2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumSo.....is it du or die for Hillary on Tuesday????
Or as the Hillie folk say....is it du or die for Bernie...
monmouth4
(9,709 posts)Gothmog
(145,558 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)No win forthcoming.
MADem
(135,425 posts)He may have given comfort to his base, but I think he lost a few voters with some of his comments.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)onehandle
(51,122 posts)The 'Not Hillary' Party settled for Senator Sanders.
morningfog
(18,115 posts)Gothmog
(145,558 posts)Without a win on Tuesday, it will really be impossible to catch Clinton
onehandle
(51,122 posts)Like by 60+ points over Hillary.
The 'Not Hillary' Party have no idea how hopelessly behind they are.
baldguy
(36,649 posts)He's not going to make it.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)The delegate gap will either increase, or decrease.
But not enough to ensure a specific outcome.
Not yet.
Corporate666
(587 posts)probability.
Even if Clinton got the required pledged delegates, it does not mean she is guaranteed the nomination. After all, she could drop dead the day before the convention. Or some huge scandal could come out that ends her bid.
But events which are mathematically possible but in practical terms are impossible aren't what makes elections. It's a numbers game.
Sanders NEEDS to win NY. If he doesn't, he 3% chance of winning the nomination drops by a huge amount.
JoePhilly
(27,787 posts)... will not appear.
And Bernie does not only need to win NY, he needs to win it big.
But I do not expect that.
jmg257
(11,996 posts)The weekend is lost to both, so nothing will change.
DemocracyDirect
(708 posts)Perhaps Hillary can survive a very small loss and still go on to the nomination.
But that could lead to a big issue at the convention.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)DemocracyDirect
(708 posts)Full blown panic mode.
Agschmid
(28,749 posts)She may have the PD lead, but there will be an adjustment.
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)GeorgiaPeanuts
(2,353 posts)That will shake things up massively.
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)it would be a yuuuuge embarrassment, wouldn't it?
GeorgiaPeanuts
(2,353 posts)We were told this was the carpetbaggers home state because she scurried on over and won to the senate twice. So you are saying now it is not her home state?
SFnomad
(3,473 posts)that Secretary Clinton was born in Chicago and BS was born in Brooklyn.
The BS Cheerleaders deny math and reality ... are you now denying geography too?
Marr
(20,317 posts)I swear, reality in Hillary Land changes on a dime.
CentralCoaster
(1,163 posts)And a lot of the tricks that favor Clinton are already in place.
So we'll have to work hard, donate, phonebank if out of state, and canvas if we live there.
Like Bernie said, we can win this.
onehandle
(51,122 posts)DemocracyDirect
(708 posts)Are you trying to be ignored?
Demsrule86
(68,672 posts)I doubt he will...he is leaving the state for the faux conference which is very telling.