for yourself. Try and find anywhere where she said anything about cutting social security. You won't.
eridani
(51,907 posts)That is, using concern about people in the lowest quintile to justify cutting Social Security for everyone else. In the same debate she allowed the possibility of raising the eligibility age.
George II
(67,782 posts)Human101948
(3,457 posts)But she also left the door open to raising the retirement age if there were a way to exclude people who are not working labor-intensive jobs, while at the same time not fully endorsing simply raising the tax cap, which would ensure the system is fully funded going forward.
... Clinton is not outright endorsing a clear hike in the retirement age like many of the Republicans are. But while she also seems to be open to raising the tax cap, she is not giving a figure or specific plan yet, and is making the suggestion that raising payroll taxes on families that earn over $100,000 would be an extra burden to those people, when actually the increase would be fairly modest.
Opening the door to any hike in the retirement age or offering opposition to simply eliminating the tax cap would put her out of step with most Americans on this issue, according to polls.
http://www.alternet.org/news-amp-politics/say-it-aint-so-hillary-clinton-youre-open-idea-raising-retirement-age
Raising the retirement age is a cut in Social Security.
George II
(67,782 posts)....said she would raise the retirement age. What are the words she used to say "that"?
fleur-de-lisa
(14,627 posts)On Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:18 AM an alert was sent on the following post:
They assassinated Robert Kennedy in June,
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1251&pid=1848366
REASON FOR ALERT
This post is disruptive, hurtful, rude, insensitive, over-the-top, or otherwise inappropriate.
ALERTER'S COMMENTS
Offensive and inappropriate.
You served on a randomly-selected Jury of DU members which reviewed this post. The review was completed at Wed Apr 27, 2016, 07:25 AM, and the Jury voted 2-5 to LEAVE IT.
Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: The OP was more offensive. Leave it.
Juror #2 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #3 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: want to hide the truth? Clinton stayed in until she got the Sec of State deal from Obama.
Juror #7 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
B Calm
(28,762 posts)out the day when Bobby Kennedy was shot, but Hillary went there!
cwydro
(51,308 posts)Shame on you.
Many of us remember the assassinations of the 60s. Perhaps you don't
Smh.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)cwydro
(51,308 posts)Do I have that right? My moral bar is a little higher than that.
I'd love to see a link to Hillary saying that, btw.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)Hillary is soooooo sold out, as they fixed it for her. And it's more exposed now than in 2002-2004-2006.
Good. Reuters poll says over have polled think it's fixed. Waking from the slumber....
George II
(67,782 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)Honestly there are no words.
fun n serious
(4,451 posts)This is disgusting-.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)pnwmom
(108,980 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)frylock
(34,825 posts)Should be fun watching Trump get under people's skin by doing the same.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Marr
(20,317 posts)"How DARE you???"
anigbrowl
(13,889 posts)Should someone assassinate Hillary Clinton I'm pretty sure the Democratic part could respond to that circumstance rather than falling into paralysis and failing to come up with another candidate.
dsc
(52,162 posts)Olberman had his history wrong. Kennedy was behind, as in the opposite of ahead, as in the other guy (Humphrey) lead. It was Kennedy who was staying in, in case something happened to Humphrey.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)Odd that HRC supporters want to pivot to GE before the nomination is earned, until that moment arrives when at convention the SDs can vote she hasn't won now has she? Since clearly you like facts and data, this point isn't lost on you is it?
HRC and her supporters really want to pivot away from the issues as it pertains to DEM platform and defining that platform going into convention, why is that?
Squinch
(50,955 posts)HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)have a day!
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Their votes won't change. Add them in. I'm only posting pledged delegates. I leave the superdelegates out of it. They will vote for the candidate with the majority of pledged delegates, which Hillary Clinton will have, easily.
Bluenorthwest
(45,319 posts)in a contest that does not use the popular vote as metric and which does not even involve a tally of all votes cast, caucus States do not always report the raw numbers so the total is not even accurate. You know all of that. Coy looks really silly on anyone over 60.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)Last night in his concession statement, he did not mention what he always talks about: a 'path to victory.'
There is no path and Bernie knows it.
It's time now for him to pivot and start building the movement into something permanent that can actually achieve what matters.
Hopefully in the next couple of weeks, Bernie supporters on this forum will begin to realize that and stop fighting in a race that is already lost.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)kstewart33
(6,551 posts)Maybe we should drop the back and forth for awhile.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)that puts HRC and her supporters perception of Bernie and his supporters into one word they display with their OPs and replies, especially here
"want to pivot away from the issues as it pertains to DEM platform and defining that platform going into convention, why is that?"
isn't 'irrelevant' it's central, so again, why is that?
leftofcool
(19,460 posts)It is a wise move for her to go into GE mode.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)Like that statement is of any surprise coming from an HRC supporter
She's trying to pivot away from an issues based discussion to a GE rhetoric based DEM v GOP based attack / feint 'discussion'
gotta feed that reality tv based consumerism that's rampant within the US
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)Just like Obama ...the supers will vote for the candidate that has the most delegates. Clinton has the popular vote wich was discounted by the Supers in 08, but Bernie had neither. So yes...and they will switch to her before the convention.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)so your 'point' lacks basis as it pertains the the primary voting cycle, the issues debate and rules as set forth by DEM party
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Then, they all vote at the same time, state-by-state.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)Primary involves delegates from each state election which is the point made, SDs aren't bound until the convention when they vote
So HRC hasn't earned the nomination and won't based upon proportional outcomes from all the preceding state primaries.. if trends hold and I fully expect they will, she has to wait until convention to earn the nomination using SDs
Do you dispute this fact?
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)change their minds as to whom they support, you're dreaming. Most are House members and Senators. They're pretty politically savvy people, or they wouldn't be where they are. They also are politicians and understand all of this election stuff. If you hear a Senator or House member say he or she supports Hillary Clinton, be assured that that person will use their superdelegate vote as he or she says.
The rest are high-level Democratic Party officials, with a few Democratic Governors mixed in. Again, they're all very politically savvy and aren't going to suddenly change their minds. It doesn't matter if some semi-anonymous people threaten them or declare they won't vote for them again. They're not concerned. They will vote as they think best, and most have already stated who they support.
Believing that the superdelegates, all political people, are going to switch to the candidate with fewer votes than the other is a fantasy. It will not occur. When the first ballot is taken at the convention, you watch. They'll all vote as they said they would. Count on it.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)HRC hasn't earned the nomination this is a fact, based upon proportional delegate outcomes from the primaries, she will not have enough delegates until the SDs come into play at the convention
Remember '68 convention? Remember why SDs were created? Yeah... what comes around goes around...
I don't 'believe', I know, understanding the history and role of SDs is enough, my pointing out the facts is just that, pointing out the facts and reality of the situation as it concerns this primary cycle...
I fully expect Bernie to make his case all through and into convention... will this cause HRC and her supporters fits? maybe, will it focus the issues concerning DEM platform and planks, absolutely
Do HRC and her supporters get concerned by keeping focus on issues rather than pivot to GE rhetoric? yep... the OPs will roll out like clockwork on this very point as long as Bernie remains in primary mode through to convention
Enjoy the ride!
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)election, like 2008 was. It's going to generate a huge turnout. Don't believe me? Just watch.
HumanityExperiment
(1,442 posts)You're one of those type DEMs, got it
On issues HRC is GOP light, on image she'd be the first female prez
Your 'position' and postings make complete sense when taken in with that image context
Squinch
(50,955 posts)It isn't enough to make me lose my terror at the possibility of a Drumpf election, and we MUST do the work from here till November, but it's a start.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)the Senate along with her. She'll add House members to the count, as well.
eridani
(51,907 posts)--going to vote for Dems down-ticket.
gordianot
(15,238 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)and they can hold a knife to her throat because they feel bad they lost.
The reasonable Sanders supporters will recognize that her record and Sanders's in actual votes are very similar and will come over. Others will not. That is an accepted fact.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)one camp now. A person can either be in it or not.
And no, that's got nothing to do with loyalty oaths or getting in line or whatever other jingo might come to mind.
It's just reality.
gordianot
(15,238 posts)It has worked well enough for Republicans.
Squinch
(50,955 posts)gordianot
(15,238 posts)Deterministic nonsense, ignore who or what turns the wheel at your own peril.
Squinch
(50,955 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)She married my best friend in high school, and they're still together, over 50 years later. My old girlfriend went on to other things, but we still stay in contact once in a while to keep up with each others' lives.
workinclasszero
(28,270 posts)The people have expressed their will at the ballot box....but do the Sanders fans really care about that?
Time will tell I suppose.
Punkingal
(9,522 posts)kstewart33
(6,551 posts)MMan isn't going anywhere.
It's time to turn the page and focus on what really matters - growing the movement into a permanent entity that gets things done.
bkkyosemite
(5,792 posts)Apples and Oranges.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)I've been here too long to do that. Your suggestion is noted, though.
kstewart33
(6,551 posts)I joined in 2001 but left for awhile. You?
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Someone will be along shortly, I'm sure, to tell you that I used to post on Free Republic. I was banned there in 2006 for "anti-freeping," which accurately describes what I was doing there.
Punkingal
(9,522 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Punkingal
(9,522 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)On the other hand, you did tell me to leave. Think about that, if you would. This thread is not about that in any way.
Punkingal
(9,522 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)anyone tell anyone else to leave.
Well, other than you.
PufPuf23
(8,785 posts)GW Bush won in 2004 >
Results matter and not always for the good.
The coming months may be interesting.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)I hope the General Election mode doesn'lt devolve into that,.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Count on it. There's much truth in that, actually, if you actually stop and think about it. I hope everyone does stop and think about the differences between Trump and Clinton. They're telling.
ecstatic
(32,707 posts)taking donations without a path is fraud.
Then when you factor in Trump--the stakes are really too high at this point. There's no more time for games and egos. We can't sit by and watch a mentally unstable man become president. He's a loose canon--we don't know what he'd do... But I trust the people who remember WW2 and are sounding the alarm about how similar Trump's rhetoric is to Hitler's.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)to vote for Clinton. And that includes a lot of Republicans who aren't teabaggers. Sane people will not vote for a mentally unbalanced President, I'm quite certain.
On to November!
2pooped2pop
(5,420 posts)be sure to pat yourself on the back when the impeachment hearings start. If she ever gets that far.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)Congratulations should go to Hillary Clinton. She's the one running. I have one vote. I had literally nothing to do with this.
Impeachment? Not happening.
2pooped2pop
(5,420 posts)count on it.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)for actions taken as President. Your prediction is way premature. She isn't President yet.
gordianot
(15,238 posts)Remember Spiro Agnew impeachment was not necessary.
2pooped2pop
(5,420 posts)She is a liability.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)WE don't want Dems to be impeached.
2pooped2pop
(5,420 posts)Turin_C3PO
(14,004 posts)I support Sanders and his agenda considerably more than I do Clinton's but I do like her and prefer to attack Republicans rather than Dems.
George II
(67,782 posts)...
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)They vote at the same time as the other delegates from each state.
George II
(67,782 posts)...superdelegate to flip - William Jefferson Clinton?
The way they've run this campaign I would be surprised if they try doing that!
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)They're all serious adults. They know their own minds, I'm quite certain.
Demsrule86
(68,586 posts)It was after they switched/pledged to Obama that Hillary dropped out. There was no path for her. She was much closer in delegates and had won the popular vote...Sanders has nothing to sway the supers other than polls ...eight months out are meaningless. Heis finished. And should show the grace to get out as soon as possible. He can do no good.
hamsterjill
(15,222 posts)I am going to try my best to simply disregard any posts that pretend otherwise.
Hillary will be the nominee, and it's time for those of us who are Democrats to get behind her, support her, and help her win the Presidency.
Gothmog
(145,313 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)of delegates to secure the nomination. Until one does, the primary continues.
Gothmog
(145,313 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)saying. And I am pretty sure you know that.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)B Calm
(28,762 posts)Squinch
(50,955 posts)No one has called you a liar. Get over it.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)and we'll get along just fine.
Squinch
(50,955 posts)to get along with them, count me out.
Now go ahead. Ask me if I'm calling you a liar.
B Calm
(28,762 posts)Beacool
(30,250 posts)So will her supporters. That doesn't mean that Sanders doesn't have the right to stay until the last state has voted. The primaries are not officially over and he should be treated with respect. Remember that we will all need to unite against the real enemy, the Republicans and Trump.
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)It will take some time to make the complete turn, though. I agree with your last sentence, though, 100%.
k8conant
(3,030 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)chillfactor
(7,576 posts)some redneck bernie supporters still trying to be ugly posters because their candidate will not get the nomination.....what is WRONG with you rednecks? WE are Democrats...when did you leave the party?
Stuckinthebush
(10,845 posts)And neve planned on being Dems. Kind of like Sanders. Never a Dem and won't change his affiliation after he loses the nomination.
mcar
(42,334 posts)ymetca
(1,182 posts).. meme .. reminds me of the Borg Collective.
Democracy should never stop arguing about its leaders, don't you think?
MineralMan
(146,317 posts)As I understand it, that was all fiction. Right?
We have these things called elections here. That's when people stop arguing and vote as they choose. I suggest that is not similar to any fictional hive mind thing.
Not voting and letting things just happen seems more hive-like to me, somehow.
Maybe you should rethink or start reading and watching non-fiction.
ymetca
(1,182 posts)Any less of a fiction than the money that runs it?
Logical
(22,457 posts)MineralMan
(146,317 posts)I'm an old man, but I do pretty well most days. I have a bit of arthritis in my hips, and suppose I'll have to go bionic with those in a few years. I don't run well, but then, I never did. All of my systems are working well in general, at least for now.
I sleep well, and wake up refreshed every morning. I can still put in a full day of the work I do, and I'm still getting better at it. So, I guess, I'm feeling pretty darned good, considering.
Thanks for asking. That was very kind of you, but I'm OK, so no need to worry about me.
On the other hand, you could give some thought to my parents, who are 91 years old now. They're still living at home, and my father is still out on the tractor, as needed. But, they're slowing down. They don't hear so well any more, and my Mom is getting a little forgetful. They don't have a lot of energy, usually. They seem to be wearing out. I'm concerned about them, so I call them every afternoon at the end of my work day, and we talk about whatever comes up.
BTW, they've been Republicans for decades, but they'll be voting for Hillary in November. Neither of them can stand Trump.
Nice to chat with you, as always.