Washington Post Poll of Virginia Obama 51% Romney 47%

[WI_DEM]

(Ihis is great news! and should give pause to the MSM which wants to write the state off to Romney):

http://www.washingtonpost.com/politics/decision2012/2012/10/27/6ce69246-2057-11e2-9cd5-b55c38388962_story.html

President Obama is clinging to a slender, four-point lead over Republican Mitt Romney in Virginia, as both sides ramp up already aggressive campaigns in the crucial battleground state, according to a new Washington Post poll.

Obama outpolled Romney, 51 to 47 percent, among likely Virginia voters, although he lost the clearer 52-to-44 percent advantage he held in mid-September

Unlike in national polls, Obama still has an edge when Virginia voters are asked who better understands their financial problems, and he has not fallen behind a surging Romney on the question of who would better handle the national economy. Nor has Obama lost significant ground among self-identified independents in Virginia, as he has nationally.

The numbers reflect the intensity of the two campaigns in Virginia. Obama has attended 19 political events in the state this year, including a rally in Richmond last week and another planned for Monday in Prince William County. Romney has attended 20 political events in the state since winning the Republican nomination, and he would have attended a 21st Sunday had it not been canceled in advance of Hurricane Sandy.

Virginia, like Ohio and Florida, is particularly critical for Romney, whose path to the White House would be difficult without the state’s electoral votes.

Both candidates see a path to victory in Virginia.

Obama is counting heavily on his advantages among African American, Latino and female voters, and on his support in Washington’s inner suburbs and the urban centers of Richmond and Hampton Roads.

[michello]

1. This is awesome!

[LisaL]

2. Slender lead?

Four points ain't bad.

[blue-kite]

16. According to Nate 4 pts unbeatable (as average) at this point in race...

So slight caveat to great news!

[Phx_Dem]

29. Bingo!! This is GREAT news.

[regnaD kciN]

49. But Rmoney is "surging"...

...according to the article.

[Cosmocat]

52. lol

its just fucking clockwork ...

[kansasobama]

3. You made my day

Oh God.....Great.....Great......

And Romney canceled his trip there...

We want your WI to be 4 points ahead......Scotty is making me nervous. I just think that man is cunning....

My Brownback is his twin....

[My Pet Goat]

4. I don't care how WP spins this relative to their last poll this is awesome...

and will be a big motivation to the O-team in the state and also changing the media narrative about Virginia slipping away.

[GetTheRightVote]

5. Great news for sure...

[ncav53]

6. Nice, Ohio + VA + one more state equals victory

[My Pet Goat]

10. Ohio + Virginia = OHVA

[boingboinh]

42. Hahaha..You make funny.

[My Pet Goat]

44. Thanks, I think Nate Silver coined the phrase.

[Phx_Dem]

33. WI, NV, IA all at or over the 2-3 pt. avg threshold that Nate says spells VICTORY.

[geek tragedy]

7. I really hope the state polls are right this year. nt

[rightsideout]

8. This is great news

But it sounds like the Obama campaign needs to increase the Ground War and contact voters.

I'm hoping VA turns Blue like we are in MD and DC.

[Si MC]

25. The "ground war" in VA is in full swing, don't worry.

Tens of thousands of women in that state, in DC, in PA, even in TN and NC, are working on electing Obama with their volunteer efforts, calls, door to door canvassing.

VA is very much in contention this year, and very winnable, if we can get women and liberal men, and people of color out to vote.

There's an effort underway there, you may read about it in years to come, down to the getting women out to vote by driving them to the polls.

Then, of course, we have Rachel Maddow, and Governor Vagina probe/now reformed to mere ultrasound. This, itself, gets out 40,000 votes for Obama in 2012.

[LiberalLoner]

35. The ground war here is AWESOME. President Obama is going to WIN Virginia, I just know it!

[Liberal_Stalwart71]

53. Please don't forget Maryland. We have more volunteers

in VA than any other state and DC. We are working our asses off in VA!!!

[BeyondGeography]

9. Mitt Romney is clinging to slender hopes for the WH

is more like it.

Wonderful, apart from the BS lede.

[LukeFL]

61. LoL

More like it

[blazeKing]

11. I knew it!

YES!

The tightening up was expected but this is great news.

Confirms the Time and PPP polls

[tbennett76]

12. Dovetails with my prediction

of Obama winning nationally by 5 and VA by 5. I believe at this moment POTUS is winning by 4, 51-47 nationwide.

[TroyD]

13. "Obama clings to slim lead"

[fugop]

19. They're killing me!

I just don't know whether to laugh or cry at how ridiculous the media is. "Clinging" to a 4-point lead with only a week to go...

Just ridiculous.

[geek tragedy]

14. Guys, one caveat: big time enthusiasm gap in this poll

Contrary to the most recent national numbers, in Virginia, Obama has an advantage on enthusiasm: 70 percent of his backers are “very enthusiastic” about his candidacy in the new poll, compared with 56 percent of those who back Romney.

Ha!

[ProSense]

18. That caveat is for Mitt supporters? n/t

[WI_DEM]

23. That is even more good news.

[LisaL]

27. Now, that enthusiasm gap I can believe in!

[CloneClinton]

43. Caveat

If their so enthusiastic why are they not standing in lines in OH, IA and Florida like PBO people are...

[imgbitepolitic]

15. Where is their national poll?

No way they have him down nationaly when up 4 in va.

[abumbyanyothername]

17. 347 is my number. O-mentum in the closing week.

And Obama sweeps all the battlegrounds: PA-WI-NV-OH-IA-NH-VA-CO-FL-NC (in approximate order of probability).

AZ might turn.

VA would be particularly interesting to hear from a full ballot poll or at least the top four: "Who are you voting for, Mitt Romney, Gary Johnson, Barack Obama or Virgil Goode?"

[link:][/link]

[DCBob]

20. 4 points at this point is not "slender"..

that may be insurmountable.

[blue-kite]

24. It is... Historically... But only if an average of more polls.

[DCBob]

36. If its accurate its probably insurmoutable...

given Obama's superior ground game.. not to mention Goode and Johnson.

[WI_DEM]

21. Get ready for Ras to put out a VA poll on Monday with Romney up by 4!

[imgbitepolitic]

22. If

Rcp was not biased and included all va polls it would show obama leading not tied.

[blue-kite]

26. But it is using ths poll!

[DCBob]

37. Its tied at the moment.

only because of biased RW pollsters.

[blazeKing]

28. Wanna know how enthusiastic Mitt supporters are here?

He was only like 10 points ahead of Ron Paul here in the primary. Yes, Ron Paul. And they were the only two on the ballot.

[abumbyanyothername]

34. Gary Johnson and Virgil Goode are on the ballot.

In November.

[WI_DEM]

54. they should hurt Romney

[Arneoker]

45. One of my neighbors is sure enthusiastic about him!

But he has a nice old dog that everyone loves, so I still think he's an okay guy.

Anyway, remember this is one poll, and the average on Huffington Pollster is lower, less than one percent I think. But I'm optimistic. I believe that they still have a pretty good ground game here.

[tbennett76]

30. Rasmussen may not be in business next election if I can get the Justice Department

to investigate these fraudulent pollsters. Working on it.

[Tutonic]

31. MSM coming home

to roost. Let's see where that FAUX news lands.

[CloneClinton]

32. Slender lead

4 points in this day and age is more than slender..

[BlueDemKev]

38. Good news!

Let's keep our efforts at full strength...

[VirginiaTarheel]

39. Dems should really promote early walkin absentee voting in Virginia

[aaaaaa5a]

40. I love the msm media

"clinging to a slender lead!"

[barnabas63]

41. But...but but but! What happened to the Romney surge??

[tbennett76]

46. RAND will nail this

election, book it.

[abumbyanyothername]

56. If the CIA doesn't know

who does?

[RBInMaine]

47. Methinks MittTwit RobMe is FUCKED. Now GOTV GOTV GOTV!!

[Blaukraut]

48. If Obama is clinging to a slender lead, I guess Romney is stoutly bringing up the rear? n/t

[WI_DEM]

50. to say the least

[BraKez2]

51. I want so badly for my state to stay Blue

this made my night....

[Jennicut]

55. When Mittbot is behind in a poll, he is statistically tied. When Obama has a lead of 4 points, it is

a tie or a "slender" lead. The MSM is idiotic and I normally don't let every little MSM thing piss me off. Because I already know many in the MSM are idiotic to begin with. But I have had enough of this crap. I do have appreciation of the good ones though, like Rachel, Ezra, Chris Hayes, Melissa Harris Perry, Eugene Robinson. There are more I do like. But the hacks, they burn me.

[WI_DEM]

57. We've seen a lot of bias by the MSM, haven't we?

[Jennicut]

58. It is pissing me off now.

I usually ignore the hacks because I know they are not real reporters. They are conventional wisdom types that helped legitimize W Bush in 2000.
They hated Gore and thought Bush was warm and funny. Meanwhile, Gore would have been an incredible President. They did the same to Kerry. It is harder to do to Obama since he is so personable and Mittens is so awkward. This is the only way they have to rise Mitt up.
I don't know why the hacks do it. Are they bored with a race where one person is a clear winner? Possibly. They are lazy and don't do very good, hard hitting, factual reporting. Many are like Erin Burnett and do false equivalency crap. I wouldn't mind Burnett as she seems likable and we are the same age so I find her relatable. But her journalism is so shallow. Many in the MSM are like that.

[LukeFL]

59. Slender lead... Assholes!!!

[WI_DEM]

60. you can say that again.

[TroyD]

62. Obama went up to 60% Chance of Winning VA in Nate Silver tonight

http://fivethirtyeight.blogs.nytimes.com/