PPP: Obama up 5 in VA!

[RedSpartan]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/main/2012/10/obama-lead-in-virginia-up-to-5-points.html

A new Public Policy Polling survey in Virginia, conducted on behalf of Health Care for America Now, finds Barack Obama expanding his lead in the aftermath of his debate victory Monday night. He now has 51% to 46% for Mitt Romney, up from a 49/47 advantage last weekend.

Key findings from the survey include:

-Obama’s seen a 7 point net improvement in his favorability rating among Virginia voters from a -3 spread last week (48/51) to now +4 at 51/47. Romney’s numbers have headed in the other direction. He’s dropped 7 points from a +2 spread on our last poll (49/47) to now -5 at 46/51.

-Voters trust Obama more than Romney on several major issues in the election. Those include who voters think will stand up for the middle class (52/44) and who they think will do more to protect Medicare (50/46).

-Obama leads 57/41 with women, 88/8 with African Americans, and 53/42 with young voters. Romney has a 50/45 advantage with men, a 57/41 one with whites, and a 57/41 edge with seniors. Obama’s moved from being slightly behind with independents last week at 45/44 to now slightly ahead at 47/45.

[kansasobama]

1. How reliable is PPP

Is it left leaning? I am on an edge today....

[Zen Democrat]

2. PPP nationally had Romney up 1 on Mon, tied on Tues, and Obama up 2 yesterday.

O-Mentum!

[Inuca]

3. AFAIK

left leaning + does not call cell phones + respectable

[TexasCPA]

4. They are a Democratic pollster

Slightly left leaning.

[Chichiri]

7. VERY slightly leaning. In fact they're one of the most accurate pollsters this cycle.

See here: http://www.huffingtonpost.com/simon-jackman/house-effects-by-back-by-_b_2007907.html?utm_hp_ref=@pollster

[Maximumnegro]

28. Along w/ CNN, YouGov, and Ipsos all of whom

have given Obama higher margins than PPP has lately. And the 'most accurate' thing is getting old. How do we know how accurate they are when the election is still going?

[DCBob]

14. "I am on an edge today" ??

The key state polls are all going Obama's way lately.. you should be elated.

[BeyondGeography]

5. For whatever reason, PPP's VA numbers have been the best for Obama

I believe they had him +2 in their last poll. I think the most relevant thing here is the trend; just about every poll has improving numbers for the President.

[mgcgulfcoast]

8. i agree

[TroyD]

6. Good!

And Barack Obama & Bill Clinton will be appearing in Virginia next week together.

Hopefully that will close the deal.

[helpisontheway]

9. Barack will also be in Richmond TODAY! nt

[BraKez2]

16. Biden in Lynchburg on Saturday

Springsteen was in Charlottesville Tuesday

[Twelve String]

10. If This Holds

If this holds and Ohio comes in for Obama like most think it will, then we are looking really good less than two weeks out.

[blazeKing]

11. SURGING!!!!!!!

[VirginiaTarheel]

12. 1.5 Weeks to Go!

[Jersey Devil]

13. A great way to start the day!

I don't think this is just part of a surge for Obama based on the last debate. I think it is the undecideds breaking for him based on many months of campaigning, the last 2 debates and the slap in the face and "wake the fuck up" message to all women voters courtesy of Mourdock.

[DCBob]

15. VA is a must win for Romney.

His path to victory is narrowing by the day... its nearly gone already.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

17. RCP Should Include This In The Average But I Don't Think They Will

They won't because this poll was commissioned by a group. IMHO, every Rasmussen, Gravis, and We Ask America poll was indirectly commissioned by the GOP.

[Jennicut]

20. I look at Pollster at Huff Post or Poll Tracker at Talking Points Memo

more often now. They include every poll whether by Repubs or Dems. Gives a clearer picture.

[DemocratSinceBirth]

23. RCP Will Include A PPP Poll

They just won't publish a poll that was commissioned by a group.

[yellowcanine]

18. Virginia is one place where the Powell endorsement might actually help.

And I suspect that is why it came now. Romney loses Ohio and Virginia and he is fried dog poop.

[davidpdx]

22. That's true

Lots of military and veterans live in Virginia including ones stationed there. I know that Romney has Rice, but I don't think she has the same reputation Powell does.

[yellowcanine]

24. A Rice endorsement isn't worth squat. Too tight with Bush for one thing.

Die hard Bush supporters aren't who Romney has to win over. Plus fairly or unfairly, most observers would not put Rice on the same intellectual plane with Powell.

[Jennicut]

19. Va could be moving in Obama's direction.

The last two polls there were Zogby's and The Mellman Group (Dem pollster Mark Mellman, predicted Harry Reid's win in 2010) were Obama ahead by 3 and by 1.
All positive movement. VA can be a possible win.

[imgbitepolitic]

21. tell that to RCP

they ignore many good polls for O.

[teabaggersarestupid]

25. Correct me if I'm wrong

but isn't this the first time a pollster has acknowledged a debate bounce for Obama? We were really hopeful of one after the VP debate and especially after the 2nd presidential debate, but it never appeared which made things so frustrating. However, it's possible that after an even better debate performance by Obama in the 3rd debate, people are finally coming to their senses that Romney is a scumbag liar, and the president is, well PRESIDENTIAL.

This is another devastating poll for Romney, even more so than the Time Ohio poll from yesterday. This should make Obama the favorite again in Virginia, which didn't seem likely in the past few weeks.

[krawhitham]

26. Obama nailed it yesterday when he said elections are all about ebb and flow

rMoney flowed about 2 weeks too early and has nothing but ebb now

and Obama is flowing to re-election

[ncav53]

27. There's pretty much no way Romney is winning if he loses VA

[Maximumnegro]

29. He's lost VA. If you remove Ras, ARG, Wenzel

and Gravis from the VA polls Obama has been leading the entire time. We complain about GOP pollsters but don't recognize the extent to which they have weighed down the averages in state polls. Obama has not been behind in VA. All the VA negative talked has been based on these wack ass GOP pollsters and media push. It's insane, but Dems are falling for it anyway. Just play with the polls at Pollster and see.

[TroyD]

30. RCP seems to be refusing to post the new PPP VA poll

They've certainly abandoned any objectivity in the past month.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/