PPP: Wisconsion +6, Iowa +2 (the good guys)

[DrToast]

New Public Policy Polling surveys in Wisconsin and Iowa, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, find Barack Obama expanding his lead in both states following his debate victory on Monday. In Wisconsin he leads 51-45, up from a 49-47 margin three weeks ago. In Iowa he’s now ahead by a 49-47 spread, a slight improvement from 49-48 last weekend.

Key findings from the surveys include:

-Obama hold small leads with independent voters in both states, 48/43 in Wisconsin and 47/46 in Iowa. The Iowa numbers represent a 9 point improvement for him from last weekend when he trailed 51/43 with independents.

-Obama holds a wide advantage over Romney in both states in terms of who voters trust more to protect Medicare. He leads 52/45 on that front in Wisconsin and 50/45 in Iowa. Voters also trust him more to stand up for the middle class, by a 52/44 spread in Wisconsin and a 51/46 one in Iowa.

-In Iowa Obama is already building up a substantial lead during the early voting period. 34% of voters say they’ve already cast their ballots and 68% of them report having supported Obama to only 32% for Romney. Romney does have a 55/39 lead with those yet to vote.

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-leads-by-2-in-iowa-6-in-wisconsin.html

[regnaD kciN]

1. So, how soon can we expect...

...Rasmussen and/or Gravis polls showing Romney ahead in both?

[Jennicut]

2. WI looks really good.

IA has strong early voting for Obama. Like seeing the midwest firewall.

[Alekei_Firebird]

3. Iowa's math

Assuming 100 votes to be had...

Obama has 68% of 34, which is 23.12.

Romney has 32% of 34, which is 10.88.

If the election day poll is accurate, then...

Obama has 39% of 66, which is 25.74.

Romney has 55% of 66, which is 36.3.

Final tally is...

Obama: 48.86
Romney: 47.18

[WI_DEM]

4. Very good news.

[ncav53]

5. As long as Obama has Ohio, Wis and either Iowa or Nevada locked in, it's a wrap

[BlueDemKev]

6. Agreed, but keep an eye on PA and MI also

The poll numbers there are a little too close for comfort. But I agree, the road to the White House runs thru PA, OH, MI, WI, plus either IA or NV.

[Justice4All1]

7. Not that close in OH, NV or WI

IA is a little close but now that Obama's improving in IA, I think he'll widen his lead in IA by week's end. Obama has NH & VA latest polls have Obama ahead of Myth by +4, so Obama's doing fine after his last poor, shifty debate performance
Real Obama's ground game & the election's only close among LV screens, but leading by wide margins in RV's (Registered voters).

[Maximumnegro]

10. Who says IA is close? Come on people

Remember PPP is on the low end of good polls for Obama lately. And they are not any more accurate than any of the other major pollsters. It's like people just hit a reset button any time a new poll comes up. Have a look at the recent IA polling and tell how it's close. By close I mean <2pts.

[Maximumnegro]

9. Keep an eye on Pennsylvania?! and MI?

[ncav53]

12. PA and MI will go blue or I'll eat my feet

[BlueDemKev]

13. Ha-ha.

I just don't want anything sneaking up on us (remember Mass. in Jan. 2010?).

[bushisanidiot]

8. I'm noticing RCP isn't posting many of the new polls coming out today

doesn't seem to hesitate putting up ras's though!

I also notice that all of PPP's national polls have been removed. what is up with that??

RCP is looking more partisan every day.

[Jennicut]

11. Looking like? It is. Just look then up on wikipedia.

They do fool a lot of people into thinking they are a neutral site but they were started by Repubs and Forbes has a 51% interest in the site. RCP won't post polls commissioned by a group, supposedly. The PPP polls were done for Health Care for America Now. Go to Poll Tracker (Talking Points Memo) or Pollster (Huff Post) instead.

[Thrill]

14. I don't understand why Iowa is so close

The guy said he was going to get rid of Wind Tax credits. Unreal