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flamingdem

(39,314 posts)
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:01 PM Oct 2012

ABC peddling Rmoney @ 50% garbage, so obvious

Does anyone still have doubts about the motivations of the mainstream media? Does Koch money buy this or what?

EDIT: this is an ABC poll - the link off their front page:
http://abcnews.go.com/Politics/OTUS

Direct link:
http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics/2012/10/pm-note-five-oh-nationally-for-mitt-obama-votes-early-george-s-poll-watching-advice-ann-romney-feeds-30-for-137-50-mccain-back-onboard-with-mourdock/


Romney Hits the 50 Percent Mark in New Natl. Poll

By Gary Langer | ABC OTUS News – 2 hrs 56 mins ago


Mitt Romney has seized further advantage on economic issues at the core of the 2012 campaign, taking him to 50 percent support among likely voters vs. 47 percent for Barack Obama - Romney's highest vote-preference result of the contest to date.

The difference between the two candidates is within the margin of sampling error in the latest ABC News/Washington Post daily tracking poll, and their individual support levels have not significantly changed. But the momentum on underlying issues and attributes is Romney's.

Romney's gains are clear especially in results on the economy. This poll, produced for ABC by Langer Research Associates, finds that likely voters now pick Romney over Obama in trust to handle the economy by 52-43 percent - the first time either candidate has held a clear lead over the other on this central issue.

Equally important, Romney has erased Obama's customary advantage on which candidate better understands the economic problems of average Americans. Today, 48 percent pick Obama, 46 percent Romney - essentially a dead heat. Yesterday and today mark the first time in the campaign that Obama hasn't had at least a marginally significant lead on economic empathy.

Within-group trends on both these economic measures were covered in yesterday's analysis; they reflect movement in Romney's direction almost exclusively among white men, and particularly among less-educated white men.

SIGNALS - There are other signals of Romney's gains. Expectations are one: Fifty-two percent of likely voters now expect Obama to win the election, down from a peak of 61 percent in late September. Forty percent expect Romney to win - still well fewer than half, but up by 8 percentage points.

Notably, political independents divide by 42-46 percent on whether they expect Obama or Romney to win; that's shifted dramatically from 61-31 percent in Obama's favor. Whites, likewise, have moved from a 55-38 percent expectation in Obama's favor Sept. 29 to 44-48 percent now.

Romney is more competitive in another area, as well - international affairs. Even though likely voters by 2-1 picked Obama as the winner of Monday's debate on foreign policy, comfort with Romney on the issue nonetheless has progressed. He now runs essentially evenly with Obama in trust to handle international affairs, 48-47 percent, Obama-Romney, the first time they've been so close. It was +7 for Obama in mid-October, by contrast, and +8 in early September.

11 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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ABC peddling Rmoney @ 50% garbage, so obvious (Original Post) flamingdem Oct 2012 OP
Pulls even on international affairs... BeyondGeography Oct 2012 #1
YAHOO too Thrill Oct 2012 #2
This is ABC flamingdem Oct 2012 #8
Yahoo has always leaned repub!! Thekaspervote Oct 2012 #3
It's not Yahoo, it's an ABC poll right? flamingdem Oct 2012 #5
I just google the first part of the headline and got flamingdem Oct 2012 #4
I used to be a sportswriter Floyd_Gondolli Oct 2012 #6
Chart flamingdem Oct 2012 #7
These likely voter models are such crap! mvd Oct 2012 #9
This is where the mystery lies, do they realize no one will take them seriously flamingdem Oct 2012 #10
I will send a few e-mails if I am right mvd Oct 2012 #11

BeyondGeography

(39,377 posts)
1. Pulls even on international affairs...
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:03 PM
Oct 2012

Seems more and more like that's the batshit craziest polling sample ever.

flamingdem

(39,314 posts)
4. I just google the first part of the headline and got
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:07 PM
Oct 2012

About 358 results (0.35 seconds)

So 358 sites are carrying this crap now that seems to have been posted at 3pm EST

Maybe a thoughtful attempt to prevent Republican suicide?

 

Floyd_Gondolli

(1,277 posts)
6. I used to be a sportswriter
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:10 PM
Oct 2012

In another life I covered high school and college sports for a large metro paper.

When I would cover a football game for example, I had one rooting interest and that was for a well played, exciting and close game. Blowout wins were boring. I wanted to be entertained.

My guess is reporters who cover politics have similar motivation.

mvd

(65,179 posts)
9. These likely voter models are such crap!
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:34 PM
Oct 2012

The media is just using them to push Romney's numbers up. Don't they see the early voting numbers? Or the swing state polls? Boy will they will be wrong on Election Day if they keep this up.

flamingdem

(39,314 posts)
10. This is where the mystery lies, do they realize no one will take them seriously
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:36 PM
Oct 2012

next time, or do they think that it will be forgotten?

I think we need to remind them later when their model turns out to be BS and can be described as an effort to push Romney's fake momentum.

mvd

(65,179 posts)
11. I will send a few e-mails if I am right
Thu Oct 25, 2012, 08:39 PM
Oct 2012

The likely voter model should be done away with or consist of one question only: do you plan on voting for President on Nov. 6?

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