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2016 Postmortem

HERVEPA

(6,107 posts) Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:18 PM Oct 2012

14

Nate - 71% - just up

12 replies

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Nate - 71% - just up (Original Post) HERVEPA Oct 2012 OP

Nate's a bigger tease than Trump :) aletier_v Oct 2012 #1

A link would kill you? NWHarkness Oct 2012 #2

Geez. Everyone should know this by now, but HERVEPA Oct 2012 #3

On the google thing, type 538. As easy as that! jonthebru Oct 2012 #5

ma man Nate! DMacTX Oct 2012 #4

Obama 290.8 EC votes; Romney 247.2 Samantha Oct 2012 #6

Hes missing imgbitepolitic Oct 2012 #7

I think several polls are missing TroyD Oct 2012 #8

Probably... JiminyJominy Oct 2012 #9

I think Nate got every state but one in 2008 TroyD Oct 2012 #11

This is so great!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! amborin Oct 2012 #10

and CO and VA are blue in the 11/6 forecast as well as the nowcast st17011864200074656 Oct 2012 #12

aletier_v

(1,773 posts)

1. Nate's a bigger tease than Trump :)

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:19 PM

Oct 2012

NWHarkness

(3,290 posts)

2. A link would kill you?

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:25 PM

Oct 2012

HERVEPA

(6,107 posts)

3. Geez. Everyone should know this by now, but

Reply to NWHarkness (Reply #2)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:33 PM

Oct 2012

WWW.fivethirtyeight.com

jonthebru

(1,034 posts)

5. On the google thing, type 538. As easy as that!

Reply to NWHarkness (Reply #2)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 12:06 AM

Oct 2012

DMacTX

(301 posts)

4. ma man Nate!

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Wed Oct 24, 2012, 11:36 PM

Oct 2012

Samantha

(9,314 posts)

6. Obama 290.8 EC votes; Romney 247.2

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 12:28 AM

Oct 2012

Romney said a couple of weeks ago all he wanted was 50.1 percent of the popular vote. That might be tough to get if Obama has 50.2 ... but wait, he does!

And the 269 to 269 discussed earlier in a couple of threads has now sank to only a .5 percent chance of happening; earlier it was .7.

Sam

imgbitepolitic

(179 posts)

7. Hes missing

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 12:37 AM

Oct 2012

PPP Nevada +4.

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

8. I think several polls are missing

Reply to imgbitepolitic (Reply #7)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:08 AM

Oct 2012

Perhaps Nate hasn't updated all of it yet.

More polls will probably be added tomorrow, I assume.

He also has some work to do on the Senate side.

JiminyJominy

(340 posts)

9. Probably...

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:11 AM

Oct 2012

A dumb question but how did Nate do in 08 and 04 when all was said and done?

TroyD

(4,551 posts)

11. I think Nate got every state but one in 2008

Reply to JiminyJominy (Reply #9)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:36 AM

Oct 2012

Not sure if he was doing this in 2004.

amborin

(16,631 posts)

10. This is so great!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 01:32 AM

Oct 2012

st17011864200074656

(190 posts)

12. and CO and VA are blue in the 11/6 forecast as well as the nowcast

Reply to HERVEPA (Original post)

Thu Oct 25, 2012, 02:42 AM

Oct 2012

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