North Carolina: One million votes cast by day 7. Obama up 100,000 votes

[grantcart]

More great news from North Carolina.

Voting is up 20% over last election and every day shows Obama increasing his lead.

The only * is that by day 7 last election the President was up 140,000.

North Carolina is a slugfest and every single vote is going to count. If Romney is going to win in North Carolina he is going to have to spend money and time there:

MattTX at DailyKos with another excellent update

Undoubtedly, Romney is happy to be turning out more early voters than did McCain. Nonetheless, he is still running substantially behind Obama - by something like 104,417 votes. 100,000 votes is not an insignificant margin in any state, and Romney has his work cut out for him if he is going to catch up on election day.

Any notion that Romney can afford to abandon NC and stop spending time and money in North Carolina is simply laughable. The increase in Republican turnout for Romney is an advantage for Romney, but whether or not it is a decisive advantage depends upon whether or not the increased early GOP turnout spells decreased election day GOP turnout.

Win or lose, President Obama is forcing Romney to fight tooth and nail for North Carolina - a state which, just 8 years ago, George W. Bush won in a 56-44 landslide over John Kerry, even though Kerry had North Carolina Senator John Edwards on the ticket as VP.

[woolldog]

1. Any way to know what the numbers are like at the county level?

I'm specifically interested in Mecklenburg county turnout now compared to 2008

[Jennicut]

8. I only found some tweets from a local NC reporter.

24 OctChris Miller ?@ChrisMillerWBT

Early voting turnout in Mecklenburg is slightly above where it was at this point in '08 #ncpol


24 Oct Chris Miller ?@ChrisMillerWBT

Tuesday saw the biggest turnout yet for early voting in Mecklenburg: 15,290 votes. #ncpol

[woolldog]

10. oooh tyvm

we're going to really need to run up the score there to win.

[mnhtnbb]

20. Yes.

Go here: http://www.ncsbe.gov/content.aspx?id=93

To absentee reports and click on county counts

Counties are listed alphabetically.

[littlemissmartypants]

2. Esse quam videri n/t

[Alekei_Firebird]

3. Fewer Romney voters will turn out on election day

Unless there's been a big immigration of old white people into NC, Romney's just shifting his deck from election day to early vote. On the other hand, Obama has a lot of new voters to add to his base.

NC will be close. It may go to Romney, but if it takes his focus off of FL or OH or CO, then it will be good enough.

[ncav53]

4. Good, let Romney have to fight for NC

[tk2kewl]

5. 55% O - 45% R

[oswaldactedalone]

6. Obama has to get huge support in the urban areas

of Charlotte, Raleigh, Greensboro, Durham, Winston-Salem, and the northeastern border counties to have a chance. That's not unusual for NC but the turnout needs to be massive in those areas. I just worked at a polling place in a mostly white, upper middle class section handing out Dem voter guides and the number of whites accepting a guide was next to nothing.

Fortunately, there are some office buildings nearby so there were some minority voters voting during their lunch break.

[octoberlib]

9. A friend of mine voted a couple days ago

in Ballantyne and she posted on Facebook "Help me, I'm surrounded by Republicans!"

[oswaldactedalone]

15. Ain't that the truth

and except for the Restaurant, Ballantyne is an overrated resort.

[littlemissmartypants]

7. More...

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251175994

[grantcart]

11. thanks for the link

One of the problems with polls in NC is that they try and define if a voter is likely or registered.

In NC they have one stop registering/and voting so there is no real distinction.

You go register and vote, there is only voted and not voted.

It will be close.

[craigmatic]

12. Looks like Romney leaving NC was a bluff. Obama should make at least 1 visit for a rally.

[VirginiaTarheel]

13. How about Wake, Orange, and Durham Counties?

[VirginiaTarheel]

14. In 2008, it took 10 days for North Carolina to have 1 million early voters

Last edited Thu Oct 25, 2012, 05:00 PM - Edit history (1)

In 2008, 4.3 million total votes were cast in the General Election. In 2008, approximately 2.4 million people voted early in North Carolina, which was a record. Right now, NC has seen about 25% of the total votes casts in 2008 already cast in early voting. In just seven days, North Carolina has already reached about 43 percent of the total voters that voted early in 2008.

[obamanut2012]

18. Interesting -- thanks for posting!

[JiminyJominy]

16. Does Obama

Have any events planned here still? Is any money still being used in this state for advertising?

[mnhtnbb]

19. Obama is still running ads here--at least in the Triangle which covers

Wake, Durham, and Orange counties. Those are BIG Dem support areas.
Whether the ads are running in nearby counties, I don't know.

It doesn't look like Obama will make it to NC according to the schedule I've seen--
BUT maybe they'll schedule something now that the polls are beginning to take into
account the voting numbers.

[obamanut2012]

17. Same day registration isn;t counting in these numbers

Is what the BoE told me when I called. So, since many of those are the youth vote aka college kids, the votes for Obama may be quite a bit higher than reported.