Philadelphia Inquirer Poll of New Jersey Obama 51% Romney 41%
(the article itself is more negative than it needs to be, and right now it shows Obama getting 78% of the Dem vote. I predict that He will have a lot of those undecided dems coming home which will bolster his lead to 12 or 13-points or more. He is also winning women by +17):
President Obama holds a 10-point lead over challenger Mitt Romney in the latest Inquirer poll of likely New Jersey presidential voters, indicating that he will win the state but fall short of his 16-point margin of victory in the state in 2008.
The Inquirer New Jersey Poll, conducted Tuesday through Thursday, with less than two weeks to go before the election, could reflect a decline in enthusiasm for Obama nationally compared with four years ago, when he became the first African American president by running on a platform of change.
Any drop in support for Obama in New Jersey won't affect the outcome in the state, where the president will win and pick up 14 electoral votes, pollsters said.
But it could be a sign that support is soft in traditionally Democratic states and that he could lose the national popular vote. That needn't prevent him from winning the Electoral College and the presidency, as candidate George W. Bush demonstrated in 2000.
The telephone poll of 601 voters was conducted by a bipartisan team of pollsters. It has a sampling error of 4 percent.
http://www.philly.com/philly/news/politics/NJpoll/20121026_Poll__Obama_leads_Romney_by_10_points_in_N_J.html
