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MadBadger

(24,089 posts)
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:08 AM Apr 2016

Bernie is not John Kasich

Kasich needs 162% of the remaining delegates to get the nomination. Bernie is not mathematically eliminated.

He is however realistically eliminated from getting the most pledged delegates, based off all polling, modeling, etc. The way the primaries have gone, there is less than 1% chance Bernie gets the kind of numbers he needs to, to pass Hillary in pledged delegates.

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Bernie is not John Kasich (Original Post) MadBadger Apr 2016 OP
The posters who blab "MATH!" don't understand "math." Bernie needs 64.5% morningfog Apr 2016 #1
You're correct for the most part Renew Deal Apr 2016 #3
Super delegates count at the convention. morningfog Apr 2016 #5
Actually, he needs 107% of the remaining delegates. JaneyVee Apr 2016 #4
No, you are wrong. morningfog Apr 2016 #6
Ok, sure. JaneyVee Apr 2016 #7
He isn't any better at math than you are. morningfog Apr 2016 #8
You can't include super delegates in "The Math." MadBadger Apr 2016 #9
Of course I can include them, because... JaneyVee Apr 2016 #10
I agree with the latter MadBadger Apr 2016 #12
Post removed Post removed Apr 2016 #2
Kasich might have better odds of being President nt firebrand80 Apr 2016 #11
 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
1. The posters who blab "MATH!" don't understand "math." Bernie needs 64.5%
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:10 AM
Apr 2016

of remaining pledged delegates. WHile that is essentially politically impossible, it is not mathematically impossible.

Kasich, and now Cruz I believe, are mathematically eliminated. Bernie is not.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
5. Super delegates count at the convention.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:18 AM
Apr 2016

It's been repeated non stop that the supers will got with the pledged delegate winner.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
6. No, you are wrong.
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:19 AM
Apr 2016

The supers will go with the pledged delegate winner. So the number to win is 2,026.

Regardless, your math is wrong. It's 98% if you wrongfully include supers as non-movable.

MadBadger

(24,089 posts)
9. You can't include super delegates in "The Math."
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:45 AM
Apr 2016

Because if somehow, Bernie were to win the pledged delegates, those supers would uproot themselves and go into his corner.

MadBadger

(24,089 posts)
12. I agree with the latter
Wed Apr 27, 2016, 09:50 AM
Apr 2016

But if Bernie were to somehow win 80% of the remaining delegates, those supers would leave in droves to Bernie's camp.

It's not going to happen, but it's also why I wouldnt say he needs over 100% of the remaining delegates.

Response to MadBadger (Original post)

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