Check out the AP results

[ProSense]

http://ap-gfkpoll.com/main/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/AP-GfK-Poll-October-2012-Topline_POLITICS.pdf

Here's the first claim from AP:

Less than two weeks out from Election Day, Republican Mitt Romney has erased President Barack Obama's 16-point advantage among women, a new Associated Press-GfK poll shows. And the president, in turn, has largely eliminated Romney's edge among men.

Obama gained among men, still leads among registered voters and now Romney leads?

Second claim:

A renewed focus on social issues would be an unwelcome development for Romney: Among female likely voters, 55 percent say Obama would make the right decisions on women's issues, compared with 41 percent who think Romney would.

Evidently, women don't care about women's issues because they're going to vote for Mitt.

Now this curious quote:

<....>

Ginny Lewis, a Democrat and 72-year-old retired district attorney from Princeton, Ky., says she'll vote for Romney because "I'm tired of the Republicans blaming all the debt on Democrats, so let them take over and see what they do."

Not that she's optimistic about how that will turn out, though. "I think things will get worse before they get better," she said.

Summary: I believe he's going to screw things up, so let him.

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/huff-wires/20121025/us-ap-poll-presidential-campaign


Two women, one in Alabama and the other in Kentuky, are voting for Romney. The third woman is in Iowa and is voting Obama.

This proves the South is going Republican.

President Obama led among women previously, and yet AP had Obama up by 1 point among likely voters previously.

The registered voter margins are interesting too. The President was up 4 points in the last poll, but the poll before that showed the same margin as the current poll: Obama up by 1 point.

And what's with the "All Adults" category? Compared to mid August, Mitt lost ground.

[lunasun]

1. And what's with the "All Adults" category?

does this cut out 18-20 yrs.vote?

[Welcome_hubby]

2. It includes non-US Citizens who can't vote, I would say

Why would any pollster poll people who can't vote?

[Viking12]

7. All Adults = Eligible Voters

Eligible Voters, Registered Voters, Likely Voters are three very different sample populations. Given that only 70% of eligible voters (All Adults) actually vote, and only 90% of registered voters do, the polling results from those populations aren't very insightful.

[lunasun]

8. thanks

[WI_DEM]

3. This poll makes no sense compared to other recent polls. So I don't take it

seriously. I'm concentrating on the Time poll of Ohio that has Obama up by 5 and the PPP poll of VA which also has Obama up by five.

[ProSense]

4. Speaking of the Time poll, it appears

Mitt knows he's losing.

<...>

A Time Magazine poll released Wednesday showed Mr. Obama with a five-point edge over Mr. Romney in Ohio, 49 percent to 44 percent, which is within the margin of sampling error. Party strategists on both sides say the race appears to be remarkably close, but two senior Republican officials here said that they believed Mr. Obama had a slight advantage and that they worried that Mr. Romney’s gains had leveled off.

Advisers to Mr. Romney argue that they can win the election without winning Ohio, but it means that the campaign must perform nearly flawlessly in every other battleground. One aide referred to Ohio as “still the big nut to crack,” but a victory would probably mean that Mr. Obama’s Midwestern firewall of Iowa and Wisconsin also was highly vulnerable.

http://www.nytimes.com/2012/10/25/us/politics/romney-campaign-fights-for-electoral-votes.html

[JackN415]

5. I think it will be proven a BS article. n/t

[bushisanidiot]

6. Sounds like a poll a 7th grader came up with.

that's some crazy sh*t