2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumGrove Insight Florida Poll: Obama 47 (-1), Romney 45
Still a good number in a state Obama is "supposed" to lose.
Gender gap is +13 for Women -11 for Men
http://big.assets.huffingtonpost.com/GroveFL102512.pdf
Robbins
(5,066 posts)Obama Is still In game.Notice Obama Is beating Romney more with woman than Romney Is beating Obama than men.
Are the MSM Is trying to sell Obama has lost his edge with women.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)VirginiaTarheel
(823 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)this survey was commissioned by David Axelrod's son.
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)The guy who was on the money two weeks ago with the state of the race when Dems were busy changing their underwear on an hourly basis?
Gotta love Dems. Just because it's an Axelrod, the poll must be biased. Maybe, just maybe, their trying to show the ACTUAL state of the race that the GOP flood of pollsters left out.
No that can't be it. Let me guess, you have your own inner pollster meter that says you 'feel' it's somewhere in between.
Gotta love Dems.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)in the slightest suggests a house effect?
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)And how would you calculate that house effect? Maybe it's .2 or .5? 3pts?
This is just more negative Dem thinking, an excuse to be 'cautious' and 'realistic' even though there is nothing to actually support that.
Like I said, maybe this poll is an attempt to show what the CAMPAIGN is seeing on the ground. Why is that harder to believe than they are just biased?
Take a look at the Cook Report. This poll falls right in at the top projection for Obama.
Chestrockwell
(17 posts)I can feel the momentum shifting here; I haven't heard anything from my pro-Romney friends and the Romney people that come to pick up his signs and other collateral material at his warehouse don't seem as chipper this week. Two different Obama headquarters called me this week for help so I don't think Obama has given up on Florida and for good reason.
mzmolly
(50,996 posts)to DU.