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TroyD

(4,551 posts)
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 08:52 AM Oct 2012

Third-quarter GDP rises *To* 2%, better than expected

Last edited Fri Oct 26, 2012, 09:44 AM - Edit history (1)

8:44AM EDT October 26. 2012 -

The nation's gross domestic product grew at an annual rate of 2% during the third quarter, the government said today, in one of the final pre-election looks at how the economy is recovering from the recession.

The results beat the 1.8% median forecast of 48 economists surveyed by USA TODAY, and indicate an economy that is moving slowly toward recovery, helped by an improving housing market.

Consumer spending, which has the biggest impact on economic growth, rose 2% last quarter after rising 1.5% in the second quarter. And investment in housing jumped 14.4% to help lead the way.

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More:

http://www.usatoday.com/story/money/business/2012/10/26/third-quarter-gdp/1657649/

10 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Third-quarter GDP rises *To* 2%, better than expected (Original Post) TroyD Oct 2012 OP
TY DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #1
"Better than expected" can only help. FBaggins Oct 2012 #3
That's Why I Gave It A 6 DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #4
Exactly correct on all points. nt FBaggins Oct 2012 #5
What If There Was Negative Growth? Or A Really Bad Number? DemocratSinceBirth Oct 2012 #6
I agree with the traditional view that economic perceptions are "baked in" much earlier in the year. FBaggins Oct 2012 #9
should help... primaryblue Oct 2012 #2
It's like the Hippocratic oath, "First do no harm" ItsTheMediaStupid Oct 2012 #7
IT did not rise 2%, it rose to 2% Darth_ Deciduous Oct 2012 #8
You're right in your explanation TroyD Oct 2012 #10

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
1. TY
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 08:53 AM
Oct 2012

On a scale of 1-10 for us I give a 2.0% GDP growth figure a 6.

Anything under 2.0 would have been disastrous.

Let's see how it plays out...

FBaggins

(26,756 posts)
3. "Better than expected" can only help.
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 08:58 AM
Oct 2012

Not particularly healthy growth... And it's too late in the cycle to help much... But at least it doesn't hurt.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
4. That's Why I Gave It A 6
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 09:05 AM
Oct 2012

I would have given a 3 an 8 but according to the "experts" voters views of the economy are already baked in .


I remember praying for a bad 3rd quarter GDP in 1992 that would help Clinton, It didn't come and it didn't matter.


DemocratSinceBirth

(99,710 posts)
6. What If There Was Negative Growth? Or A Really Bad Number?
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 09:17 AM
Oct 2012

Do you think the talking heads bloviating about it for the next three days would have upset the conventional wisdom that voters views of the economy are already baked in?

I am sure they are relieved in Washington and Chicago.

FBaggins

(26,756 posts)
9. I agree with the traditional view that economic perceptions are "baked in" much earlier in the year.
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 09:37 AM
Oct 2012

Having said that, a negative number would spark (legitimate) questions about whether or not we had entered a new recession.

7.8% vs. 8.1% unemployment isn't a particularly big deal, but recession vs. recovery would probably be a game-changer.

Luckily, that's not an issue.

ItsTheMediaStupid

(2,800 posts)
7. It's like the Hippocratic oath, "First do no harm"
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 09:18 AM
Oct 2012

It may not help much, but it doesn't provide much for the bad guys to blab about either.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)
10. You're right in your explanation
Fri Oct 26, 2012, 09:43 AM
Oct 2012

I just copied the heading from the article since that's their title.

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