Concerned that Indiana incident has not changed polls by at least 3 points

[kansasobama]

Let us see what happens in Gallup and the rest shortly. This is disconcerting.

LA Times had a heading that said Iowa is slipping away. Hope not..

[geek tragedy]

1. That was the RCP (rw propaganda) link that said that about Iowa. Mourdock is a national

distraction for Romney, but he's not on the national ballot.

[woolldog]

2. Just read the LA Times and it said no such thing.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

11. Good Catch/nt

[WI_DEM]

3. Yes, we can tell you are 'concerned'

besides the Mourdock thing is too recent to have any real impact as yet--does that 'concern' you, too?

[joycejnr]

4. Articles like those can be troubling, except...

...it may prompt Obama supporters to vote, when earlier polls showing big leads may have made many too comfortable.

The polls are meaningless until the Friday before Election Day, anyway. Our fears should be focused on vote suppression, voter intimidation, and those damned voting machines.

[skeewee08]

5. Presient O leads in Iowa on early voting....

"LA Times had a heading that said Iowa is slipping away" from Robme if anything....

[kansasobama]

6. Thank you guys

Thank you guys. I (as you all are) just should keep at it...

[scheming daemons]

15. Since you made up the LA Times story, I'm considering you a concern troll

be gone.

[PsychProfessor]

7. Relax, maybe a little?

The thing just happened. Also, don't some of the tracking polls involve rolling averages? Things show up a few days down the line, as a result. I think Iowa should be safe. Plus, did you see that Ryan is campaigning in Georgia today? Why on earth would they send him to Georgia??

[MadBadger]

8. What Indiana polls are you even talking about?

Where are they?

[hoboken123]

9. Yes, you are very 'concerned'

And doesn't Obama look tired? I hope everything's ok.

/sarcasm

[DemocratSinceBirth]

10. Your Concern Is Duly Noted.Thank You For Your Input./nt

[Jennicut]

12. Nothing moves polls 3 points in 24 hours.

Actually, I don't think this incident itself will move polls. It is simply another Repub blunder with moderate women who are undecided. This may switch a few undecideds to Obama.
You do realize that moving 3 points on a national poll is hard to do?

[krawhitham]

20. we will get 2-3 point from it but you will not start seeing any movement until tomorrow

The trackers are 3-7 days rolling average, the 1st day of impact will be tomorrow with the 3 day trackers showing 1/3 of the impact

[yellowcanine]

24. 3 points is too much to expect for a national poll from this. Maybe a half point.

And it will be really difficult to attribute to this in any event, as the numbers are already moving in Obama's direction.

[Maximumnegro]

13. Trashed

[DemocratSinceBirth]

14. You Aren't The Diplomatic Type

[Sugarcoated]

16. Hahaha, LOL

[Kelvin Mace]

17. How about a link to the LA Times story

you mention?

[TroyD]

18. I don't think the Mourdock story will have much impact

Except perhaps in Indiana, and even there it's hard to say because it's a conservative state.

We have to remember that the vast majority of Romney/Mourdock supporters will continue to vote Republican regardless.

I did post today's endorsement by the Courier-Journal of Donnelly over Mourdock this morning, so we'll see whether Donnelly can now pull out a narrow win over Mourdock.

No new polling out of Indiana yet, so I expect it will be a few days before we know.

[tallahasseedem]

19. Didn't this just happen a couple of nights ago?

Do you REALLY expect this to change polls in that amount of time?

Concern noted.

[LiberalFighter]

21. There is an impact locally. How much we don't know yet.

There are several ways it can impact.
Voters decide to vote for Donnelly instead of nutcracker
Voters decide not to vote between the two

Either way it benefits Donnelly. How much we don't know yet.

[Jersey Devil]

22. I think you should ease up on your drag a bit

I hear fishing is much better over at Freeperville

[yellowcanine]

23. Concerned are we? Check my analysis of Nate's numbers here.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251175727

There really is little reason for concern. The Indiana business is not likely to have much effect anyway - certainly not 3 points. There may be some slight movement in battleground state polls based on it, particularly Ohio, but not likely in the national polls.

[TwilightGardener]

25. CONCERNED.

Yes, indeed.

[Kingofalldems]

26. I love that story!

[NYC Liberal]

27. Iowa is slipping away from Mitt Romney. So you "hope not"?