'Sanders must win all remaining contests by 20 points to catch Clinton in pledged delegates.'

[kstewart33]

That's from National Public Radio (NPR) today on Weekend Edition.

Okay, Bernie supporters, how is Bernie going to do it?

Does anyone know the specifics that comprise his 'path to victory'?

[KingFlorez]

1. He's going to keep Clinton below viability in California

At least that's what the Sanders people think.

[griffi94]

2. No chance.

I wonder what that number will be after Tuesday.

[Meteor Man]

3. Victory?

You still don't get it. The revolution will not end with the primary.

The GE will not sidetrack the revolution. This is the warm up. Democracy Spring is the warm up.

Feeling The Bern is victory in and of itself. Throw off the shackles and rise up! Rise up for the long battle ahead!

[kstewart33]

6. No MM, I get it.

I'm tired of posting ad nauseum that it's the revolution that matters most, not all the bitching about Hillary.

I'm waiting to see the Democracy Spring. So far, it seems to be hanging out in the wings instead of center stage.

[TheDormouse]

4. Regardless, Clinton won't win enough pledged delegates herself to clinch

the nomination before the convention.

[kstewart33]

5. Sure would be useful to see the numbers that support your statement.

I've heard your view from many others. But there's been nothing specifically provided that supports Bernie's 'path to victory.' Have you seen anything?

[TheDormouse]

7. Yes

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/seth-abramson/a-contested-democratic-convention_b_9672328.html

[SFnomad]

11. The Democratic Convention will not be contested

If BS drags it out that far, it will be Secretary Clinton winning it on the first round of balloting. She will have the majority of pledged delegates, she will have the vast supermajority of Superdelegates ... which will only mean one thing ... Secretary Clinton will be the Democratic Nominee.

[kstewart33]

13. Those numbers appear to be wrong.

The article begins with percentages that are inconsistent with the latest polling.

The total projected percentages for Hillary: for PA, the latest two polls have it at 52% and 58% rather than the article's 49%. For Maryland, it's 57% and 58% instead of 55%. For New York of course, the actual percentage is 58% versus the article's projected 53%.

For California, the article is only off by 1 point: 47% and the latest poll's 48% result. But who knows what will happen in California in June?

The source for the latest numbers is http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com

The article's misses are because the piece is 11 days old.

I guess my point is that we really don't know what the actual numbers will be, but given her NY win, Tuesday is not looking so good for Sanders. But who knows - so much that's happened in the last 6 months was not predicted.

[muriel_volestrangler]

15. He also quotes only the numbers that said 'I will vote for Hillary', without giving 'don't knows'

So he quotes the latest poll he had for New York then as 'Clinton 53%'. That would appear to be the April 12th Quinnipac poll - Clinton 53%, Sanders 40%. http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/#

53% out of 93% is 57% out of 100% - ie very close to the actual New York result.

[Sparkly]

18. I think that was posted before NY, no?

[pnwmom]

16. True -- if we apply a NEW standard and move the goal posts for the first woman

to ever get this far.

The standard applied to men has been getting a majority of PLEDGED delegates -- which would mean 2026. She will have no problem doing that.

The only reason she wouldn't have enough delegates is if -- for the first time, for the first woman -- we make her wait till the convention to claim the super delegates who have already endorsed her.

[NurseJackie]

8. Hmmm. That's not going to happen. He just can't do it.

Bernie is NOT going to be our party's nominee. There's just no two ways about it. Our nominee will be Hillary Clinton.

[boston bean]

10. reality it conspiracy to some. There aint no convincing people who are so deluded.

I'm sorry I don't have a better word for it, but it fits perfectly.

[SFnomad]

9. Never. Gonna. Happen. n/t

[cherokeeprogressive]

12. Your point?

[Logical]

14. Why post this? Whining? Gloating? Or just being arrogant? nt

[kstewart33]

17. Logical, come on.

Be logical. Read the last sentence of my post.

I'm asking for any useful information (meaning from an objective source) about the state of the race from here on. Because I haven't seen any.

Second sentence - I ask Bernie supporters because they dominate this forum and so would be more likely to have info. Not that many Hillary supporters here.

No snark intended.

Stop being so dang touchy.

[Bread and Circus]

19. We all know the chances of Berrnie Sanders winning the primary are close to zero.

But still I think he needs to stay in until everyone has a chance to vote and withhold his support and endorsement for Clinton unless concessions are made.