Virginia raw data (2012 election decider)

[MyNameIsKhan]

Looking at 2008 elections and exit polls for 2008/2004, I have identified following counties that will play crucial role in VA

(2008 Obama - McCain)
Prince William 25797
Raonoke 15177
Henrico 18922
Richmond 54708
Newport 23305
Hampton 26441
Norfolk 38005

2008 Obama - McCain in above counties : 202355
2008 McCain Votes: 242752
2004 Kerry - Bush in above counties: 60000
2004 Bush Votes: 261891

As you see above not much moved between Bush and McCain in terms of R voters, some 20k moved and I suspect they will still vote Obama this time.

The demographics favor Pres Obama, based on 2010 census:
Population increase in following segments
Hispanic : 91.7%
African Americans: 11.6%
Whites: 7.2%

Lets consider final 2008 tally
2008 Obama - McCain Votes: 132266
If above counties can give Pres Obama similar number of votes, we win VA easily.

I will be adding early votes data to this soon.

[LiberalLoner]

1. Well, this Prince William County DU'er will be voting for Pres Obama, I promise you that.

I might not have a house standing by election day if the storm is as bad as they say but I will be voting anyway, no matter what. Like I said on another post only being dead would stop me and even then if I could figure out how to work the buttons as a ghost I'd vote then too.

[scheming daemons]

2. Not to mention that Virgil Goode is going to peel off 30,000 to 40,000 Romney votes