2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumFive new 'Super Tuesday' polls--Santorum leads in 3 of them
(though I have to say OK is closer than I thought, must be because Gingrich is fairly strong there--though the Grinch has only a five-point lead on Mittens in GA):
YouGov released polls from five of the states that vote on March 6 and finds Rick Santorum leading in three of them, though Mitt Romney is close behind.
Oklahoma: Santorum 28%, Romney 25%, Gingrich 20% and Paul 8%.
Ohio: Santorum 33%, Romney 27%, Gingrich 12% and Paul 9%.
Tennessee: Santorum 32%, Romney 23%, Gingrich 16% and Paul 13%.
Massachusetts: Romney 56%, Santorum 16%, Gingrich 5% and Paul 5%.
Georgia: Gingrich 32%, Romney 27%, Santorum 17% and Paul 10%.
http://politicalwire.com/archives/2012/03/02/santorum_leads_in_three_super_tuesday_states.html
Old and In the Way
(37,540 posts)Won't be much going on there this primary cycle.
vaberella
(24,634 posts)I always think the most country like states will go Santorum---Ohio is a sick fluke.
grantcart
(53,061 posts)It does online polls, and is not considered very accurate;
Here they were outperformed by twitter; http://www.guardian.co.uk/media/pda/2010/may/13/twitter-tweetminster-election
Here the predicted In the 2007 Labour leadership race- fought under the same rules- YG called it confidently for Son-of-Benn.
He finished fourth.
http://lukeakehurst.blogspot.com/2010/09/yougovs-accuracy.html
Renew Deal
(81,866 posts)Even if he eeks out wins, he will not get the majority of the delegates in most races.
Santorum has really tanked in Georgia.
Santorum lead in Michigan too.
Every poll in nearly every state someone else will be "leading" Romney. Why? It gives the 24/7 news cycle something to talk about.
After Romney gets the nom we will hear about how close he is with Obama and see dozens of maps showing how Mittens can beat Obama in November. Then they'll call the election before the west coast polls close due to the landslide sweep by Obama just like 2008.
These "polls" are pointless. It's the news cycle creating news.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)I do think this constant day to day polling is a stupid waste of time.
Pundits and voters spend sooooooo much energy on a point or 2 of poll changes every day and ignore what the politicians are really about.
Countless hours are spent daily breaking down what politician X needs to do for that point. yet not one of the pundits will examine any of the politicians in a true light and evaluate who they actually are.
ALL that matters is keeping the buzz alive. The only way to do that is with a "close" race. Once the winning side has a clear winning advantage the story dies.
What am I getting at here? All of these numbers are meaningless drivel to keep a "story" alive and bring advertising $$$ in.
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)Washington GOP Presidential Caucus PPP (D) Romney 37, Santorum 32, Paul 16, Gingrich 13
Ohio GOP Presidential Primary Quinnipiac Santorum 35, Romney 31, Gingrich 17, Paul 12
Ohio GOP Presidential Primary Rasmussen Reports Santorum 33, Romney 31, Gingrich 15, Paul 11
Georgia GOP Presidential Primary Rasmussen Reports Gingrich 38, Romney 26, Santorum 20, Paul 7
North Carolina GOP Presidential Primary PPP (D) Santorum 31, Romney 25, Gingrich 23, Paul 8
2012 GOP Presidential Nomination Gallup Tracking Romney 35, Santorum 23, Gingrich 16, Paul 11
These all show Romney moving up. If he somehow keeps from making any dumb comments between now and ST, he probably does alot better than many are predicting.
davidpdx
(22,000 posts)in several CD's so he may not qualify for delegates even if he wins. Looks like Romney is up to no good like in Iowa, and Michigan.
Mr.Turnip
(645 posts)DCBob
(24,689 posts)He could say something like if this guy cant even run a competent campaign how is he going to run this country.