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berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:00 PM Apr 2016

Brandie New Gravis Poll for NY Democratic Primary:

Hillary 53
Bernie 47

He's going the distance, he's going for speed
She's all alone, all alone in her time of need
Because he's racing and pacing and plotting the course
He's fighting and biting and riding on his horse
He's going the distance

14 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Brandie New Gravis Poll for NY Democratic Primary: (Original Post) berni_mccoy Apr 2016 OP
Its old TMontoya Apr 2016 #1
Polled then but just released. Largest sample size to date btw. berni_mccoy Apr 2016 #2
Irrelevant TMontoya Apr 2016 #4
Not that old. Bernie's closing the gap. Mark this thread... berni_mccoy Apr 2016 #5
Newer Polls TMontoya Apr 2016 #6
Only two polls with sample dates past this one and one has Sanders within 10 berni_mccoy Apr 2016 #7
I'll remember that TMontoya Apr 2016 #8
Bernie doesn't need to win NY. Hillary does. berni_mccoy Apr 2016 #10
What? TMontoya Apr 2016 #11
There have been 8 polls that have samples past the 6th, not two Godhumor Apr 2016 #12
Here is the link without comment DemocratSinceBirth Apr 2016 #13
most likely Old Codger Apr 2016 #3
Wouldn't it be great if it was another Wisconsin mistake by the media? pdsimdars Apr 2016 #9
Unless Old Codger Apr 2016 #14
 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
6. Newer Polls
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:09 PM
Apr 2016

Show Hillary with a double digit lead, all of them. Sorry but he is not closing anything. Hillary will likely win with at least 57% of the vote, probably more. There just isn't going to be a 15-20 point swing in 2 days.

 

berni_mccoy

(23,018 posts)
7. Only two polls with sample dates past this one and one has Sanders within 10
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:12 PM
Apr 2016

The other has a much smaller sample size and greater margin of error.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
8. I'll remember that
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:13 PM
Apr 2016

When Hillary is declared the winner of NY. Then I will standby for the excuse train to make its stop.


Oh and Gravis polling? Hardly reliable and on a right wing site to boot.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
11. What?
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:15 PM
Apr 2016

So if Bernie loses NY it means nothing? What about when he loses PA MD CT and DE the week after?

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
12. There have been 8 polls that have samples past the 6th, not two
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:19 PM
Apr 2016

And not one of them supports the conservative site OAN's commissioned poll by Gravis' conclusions.

It is an outlier. What is more it is an old outlier.

DemocratSinceBirth

(99,711 posts)
13. Here is the link without comment
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:25 PM
Apr 2016

One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 857 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,134 likely Democratic Primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.3% for Republicans and ± 2.9% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted on April 5th and 6th


http://www.oann.com/pollny/

 

Old Codger

(4,205 posts)
3. most likely
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 07:04 PM
Apr 2016

As far off as most of the rest of them have been.. he is going to take NY maybe not a big difference but a win

 

Old Codger

(4,205 posts)
14. Unless
Sun Apr 17, 2016, 09:40 PM
Apr 2016

The screwup with registrations is really bad and does not get fixed I think he will win by about 5 points

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