Bernie Sanders Is Seeing Gains In States That Have Yet To Vote

[awake]

"Sen Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) is on the verge of catching up to Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton, if national polls of the primary are any gauge."

Read full story here;
http://www.huffingtonpost.com/entry/bernie-sanders-upcoming-primaries_us_571a7d4de4b0d0042da93713

[smiley]

1. They sure covered their butt in that article didn't they?

From the article:

The rest of the calendar doesn’t look especially favorable for Sanders, offering relatively few of the caucus states where he’s racked up big margins. Modeling predictions give Clinton the edge in most of next Tuesday’s primary states.

Regardless, even a notable uptick for Sanders may end up being too little, too late to overcome his current deficit in either pledged delegates or the popular vote.

Setting the narrative for (cough) win again.

[onehandle]

2. Slipping nationally, slipping in biggest states, slipping by delegates, slipping by millions...

...of votes.

But We Can Doos It!

[IamMab]

5. As long as the kids have fun though, right? Because that's what it's all about...

[Tarc]

3. "...if national polls of the primary are any gauge"

Unfortunately, they are not.

The Problem With Bernie Sanders’ Polling Argument

The numbers are accurate, but both Democratic and Republican pollsters say that they don’t mean as much as Sanders says they do.

To be sure, Clinton also makes the case that she would be a stronger candidate in a general election due to her experience and ability to compromise. But Sanders’ emphasis on the polls is misguided, experts say.

General election polls taken months before voting day have a history of being wrong. According to data compiled by FiveThirtyEight, general election polls taken a year in advance have been inaccurate by more than 5 percentage points in the last 10 out of 14 elections for which there is data.

Even polls six months out are inaccurate, too. For example, at this point in the 2000 election, late April polls showed then-Gov. George W. Bush with a strong national lead of five points over then-Vice President Al Gore. Bush lost the popular vote to Gore by half a percentage point that November.

[Baobab]

4. Hillary's "ability to compromise" moral values is labeled an advantage?

nt