2016 Postmortem

CloneClinton

(31 posts) Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:16 PM Oct 2012

Only poll keeping PBO from leading nationally is the bullshitter Gallup poll who was off by 7% in 08

This is what Gallup poll looked like in 2000

-October 27, 2000 Gallup Bush 52% - Gore 39%
2000 actual results Gore 48.4 % - Bush 47.9%

-2008 Gallup had Obama winning by 11 pts Only won by 5 pts, Gallup was off 7 pts and was one of the worst predictors in 2008, Nate Silver nailed it.... Yet Gallup is the poll the media lives by..

-This lets you know the good pollsters and predictors from the bad ones... Gallup was bad..
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2008/11/05/election-poll-review-who_n_141448.html

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Only poll keeping PBO from leading nationally is the bullshitter Gallup poll who was off by 7% in 08 (Original Post) CloneClinton Oct 2012 OP

Pre-election polls don't matter at this point. ffr Oct 2012 #1

Gallup was off by 4% in 2008 Welcome_hubby Oct 2012 #2

ffr

(22,672 posts)

1. Pre-election polls don't matter at this point.

Reply to CloneClinton (Original post)

Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:32 PM

Oct 2012

Encouraging everyone to vote early or vote, if they have to, on election day is the ballot poll that matters.

GOTV and let's win this thing going away.

Victory 2012

Welcome_hubby

(312 posts)

2. Gallup was off by 4% in 2008

Reply to CloneClinton (Original post)

Sat Oct 27, 2012, 08:37 PM

Oct 2012

When experts measure pollsters' accuracy, they use LV only, as LV always approximates the result better than RV.

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