REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide

[applegrove]

REUTERS POLL: Obama Is Going To Trounce Mitt Romney In A Landslide

by Brett LoGiurato at Business Insider

http://www.businessinsider.com/obama-romney-electoral-college-map-reuters-poll-ipsos-2012-10#ixzz2AAUfqhUy

"SNIP......................................................

With two weeks to go before Election Day, a new Reuters/Ipsos forecast released today predicts an Electoral College landslide for President Barack Obama over Republican rival Mitt Romney.

Obama leads Romney by a point in the Reuters/Ipsos daily tracking poll, 47-46. But results from Ipsos' tracking in key swing states leads to a projection of a much bigger Electoral College victory. The Ipsos projection has Obama winning the big three swing states of Florida, Ohio and Virginia.

Ipsos' final Electoral College score: 332-206. Here's what the firm's projected map looks like:

.......................................................SNIP"

[sheshe2]

1. I Could Live With That!

[Rosa Luxemburg]

2. It isn't as good as 2008 but it isn't bad

states like Georgia, NC, Nevada are starting to melt away from Romney

[charlyvi]

3. This is the biggest misconception many people have about the presidential election.

IT'S THE ELECTORAL VOTE TALLY PEOPLE!!! Sorry to yell. And O's got it down.

[Blue Idaho]

4. Anything over 300 is huge!

I would be over the moon!

[kayakjohnny]

5. Crap. I can't make sense of all this polling any more.

I may as well just take up Sanskrit.

At least I can start from scratch and get a grip.

[gordianot]

6. I can just hear the screaming, crying, nashing of teeth if Romney wins the popular vote.

My line will be "get over it"!

[JackN415]

14. I'm confident that Obama will win the popular vote as well, unless they call the election

for Obama too early, before PST poll close. Californians tired of traffic may just drive straight home from work.

[Robbins]

7. This sugests

The only change from 2008 are Romney adds Indiana and NC.Despite all their efforts wouldn't It be funny If Romney only wins 2 moe states than Mccain.

[JackN415]

8. I don't call 330 a lanndslide but surely a powerful mandate the Repub Cong (if hang on) must respect

[Dkc05]

9. Obama wins in Landslide

No question about it. record turn out and Romney moves to mexico ...

[JackN415]

10. a good call. A couple days ago, I had a friendly wager with a sharp bettor...

He is a republican-leaning independent and as we talked politics, I offered a bet: I'll take Obama over 294. He balked, and explained that like in football game, the line, whether spread or over/under must give 50-50 chance each side. So I asked him what his line was, he said he'd take Obama 330 and under. I balked, so no bet.

But now re-considering, I think he was more accurate than I was. Perhaps there is 50-50 chance for Obama to be under 330 and over 330. Or may be he is a bit more advantageous with Obama under 330.

So... regardless of political leaning, money is always smart.

[RainbowOverTexas]

13. Id say its a pick 'em

I see Obama with a solid 247 and Romney with a solid 248. Its all going to be about getting Ohio

[JackN415]

15. List the swing states you called solid for Romney

FL, NC, VA, and what else?

[RainbowOverTexas]

16. thats it

McCain states + Indiana and FL, NC and VA make 248

[ProSense]

11. New Obama Ad ‘537’ Warns Of Bush 2000 Repeat

New Obama Ad ‘537’ Warns Of Bush 2000 Repeat
http://www.democraticunderground.com/10021622891

GOTV landslide.

[geek tragedy]

12. Today the same poll shows Obama behind.

I dare say he won't win 300 EV while losing the popular vote. This poll seems weirder and weirder by the day.

[ProSense]

17. Statistical noise. The poll shows Obama up 4 points among RVs

Same as yesterday.

[geek tragedy]

18. Still, showing Obama behind in LV but winning an electoral blowout

simply does not compute.

He'll need to be pretty well ahead nationally to win FL.

[ProSense]

21. It's national versus state.

"Still, showing Obama behind in LV but winning an electoral blowout"

The national LV model, as with all the other polls, is likely skewed by the South

A huge electoral lead is possible if Obama does well in the other three regions.

[GetTheRightVote]

19. Go Obama Go!!!

hurray,

[kansasobama]

20. This was from yesterday, not today

This was already posted. By the way, Obama is down todayin Reuters.

Not to burst the bubble but just saying. Let us see how this Murdoch thing turns out. That should help in NH and Florida (maybe) . If that does not move the needle, I think Obama will win by about 290.