2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumCLINTON FAVORABILITY AT LOWEST LEVELS EVER RECORDED - 24, BERNIE + 9 FAVORABLITY, NEW NBC/WSJ POLL
*NBC News/WSJ Poll: Hillary Clinton's Favorability at Her Lowest Levels Ever Recorded*, Daily Kos, April 17, 2016.
A new NBC News/WSJ Poll looks at the favorability ratings of the remaining presidential candidates, and THE RESULTS SHOULD SCARE ANYONE WHO WANTS TO SEE HILLARY ELECTED in the fall should she win the nomination.
*HILLARY'S FAVORABILITY AMONG REGISTERED VOTERS IS NOW HER LOWEST EVER RECORDED by NBC News/WSJ (32% favorable, 56% unfavorable). CLINTON is 24 percentage points UNDERWATER, with a 32 percent positive rating compared to a 56 percent negative score. That's the former secretary of state's LOWEST RATING since the poll started tracking her favorability in January 2001.
*BERNIE SANDERS is viewed significantly more favorably (+9 net favorability):
For Sanders, who is continuing his hard-fought race against his Democratic rival despite long odds to surpass Clinton in the delegate math, it's 45 percent positive, 36 percent negative.
More disturbing is that in this poll, CLINTON HAS ACTUALLY FALLEN BEHIND TED *CRUZ (!!!) in terms of net favorability, who scores a -23 rating nationally. Take a look at the favorability trends from the chart:
One could hope that this is a temporary blip. But unfortunately, looking at the aggregate favorability from Huffington Post, it sure doesnt seem to be (and note that as of this writing, they have not included this poll which will skew the average even more downward:
SEE *GRAPH at Link, ''Hillary Clinton Favorable Rating'
(added from HuffPo, 'HC Favorability Charts':http://elections.huffingtonpost.com/pollster/hillary-clinton-favorable-rating#!estimate=custom
Hillary Clinton is the favorite to win the nomination. BUT SHE IS VIEWED IMMENSELY UNFAVORABLY BY VOTERS NATIONWIDE. Although TRUMP is in an even worse position, we should be wary of the risks here Clintons favorability is derived almost universally from democrats. She has virtually NO CROSS-OVER APPEAL to independents or republicans. Trump is viewed unfavorably by about half of Republicans, but does better among independents.
So whats the risk? If Hillary and Trump win their respective nominations, I believe (scary as it is) Trump has significantly more upside potential in his numbers. He will have to merely convince republicans to support him over Hillary, and hell have several months to do that. If he holds onto his relative strength among independents, It puts Hillary in a bind unless she can find a way to improve her image outside of her core base of democratic voters.
One way to do that is to *win over the Sanders coalition of independents. And that would mean staking out strong progressive positions in the general. On the other hand, I think a reality-based community needs to start dispensing with the notion that Hillary would be a stronger general election candidate than Bernie.
*If ELECTABILITY is the primary concern, it's time to VOTE BERNIE SANDERS if you have yet to do so.
http://www.dailykos.com/stories/2016/4/17/1516469/-NBC-News-WSJ-Poll-Hillary-Clinton-s-Favorability-at-Lowest-Levels-Ever-Recorded
Armstead
(47,803 posts)And that's all that matters.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)If she loses in the GE (and she WILL be the nominee), it's on Sanders.
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)If we lose the GE it is because Democrats failed to get out of their bubble and connect with reality.
She is the least trustworthy of all the candidates and only Trump is less liked than Hillary.
Bernie is at the top of both.
AND Bernie wins by much larger margins against any GOP candidate than Hillary does.
So, if YOU choose the candidate who is more likely to LOSE, don't blame anyone but yourself. AND if your candidate can't convince people to like her or trust her and can't convince them to vote for her, why are you trying to blame other people for your own failure.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)and is on the side of Wall Street, when in fact she's done more to reign in Wall Street, than than Sanders ever has. He's so unqualified to be President, his whole candidacy is a joke.
R. Daneel Olivaw
(12,606 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)nothing but come on here and push their empty talking points. They have nothing to add and I'm over it. So I won't be able to see this part of the thread from here on out.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Thank God for ignore. I get really tired of people who don't know what they are talking about but come in here and make statements like that. Go learn something.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)states you don't like, delegate counts you don't like. Kind of a pattern with Sanders supporters.
Katashi_itto
(10,175 posts)k8conant
(3,030 posts)We know, we know.
Yurovsky
(2,064 posts)Her character and integrity have been "problematic" since she first became a national figure. As the spotlight was turned on her Arkansas wheelings & dealings, many people realized she had "cut corners", to put it charitably.
Bernie didn't start any rumors or defame her. She's her own worst enemy. Taking millions in Wall Street cash and playing footsie with the robber baron CEOs who've destroyed our economy isn't going to make anyone view you as a paragon of virtue.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)The Old Lie
(123 posts)We have evidence that is completely contravenes what you just said.
840high
(17,196 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)"HENRY KISSINGER, HILLARY CLINTON'S TUTOR," The Nation.
"Henry Kissinger, Hillary Clintons Tutor in War and Peace: Last night, Clinton once again praised a man with a lot of blood on his hands."
By Greg GrandinTwitter, February 5, 2016
http://www.thenation.com/article/henry-kissinger-hillary-clintons-tutor-in-war-and-peace/
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)ChisolmTrailDem
(9,463 posts)pinebox
(5,761 posts)Welcome to reality.
You can lead a Hillary supporter to water but you can't make them drink it.
On and on it goes.
MaeScott
(878 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)malokvale77
(4,879 posts)does nothing but open our eyes wider to the corruption in our political system.
Bernie is not the liar here.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Clinton loses patience with environmental activist accused as one of those Sanders supporters (but isn't) she's so sick of.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)bjo59
(1,166 posts)it's Sanders' fault? How absurd. You've got the corporate media on your side, you've got most elected representatives on your side, super delegates on your side, the DNC on your side, the primary voting rules of many, many states on your side, Wall Street and corporate money on your side... what else do you want, for god's sake?
longship
(40,416 posts)R. Daneel Olivaw
(12,606 posts)longship
(40,416 posts)But if the chicken is fried, I am on board.
Stallion
(6,476 posts)nm
longship
(40,416 posts)And he will never run as an independent. He's promised that. And if you don't believe him, you don't know Bernie Sanders.
That's what so many people see in him, that they do not see in Hillary Clinton. She may win the nomination, but there are many of us who think that she cannot and does not win in November.
1. She won't carry independents.
2. Her negatives are the worst of any candidate.
Sad trombones for us if she gets the Dems' nod.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Last edited Mon Apr 18, 2016, 04:55 PM - Edit history (1)
And guess what? It's over. He's done. He's not going to be the nominee. And yet he continues to try to drag down HRC who is going to be the nominee. The Dems get one shot at this.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)The best shot (and the stats are backing this up) would be for Hillary to just step aside and get out of the way.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)She's already won. What part of "this is over" do you all not understand. The media is just playing you for fools trying to extend this horserace for ratings as long as they can.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)Not over til it's over, pal.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)things look like the Abyss.
longship
(40,416 posts)She wove that cloak for decades. She owns it. Nobody's going to get away with pinning that cloak on Bernie. It just doesn't fit him.
angrychair
(8,732 posts)Reading here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511750063
And here:
http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511748766
What is posted in the OP is not opinions. If you honestly take some time to look at it, I will gladly be willing to answer any questions that are asked in good faith.
Autumn
(45,120 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)tokenlib
(4,186 posts)People know Hillary and her positions. Her terrible favorability has nothing to do with Sanders. It has everything to do with her and her Third Way record.
R. Daneel Olivaw
(12,606 posts)What farce.
Clinton is her own worst enemy, and her fawning supporters can't deal with reality.
Pick a better candidate if you want to win.
Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)If she's the nominee I will vote for her... then I will walk out of the polling place, vomit, and go home to shower.
R. Daneel Olivaw
(12,606 posts)Some will stay home
Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)Nobody is entitled to anybody's vote. That's what Hillary and her people don't get.
As I said, I will vote for her if she's the nominee. Many will not, and I have no disdain for them.
840high
(17,196 posts)people who will not vote for her.
Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)For NOW I will vote for her over Trump or Cruz. By the time the GE has rolled around I may feel differently. BUT I will still vote in the down-ticket races regardless. I've got good candidates to vote for there... russ Feingold being most prominent among them.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)If she is the nominee and loses in the GE (which she will) it will be her own damn fault for alienating the left through subterfuge and deceit.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Marr
(20,317 posts)Stallion
(6,476 posts)I guess if we just started being just like Sanders supporters we could drive Sanders Favorables down too-just like many of the same Sanders supporters have been driving Obama's favorable down for years
What silliness.
senz
(11,945 posts)Stallion
(6,476 posts)and its about to get much bigger in the next 9 Days
Clinton, despite every possible advantage, also has failed to seal the deal with pledged delegates.
Today, no matter the outcome of NY or any other state after it, will not go into the Democratic National Convention with enough pledged delegates to win the nomination.
Its math:
2,382 delegates are needed to secure the nomination.
HRC has 1,289 pledged delegates (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html)
Remaining delegates outstanding is 1647 pledged delegates (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html)
Simple math tells you that to achieve the needed number, in pledged delegates, she will have to win 66% of all remaining delegates.
Since NY, CT, ND, OR and CA are not looking great for HRC, I don't see her hitting that 66% mark.
Stallion
(6,476 posts)and she's winning by substantial margins in New York, Connecticut, Pennsylvania, New Jersey and California
And even if she doesn't she's got about 95% of the Super Delegates-Its over
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/
angrychair
(8,732 posts)I gave you the numbers as they are today.
Please see below:
I am talking pledged delegates walking onto the convention floor on day 1.
You need 2,382 delegates to win, nominally, pledged delegates as you cannot count a "SuperDelegate" until they cast their vote on the convention floor.
Currently she has 1,289 pledged delegates.
There are 1,647 pledged delegates left on the table.
In order for her to walk onto the convention floor, as a winner with pledged delegates, she would need to win 66% of all remaining delegates.
That is mathematically improbable, if not impossible.
On edit, in NY, she is only 10 points up on Sanders in the newest NBC poll and he has over preformed in those situations, every time.
Sanders has eaten away a 64 point advantage and is also with 10 among registered Democrats in CA.
Its math:
2,382 delegates are needed to secure the nomination.
HRC has 1,289 pledged delegates (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html)
Remaining delegates outstanding is 1647 pledged delegates (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html)
Simple math tells you that to achieve the needed number, in pledged delegates, she will have to win 66% of all remaining delegates.
Since NY, CT, ND, OR and CA are not looking great for HRC, I don't see her hitting that 66% mark.
Stallion
(6,476 posts)she is 107% on track to a majority of the Pledged Delegates and with Clinton having 95% of the Super Delegates Sanders has no path to the nomination
angrychair
(8,732 posts)"Making stuff up" I sourced my information from Real Clear Politics, you are more than welcome to use those links to verify my source information. The rest is simple math:
2,382 delegates to secure nomination.
Clinton has 1,289
There are 1,647 pledged delegates left to be won.
She needs 2,382-1,289=1,093 delegates
1,093/1647=66% of remaining pledged delegates.
You are entitled to an own opinion but not your own facts.
Its math:
2,382 delegates are needed to secure the nomination.
HRC has 1,289 pledged delegates (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html)
Remaining delegates outstanding is 1647 pledged delegates (http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/democratic_delegate_count.html)
Simple math tells you that to achieve the needed number, in pledged delegates, she will have to win 66% of all remaining delegates.
Since NY, CT, ND, OR and CA are not looking great for HRC, I don't see her hitting that 66% mark.
Stallion
(6,476 posts)she only needs 721 more Pledged Delegates for a majority of Pledged Delegates. Updated today-538.com clearly shows exactly what she needs. With 95% of the Super Delegates, Sanders has no path the nomination
http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/
angrychair
(8,732 posts)I've rechecked my numbers on several sites, 1,289 is correct.
Actually, we will likely have to wait for sites to catch up but according to this story the numbers have changed. It says her lead is actually smaller now than it was a couple of weeks ago:
1,299 to 1,105.
http://m.huffpost.com/us/entry/clintons-delegate-lead-do_b_9711160.html
Cannot speak to it as I have nothing to source it against.
What I can say is that my math is correct and the numbers are accurate despite the partisan tripe of 538, written by a registered republican, you keep waving in my face.
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)global1
(25,263 posts)and she is not even the nominee yet. No way - If she loses it is all on her shoulders. Once the Repugs have at her - and they will be relentless - it will be up to her to be able to refute them. If she's having this hard of time dealing with Bernie (remember this was to be a slam dunk and Bernie was a lightweight) how is she going to deal with the stuff the Repugs throw at her. Bernie could have been tougher. He never even brought up the fact that she is under investigation by the FBI. The Repugs won't be so gracious - they will use the FBI meme.
So don't go starting to blame Bernie for her loss. It's all on Hillary's back as she's been running for president most of her adult life. Bernie is just a blip on that span.
ecstatic
(32,727 posts)BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)You're welcome.
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)Couldn't POSSIBLY be the craptastic, outdated campaign, the David Brock shit, the "I still believe in a place called nope" uninspiring negativity crap, the downright DELIBERATE condescending alienation of Millennials, etc etc.
Nah, it's all Bernie's fault, right?
Yeah, we know what's Bernie's fault, of course. He ran in the first place, and ITS HER TURN.
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)Their "revolution" has done well in ensuring Trump or Cruz have their best shot at taking the Whitehouse from one of most popular Democratic Presidents in modern history.
Viva la Republican 2016...
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)...for example, look at the position she is in below:
If you like Kissinger's policies, you'll absolutely love Hillary!
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)Response to Amimnoch (Reply #165)
Herman4747 This message was self-deleted by its author.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)She's the one that seeks out Kissinger guidance.
Amimnoch
(4,558 posts)So, everyone who's met with and discussed international affairs with Henry Kissinger deserves smearing? Well, Hermy baby, you got a long list to smear:
http://www1.pictures.zimbio.com/gi/Henry+Kissinger+James+E+Cartwright+Obama+Biden+-4LQGB2_3c1l.jpg
Kissinger and Obama
https://tse2.mm.bing.net/th?id=OIP.Mf66974466d458519df83aa601e13ab98o0&pid=15.1
Kissinger and Nelson Mandela
Kissinger and Biden
Kissinger and President Carter
But you all just go on with your cute little smear machine. Don't be hating just because Hillary actually has international diplomatic and state department experience, and the connections that goes with it. It's not her fault Bernie has hidden away in the smallest populated and 2nd most homogeneous state for the last 40 years, and just heckled from the stands while others did all of the heavy lifting. Here's a great house seat for him where he'd fit right in!
What's next, the photo's of her with Putin?
You'd do the republicans proud!
Oh, and I AM thankful for Hillary. Every day. For her leadership, actual experience, and for doing more than heckling all those who actually do get things done.
pinebox
(5,761 posts)and you being sold the snake oil.
She is a weak candidate who America hates, don't blame us for seeing the truth, only blame yourself for being sold lies.
She is the weaker of the 2 candidates in a GE and she is seen as completely dishonest by the majority of America.
Own it.
woolldog
(8,791 posts)You think Bernie's numbers would even begin to hold up to the GOP scrutiny and attacks Clinton has been subjected to ? The dude who honeymooned in the Soviet Union and calls himself a socialist? You're very naive. His numbers are decent for the same reason as Kasic--until now he hasn't been taken seriously and his record, as a result, has not been subject to much scrutiny. That would change in an instant the day he is nominated. He's already lost the next nomination so it doesn't matter.
Dawgs
(14,755 posts)Maybe the honeymoon in the Soviet Union thing will bring him down.
yodermon
(6,143 posts)Interesting that you think Hillary is so weak that this "Joke" of a candidate will be responsible for her loss.
malokvale77
(4,879 posts)Their names are not Bernie Sanders.
We also know who has fallen victims to the joke. It's not Bernie supporters.
Carolina
(6,960 posts)If she loses, it's because of who she is, what she represents, and what she's done. Here's her story, and Bernie had nothing to do with it. Read it and learn.
HRC rode Bill's coat tails to power. He had the intellect (Georgetown Univ, Rhodes Scholar, Yale Law), charisma, gift of gab, and natural ability to connect with people. She was smart, too (Wellesley, Yale Law). After law school, she went to DC to work on the Nixon impeachment committee, but her stint there did not last long because, among other reasons, she did not pass the DC bar. She tells the story that she went to work for the Children's Defense Fund (CDF) founded by Marian Wright Edelman as evidence of her advocacy for children and that's true... some 20 plus years ago. But recall that Marians husband, Peter Edelman who became Bill Clintons Assistant Secretary of Health and Human Services, resigned in protest over the 1996 Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Act better known as Welfare Reform because of the dire effects it would have on the poor, especially women and children. HRC supported Bill and the bill; but Peter Edelman was right.
So after leaving DC, what did HRC do? She ran off to Arkansas! Yes, this dynamo of feminism whom so many women say could have done anything, been anything on her own
did not go back to her native Chicago, did not go back to New England (MA, CT) where she was educated. No, she ran off to Arkansas. She chased after Bill because she recognized his rising star. As I said above, he had the talent to go along with the intellect. He had held leadership positions nearly all his life: high school (Boys State) and college (class president for 2 years, etc.). He became Governor, chaired the National Governors Association and finally became POTUS. It was only through him that she was introduced to the nation and even then, it was rocky because of her abrasive, snarky remarks about baking cookies.
When she ran for POTUS in 2008, she cited her 20 years of experience. Really? First Lady of AK for 12 years and FLOTUS for 8 years. Oh, and she was a corporate lawyer at the Rose Law Firm where her client was Walmart that champion of poor people and where she relied heavily on the counsel of Vince Foster.
She could never have carpet bagged her way to the NY Senate seat had she not been FLOTUS. And once in the Senate, what did she DO? What legislation or amendments to legislation illustrate her initiative or activism on behalf of the people. The aye votes for IWR, the Patriot Acts 1 & 2 and Bush's Bankruptcy bill sure were a big help to us all
And let's talk about that IWR vote in depth because there was, and remains, no excuse or justification for it and here's why
Reason 1: Iraq did not attack the US; fifteen of the nineteen hijackers were Saudis while the other four were from the UAE, Egypt, Yemen. They learned to fly here in the States (Florida, Arizona). Bin Laden was also Saudi!
Reason 2: Iraq had been under horrific UN sanctions since the first Bush war on Iraq in 1991; so how could it have morphed into an imminent threat to the US in 2002 when IWR was being peddled
Reason 3: W's administration introduced IWR and demanded a vote on it right before the 2002 midterm elections. Wise men and women questioned the timing and the rush, but not those who voted aye... they had their eyes on being POTUS and cast calculating votes that reeked of political and moral cowardice.
Reason 4: Anyone who was paying attention knew about PNAC and therefore knew how the Bush cabal and Carlyle group had their eyes on carving up Iraq's oil fields. Clinton sure knew because the signers of PNAC policy papers wrote Bill seeking pre-emptive action while he was POTUS.
Reason 5: the Bush cabal STOLE the White House in 2000 because they had their PNAC plans. Then, they ignored all the warnings/chatter leading up to 9/11 including the August 6th PDB. They allege they were blindsided and could not have foreseen such an attack. But that flies in the face of the fact that the airspace had to be closed around the G-8 summit in Genoa, Italy in July 2001 precisely because of terrorists' threats to fly planes into buildings! So therefore, why would any sentient 'leader' of the opposition party trust or "have good faith" in ANYTHING proposed by W
Reason 6: Anyone who knew history, knew that Reagan sold WMDs to Saddam/Iraq during the Iran-Iraq war (recall the photo of Rumsfeld shaking Saddam's hand). So when Cheney took to the airwaves in 2002 talking about WMDs and said he knew where they were and how they'd been used against the Kurds, he was telling the truth... about 1988. He was using his dirty past to foment a new war for oil
Reason 7: the Bush cabal withdrew the weapons inspectors because they were not finding anything. Scott Ritter (who was smeared) and his fellow inspectors' findings would not/did not conform to the desired Bush narrative, so Colin Bowel sold his soul and did his 'tube' presentation to the UN
Reason 8: Citing the Tet Offensive during the Vietnam War, Robert Byrd gave an eloquent and passionate speech about lies that lead to war, about the waste of war, about the unintended consequences of war... and he challenged the rush to war. Bob Graham (who actually read the documents available to Congress) and Ted Kennedy spoke as well. Why didn't HRC listen to them rather than Bush or Cheney? No, she gave Bush bipartisan cover with her aye vote, and so she has blood on her hands, too!
Clearly the rationale for IWR was all a LIE, and if millions of citizens could see all this THEN, why not Clinton?! She voted aye, ran for POTUS and lost in large measure because of that vote. Votes have consequences and there is no apology large enough to cover a cowardly, finger-in-the-wind vote that has caused so much death, debt, destruction and destabilization (ISIS)!
Back to the narrative. Then there was her abysmal management and nasty conduct during the 2008 primary campaign. She had the money, she had the name, she was entitled, she was "in it to win it" and so arrogant that she claimed it would be over by Super Tuesday. But when it wasn't and she was losing, she resorted to the gutter. She praised McCain and derided Obama as someone who only gave pretty speeches. And when the Party urged her to bow out gracefully, she said that she was going to stay in the race through the CA primary because "you never know... remember Bobby Kennedy..." Her insinuation (a veiled wish?) that Obama might be assassinated like RFK was beyond classless and tasteless. It was evil (google Keith Olbermann on that atrocity). And when she finally, gracelessly bowed out, she did so on condition that the Obama organization and DNC pay off her campaign debt. Some management skills, just like her Wall Street benefactors who f--- things up, then expect others to pay for the disaster they created.
On to SOS, where Obama selected her because he'd been inspired by Lincoln's team of rivals and wanted to keep her busy and away so she couldn't be a quasi-backbencher sniping at him. In the end, she was also terrible in that position. Her Honduras regime change led many men, women and children, some alone, to flee the disaster that nation subsequently became. Same with Libya and Syria. HRC, the consummate pro-MIC corporatist, never saw a war she didn't like. And last I checked, war is not good for women, children or men! Oh, and also at State, she sold weapons to Saudi Arabia (home of bin laden and most of the Sept 11th hijackers) while the Saudis donated to that slush fund known as the Clinton Foundation.
She is also part of the Clinton legacy (the two for one, the 8 years of reflected experience derived from Bill). She helped found the DLC and fully supported: NAFTA, the Telecommunications Bill of 1996, Welfare Reform (not), and overturning Glass-Steagall. She and Bill kept Alan Greenspan at the Fed, placed the then Mr. Goldman Sucks himself Robert Reuben as head of Treasury and hired as financial advisor that abominable Wall Streeter Larry Summers (who lost a $1.8 billion from Harvard's endowment!). This Clinton triumvirate wrecked the economy for main street, but saved Wall Street, especially Goldman-Sachs which has subsequently paid her handsomely. And as DUer tularetom once said: "They didn't pay her that kind of money because of her oratorical skills, her charismatic personality or her insight into current events. She has none of the first two and very little of the third."
We, the people, reaped the whirlwind of that 1999 Glass-Steagall reversal for which every repuke in the Senate voted AYE while every Dem -- save one -- voted NAY. Bill signed it into law anyway, paying no heed to the canary-in-the-mine Dems who said that this dastardly new law would lead to disaster 10 years hence. Sure enough it did, harming families throughout the land. And Wall Street, Hillary's BFF, continues to be such a benefactor for the people
Then there's fracking, the TPP, Keystone XL, etc. All of this is HRC's history. What she has DONE that is positive or constructive? She's in it for herself, she plays sexist gender politics, she lies about her awful record, she changes her mind with the political winds, she panders, she pads her pockets, and she is a triangulator to her core.
Sanders is not at the root of her electoral problems. SHE is. She owned her defeat on 2008, she owns her ratings for being untrustworthy now, and she deserves to lose.
Baobab
(4,667 posts)when she's disliked by so many people?
Wouldn't nominating somebody seen in such a negative light seem like suicide for the party?
pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)Let's get the whole picture
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)was much more than enough..
Uncle Joe
(58,398 posts)Thanks for the thread, appalachiablue.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)CATCH!!
Armstead
(47,803 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)not to mention a person with mega brains, super attitude, much experience and other attributes. Bernie loves service, life and people, is a true mensch and it shows. Also a real fighter, so admirable...
Still enjoys a good game of B.ball with F & F too!
Cool beans Hightops!
longship
(40,416 posts)As folks have been saying, Hillary can easily lose in November. Bernie wins.
Bernie gets the independents; Hillary doesn't. Sad trombone for us if Hillary gets the nomination.
That's what I am worried about, and what national polls have been saying for months. Hillary Clinton is not as electable as Bernie Sanders.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Hopefully NOT, I'm optimistic. With good reason...
EndElectoral
(4,213 posts)grasswire
(50,130 posts)He is trending UP!
it's pretty clear what needs to happen.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)snot
(10,530 posts)At least some of T.P.T.B. would rather die/destroy the planet than let Bernie be Pres.; bec. they know he's their Nemesis.
Or maybe we can convince them they can render him largely ineffectual; 'cuz they largely can.
Still, he'll have the power of the pulpit. Not that that did Carter a lot of good.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)It has zip to do with TPTB, super delegates or any other conspiracy theory your side can conjure.
I guess reality is also off-topic for you.
Armstead
(47,803 posts)people do not like her or trust her.
Indeed, even within the realm of Democratic loyalists, a lot of people don't like her much, do like Bernie...but are supporting her for "pragmatic" reasons based on the ingrained old meme of elect-ability long before the primaries even started.
Clinton might be lucky enough to win against some truly awful candidate like Trump or Cruze. (Kasich I think would clean her clock.)
But if she dos make it to the WH, those unfavorability ratings mean she will galvanize the GOP to an unprecedented extent....and will also make it much more difficult for her to use the bully pulpit to rally the public outside of that comparatively small core of Democratic loyalists.
angrychair
(8,732 posts)It will also ensure that midterm elections continue to be a train wreck for the Democratic Party.
No amount of multimillionaire fundraising parties will change that.
senz
(11,945 posts)It's all there, and it's not going away.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Beacool
(30,250 posts)grasswire
(50,130 posts)"Lie if you want to win"
"End justifies the means"
What?
Beacool
(30,250 posts)who only joined the Democratic party to avail himself of its resources when he decided to run for president. Hillary is winning because more registered Democrats have voted for her than for Sanders. He has yet to win a closed primary.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)Check. Got it. Some voters are better than others.
Beacool
(30,250 posts)Obviously, more Democrats have voted for Hillary. Why is that so hard for some of you to grasp?
R. Daneel Olivaw
(12,606 posts)stay away from Hilly if she makes it to the general.
Perhaps some finger waving by her will put the in their place?
If she is the nominee the Democrats will lose.
She will be ti blame fir being a shitty candidate.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)I believe that was a closed primary.
Actually, our STRONGER candidate is one who appeals to Independents. Independents can vote in open primaries but not closed ones.
We shall need some support from Independents in November. They have a tendency to prefer Bernie over Hillary.
And Independents are part of the reason that Hillary's disapproval rating is so high.
OwlinAZ
(410 posts)Beacool
(30,250 posts)and that isn't Sanders. He wins in caucuses and in open primaries where Independents can vote. Registered Democrats have voted for Hillary in larger numbers than have voted for Sanders.
grasswire
(50,130 posts)"On the other hand, I think a reality-based community needs to start dispensing with the notion that Hillary would be a stronger general election candidate than Bernie."
We need to start correcting this narrative wherever we see it.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)one of the candidates is a former long distance Champion Runner, and Capt. of Track & Field and Cross Country.
HINT: The one born and raised in NEW YORK...
Dem2
(8,168 posts)Auto trash
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)Please don't be so hard on yourself.
Gomez163
(2,039 posts)We will end up with a nominee no one will vote for.
tabasco
(22,974 posts)Get your head out of there.
Gomez163
(2,039 posts)Loudestlib
(980 posts)angrychair
(8,732 posts)Gomez163
(2,039 posts)Loudestlib
(980 posts)on her?
This is some new level of naivate.
Gomez163
(2,039 posts)Loudestlib
(980 posts)Carolina
(6,960 posts)Thanks Loudestlib: If she can't handle Bernie she needs to drop out.
Imagine what the repukes will do with all her baggage and the reams of video footage substantiating her lies and pandering on Youtube!
amborin
(16,631 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)ibegurpard
(16,685 posts)He just provided a candidate many people could actually believe in.
questionseverything
(9,657 posts)???????????
she has all the power behind her and can't draw more than a hundred peops to a freakin rally and somehow it will be bernie's fault when she loses the general
tabasco
(22,974 posts)She is a deeply flawed and weak candidate.
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)intestinal flu (Hillary) vs. ebola (Trump or Cruz).
Tierra_y_Libertad
(50,414 posts)Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)BernieforPres2016
(3,017 posts)Less Trustworthy Than Trump
Less Likable Than Cruz
Hillary!
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)GOP candidates I would give her a very low rating. Also if I was pushing Sanders over Hillary I would give her a low rating. Again if I was of the GOP nature and wanted to go against Sanders in the GE I would give him a high rating. I am none of the above and therefore I give Hillary a high rating, I rate the attempts of delivery of non scandals a failure on the part of Republicans.
redstateblues
(10,565 posts)large margin? He can't even win the Democratic nomination!
Jefferson23
(30,099 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Jefferson23
(30,099 posts)I like the Bern as Superman. lol
Onlooker
(5,636 posts)... Her favorability ratings are so low because she is being attacked by both the millennials and the right. The right knows Bernie is a lightweight, so haven't been attacking him much. And the millennials won't have much point to continue the attack after Bernie is out.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)840high
(17,196 posts)attack Bernie on. He's honest, not a money grubber.
Carolina
(6,960 posts)because SHE is the root of it.
If she secures the nomination because of coin tosses, voter disenfranchisement and big money payouts to super delegates, she will lose the GE because the right will NEVER vote for her, Millennials (who are the future, BTW) won't either because she's burned that bridge and there will be no unifying later. Then, there are baby boomers and generations in between who will not vote for her either.
There are no attacks on HRC. Bernie and his supporters are simply revealing the truth about her and her record (lies). But HRC and her supporters can't handle the truth. They think it's hell... Guess they would have condemned Harry Truman's truth-telling, too.
"I never did give anybody hell. I just told the truth and they thought it was hell." HST
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)but this is an incontrovertible fact. Undoubtedly a lot of this is due to sexism and the constant Republican attacks. But the facts say that the really precipitous drops in her +/- numbers have been much more recent than the Republican attacks- which have now carried on for decades.
Demsrule86
(68,637 posts)Personally, I will never forgive him and hope he is tossed out of the Senate soon...he won't be president...I think Hillary will still win but he has caused much damage to the party.
Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)Do you really think Bernie has been more aggressive than the Republicans would/will be? I don't. If she can't stand up to a primary challenge she's a paper tiger. People dislike Hillary because... they dislike Hillary.
When most people get to know Hillary, they dislike her. It's just the way it is. If I had to bet I expect she will be the next President, and I will vote for her in the GE, but I can't stand HER. That has nothing to do with Bernie and everything to do with the Clintons.
Carolina
(6,960 posts)There are none so blind...
HRC started damaging the party when she helped create the DLC. Read $Hillary's story and tell me how any of it is Bernie's fault.
For starters, HRC rode Bill's coat tails to power. He had the intellect (Georgetown Univ, Rhodes Scholar, Yale Law), charisma, gift of gab, and natural ability to connect with people. She was smart, too (Wellesley, Yale Law). After law school, she went to DC to work on the Nixon impeachment committee, but her stint there did not last long because, among other reasons, she did not pass the DC bar. She tells the story that she went to work for the Children's Defense Fund (CDF) founded by Marian Wright Edelman as evidence of her advocacy for children and that's true... some 20 plus years ago. But recall that Marians husband, Peter Edelman who became Bill Clintons Assistant Secretary of Health and Human Services, resigned in protest over the 1996 Personal Responsibility and Work Opportunity Act better known as Welfare Reform because of the dire effects it would have on the poor, especially women and children. HRC supported Bill and the bill; but Peter Edelman was right.
So after leaving DC, what did HRC do? She ran off to Arkansas! Yes, this dynamo of feminism whom so many women say could have done anything, been anything on her own
did not go back to her native Chicago, did not go back to New England (MA, CT) where she was educated. No, she ran off to Arkansas. She chased after Bill because she recognized his rising star. As I said above, he had the talent to go along with the intellect. He had held leadership positions nearly all his life: high school (Boys State) and college (class president for 2 years, etc.). He became Governor, chaired the National Governors Association and finally became POTUS. It was only through him that she was introduced to the nation and even then, it was rocky because of her abrasive, snarky remarks about baking cookies.
When she ran for POTUS in 2008, she cited her 20 years of experience. Really? First Lady of AK for 12 years and FLOTUS for 8 years. Oh, and she was a corporate lawyer at the Rose Law Firm where her client was Walmart that champion of poor people and where she relied heavily on the counsel of Vince Foster.
She could never have carpet bagged her way to the NY Senate seat had she not been FLOTUS. And once in the Senate, what did she DO? What legislation or amendments to legislation illustrate her initiative or activism on behalf of the people. The aye votes for IWR, the Patriot Acts 1 & 2 and Bush's Bankruptcy bill sure were a big help to us all
And let's talk about that IWR vote in depth because there was, and remains, no excuse or justification for it and here's why
Reason 1: Iraq did not attack the US; fifteen of the nineteen hijackers were Saudis while the other four were from the UAE, Egypt, Yemen. They learned to fly here in the States (Florida, Arizona). Bin Laden was also Saudi!
Reason 2: Iraq had been under horrific UN sanctions since the first Bush war on Iraq in 1991; so how could it have morphed into an imminent threat to the US in 2002 when IWR was being peddled
Reason 3: W's administration introduced IWR and demanded a vote on it right before the 2002 midterm elections. Wise men and women questioned the timing and the rush, but not those who voted aye... they had their eyes on being POTUS and cast calculating votes that reeked of political and moral cowardice.
Reason 4: Anyone who was paying attention knew about PNAC and therefore knew how the Bush cabal and Carlyle group had their eyes on carving up Iraq's oil fields. Clinton sure knew because the signers of PNAC policy papers wrote Bill seeking pre-emptive action while he was POTUS.
Reason 5: the Bush cabal STOLE the White House in 2000 because they had their PNAC plans. Then, they ignored all the warnings/chatter leading up to 9/11 including the August 6th PDB. They allege they were blindsided and could not have foreseen such an attack. But that flies in the face of the fact that the airspace had to be closed around the G-8 summit in Genoa, Italy in July 2001 precisely because of terrorists' threats to fly planes into buildings! So therefore, why would any sentient 'leader' of the opposition party trust or "have good faith" in ANYTHING proposed by W
Reason 6: Anyone who knew history, knew that Reagan sold WMDs to Saddam/Iraq during the Iran-Iraq war (recall the photo of Rumsfeld shaking Saddam's hand). So when Cheney took to the airwaves in 2002 talking about WMDs and said he knew where they were and how they'd been used against the Kurds, he was telling the truth... about 1988. He was using his dirty past to foment a new war for oil
Reason 7: the Bush cabal withdrew the weapons inspectors because they were not finding anything. Scott Ritter (who was smeared) and his fellow inspectors' findings would not/did not conform to the desired Bush narrative, so Colin Bowel sold his soul and did his 'tube' presentation to the UN
Reason 8: Citing the Tet Offensive during the Vietnam War, Robert Byrd gave an eloquent and passionate speech about lies that lead to war, about the waste of war, about the unintended consequences of war... and he challenged the rush to war. Bob Graham (who actually read the documents available to Congress) and Ted Kennedy spoke as well. Why didn't HRC listen to them rather than Bush or Cheney? No, she gave Bush bipartisan cover with her aye vote, and so she has blood on her hands, too!
Clearly the rationale for IWR was all a LIE, and if millions of citizens could see all this THEN, why not Clinton?! She voted aye, ran for POTUS and lost in large measure because of that vote. Votes have consequences and there is no apology large enough to cover a cowardly, finger-in-the-wind vote that has caused so much death, debt, destruction and destabilization (ISIS)!
Back to the narrative. Then there was her abysmal management and nasty conduct during the 2008 primary campaign. She had the money, she had the name, she was entitled, she was "in it to win it" and so arrogant that she claimed it would be over by Super Tuesday. But when it wasn't and she was losing, she resorted to the gutter. She praised McCain and derided Obama as someone who only gave pretty speeches. And when the Party urged her to bow out gracefully, she said that she was going to stay in the race through the CA primary because "you never know... remember Bobby Kennedy..." Her insinuation (a veiled wish?) that Obama might be assassinated like RFK was beyond classless and tasteless. It was evil (google Keith Olbermann on that atrocity). And when she finally, gracelessly bowed out, she did so on condition that the Obama organization and DNC pay off her campaign debt. Some management skills, just like her Wall Street benefactors who f--- things up, then expect others to pay for the disaster they created.
On to SOS, where Obama selected her because he'd been inspired by Lincoln's team of rivals and wanted to keep her busy and away so she couldn't be a quasi-backbencher sniping at him. In the end, she was also terrible in that position. Her Honduras regime change led many men, women and children, some alone, to flee the disaster that nation subsequently became. Same with Libya and Syria. HRC, the consummate pro-MIC corporatist, never saw a war she didn't like. And last I checked, war is not good for women, children or men! Oh, and also at State, she sold weapons to Saudi Arabia (home of bin laden and 15 out of 19 Sept 11th hijackers) while the Saudis donated to that slush fund known as the Clinton Foundation.
She is also part of the Clinton legacy (the two for one, the 8 years of reflected experience derived from Bill). She helped found the DLC and fully supported: NAFTA, the Telecommunications Bill of 1996, Welfare Reform (not), and overturning Glass-Steagall. She and Bill kept Alan Greenspan at the Fed, placed the then Mr. Goldman Sucks himself Robert Reuben as head of Treasury and hired as financial advisor that abominable Wall Streeter Larry Summers (who lost a $1.8 billion from Harvard's endowment!). This Clinton triumvirate wrecked the economy for main street, but saved Wall Street, especially Goldman-Sachs which has subsequently paid her handsomely. And as DUer tularetom once said: "They didn't pay her that kind of money because of her oratorical skills, her charismatic personality or her insight into current events. She has none of the first two and very little of the third."
We, the people, reaped the whirlwind of that 1999 Glass-Steagall reversal for which every repuke in the Senate voted AYE while every Dem -- save one -- voted NAY. Bill signed it into law anyway, paying no heed to the canary-in-the-mine Dems who said that this dastardly new law would lead to disaster 10 years hence. Sure enough it did, harming families throughout the land. And Wall Street, Hillary's BFF, continues to be such a benefactor for the people!
Then there's HRC's support for fracking, the TPP, the Keystone XL pipeline, etc. So how is any of this Bernie's fault? HRC is the root of her problem because she has DONE nothing that is positive or constructive. She's in it for herself, she plays sexist gender politics, she lies about her awful record, she changes her mind with the political winds, she panders, she project, she pads her pockets...
RepubliCON-Watch
(559 posts)otherwise we lose the GE.
Karmadillo
(9,253 posts)appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)alcibiades_mystery
(36,437 posts)Bernie must be the worst candidate ever.
Kittycat
(10,493 posts)Very proud seeing Bernie's Bounce. He's nearly back to is 2015 high. That's just fantastic!
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)Hoyt
(54,770 posts)840high
(17,196 posts)Bonobo
(29,257 posts)I think the ham sandwich would destroy Hillary in the GE.
George II
(67,782 posts)....
Arugula Latte
(50,566 posts)Skwmom
(12,685 posts)DisgustipatedinCA
(12,530 posts)She's pretty soundly detested by a large percentage of Americans.
840high
(17,196 posts)community.
BeanMusical
(4,389 posts)AgerolanAmerican
(1,000 posts)when a vampire is exposed to sunlight
Warren DeMontague
(80,708 posts)pinebox
(5,761 posts)Still In Wisconsin
(4,450 posts)Response to appalachiablue (Original post)
silvershadow This message was self-deleted by its author.
Herman4747
(1,825 posts)...and it's why Hillary & her fans are hoping & praying that the GOP nominee will be Trump. But there's definitely no guarantee the nominee will be.
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)pdsimdars
(6,007 posts)with Bernie, the more they hear the more they like.
appalachiablue
(41,168 posts)appearances. Masses come to see and hear Bernie; Hill can barely fill a HS gym.