2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumPolltracker at talkingpointsmemo (Ohio)
http://polltracker.talkingpointsmemo.com/contests/oh-president-12
ItsTheMediaStupid
(2,800 posts)Thanks.
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)We don't have a hope in hell of reaching 270 electoral votes if we can't win Pennsylvania's 20 votes.
MSMITH33156
(879 posts)where their numbers are coming from. They have the average at Obama by 2, even though no poll has been that close in the last 2 weeks, and several have been much higher.
naviman
(102 posts)A single poll in AZ or PA could change them back to leaners.
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)Do you really think PA is a toss-up?
BlueDemKev
(3,003 posts)...a month ago at this time I didn't think Florida, Virginia, or Colorado were "toss-ups", either. I'm still in shock that a single debate (Oct. 3) changed everything so dramatically.
ProudToBeBlueInRhody
(16,399 posts)Even when Obama was "way ahead", those three states were toss-ups.
DemocratSinceBirth
(99,710 posts)We are not losing PA. Many of these states move in unison. For instance, PA and NY have only diverged once in the last eighty years at the presidential election.