2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumWhats our buffer against WI
I just need to ask so i sleep better at night . Now i know polls have shown an average +4 lead for the president and i guess with scott walker's win in the recall makes me a little nervous because our ground game may not be as strong as theirs . Simply put will OHIO ,Nevada and IOWA Be good enough in the event that WI fails.
Just to clarify I am not a concern troll , i am just cautious . I know the has been a flood of trolls lately but really not everybody with a low post count(i prefer to surf threads and not reply) is a troll of some sort.
Lex
(34,108 posts)ChiTownChavista
(55 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)nsd
(2,406 posts)Even NH is big enough to suffice. Other possibilities are CO, VA, FL, and NC. There are several routes to 270.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)...IA, CO, NV, and NH (if we lose Wisconsin).
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)WE WILL CARRY WISCONSIN FOR OBAMBA & TAMMY BALDWIN AS OUR NEXT US SENATOR. The recall had a lot of people (at least 10-15%) who voted for Walker just because they opposed recall elections on principal.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)Wisconsin is an absolute must-win state for Democrats for keeping both the White House and the Senate!
What a lot of people keep forgetting the night of recall those same voters said they would support Obama.
A lot of people opposed recall on prinicabal.And every poll had Walker winning.So him winning recall wasn't some great upset.
Obama Is ahead In polls In Wi except for RAS.he and Tammy Baldwin will win.
dragonlady
(3,577 posts)There were apparently a significant number of people who voted for Walker or didn't vote, not because they liked him that much but because they felt it was unfair to take him out in the middle of the term he had won ("elections have consequences" . Many of those will be voting for Obama/Biden.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)I think Walker's victory was more of a vote against the recall process than against the Democrats.
Tutonic
(2,522 posts)Feel better?
RomneyLies
(3,333 posts)And WaPo has VA at O - 51, R - 47 as of tonight.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)Everyone is in Wisconsin campaigning there because the Dems must hold it and Romney has to have it without OH. But WI looks worse for him then OH and IA do.
OH, IA and WI seem to be moving together against Romney, ever so slightly. Anywhere from 2 points (RCP) to 3 to 4 (Poll Tracker and Pollster). NV is going along with those states at almost 2.5 at RCP and 4 points at Poll Tracker and Pollster. CO and VA are coming back into play for Obama after a few rough weeks.
Tutonic
(2,522 posts)Good concise description of what is taking place. K and R.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)grantcart
(53,061 posts)morningfog
(18,115 posts)about 50 EVs.
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)Rmoney has to fight for it because it's Eddie Munster's home.
jzodda
(2,124 posts)The campaign isn't worried about that state and so you shouldn't either. Its all about Ohio
mysuzuki2
(3,521 posts)In fact, I think Obama will take almost all of the northeast, the mid-Atlantic states, Virginia and the upper midwest, except Indiana. Basically the entire pre-1865 free states plus maybe a few border states. I'd be surprised if he didn't get 350 or so electoral votes even if the popular vote is close.