2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBrandie New Gravis Poll for NY Democratic Primary:
Hillary 53
Bernie 47
He's going the distance, he's going for speed
She's all alone, all alone in her time of need
Because he's racing and pacing and plotting the course
He's fighting and biting and riding on his horse
He's going the distance
TMontoya
(369 posts)Poll conducted april 6th. And even then it was an outlier.
berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)TMontoya
(369 posts)Its considered an outlier and again its old.
berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)TMontoya
(369 posts)Show Hillary with a double digit lead, all of them. Sorry but he is not closing anything. Hillary will likely win with at least 57% of the vote, probably more. There just isn't going to be a 15-20 point swing in 2 days.
berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)The other has a much smaller sample size and greater margin of error.
TMontoya
(369 posts)When Hillary is declared the winner of NY. Then I will standby for the excuse train to make its stop.
Oh and Gravis polling? Hardly reliable and on a right wing site to boot.
berni_mccoy
(23,018 posts)So if Bernie loses NY it means nothing? What about when he loses PA MD CT and DE the week after?
Godhumor
(6,437 posts)And not one of them supports the conservative site OAN's commissioned poll by Gravis' conclusions.
It is an outlier. What is more it is an old outlier.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,711 posts)One America News Network and Gravis Marketing, a nonpartisan research firm, conducted a random survey of 857 likely Republican Primary voters and 1,134 likely Democratic Primary voters. The poll has a margin of error of ± 3.3% for Republicans and ± 2.9% for Democrats, all at the 95% confidence level. The poll was conducted on April 5th and 6th
http://www.oann.com/pollny/
Old Codger
(4,205 posts)As far off as most of the rest of them have been.. he is going to take NY maybe not a big difference but a win
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Old Codger
(4,205 posts)The screwup with registrations is really bad and does not get fixed I think he will win by about 5 points