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TexasCPA

(527 posts)
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:11 PM Oct 2012

The debate bump is sure coming

Look the one day change in the tracking polls:

PPP O 48(+1), R 48 (-1)
RAND O 49 (+1) R 45 (-1)
RAS O 46 (0) R 50 (0) (see note below)
Gallup O 47(+1) R 50 (-1)
UPI O 49(+1) R 47 (-1)
Reuters/Ipsos O 47 (+1) R 46 (-1)

Ras note: approximately two-thirds of the interviews for today’s update were completed before the end of Monday night’s presidential debate. The single night of interviews conducted after the debate is similar to the two-point advantage Romney has enjoyed recently rather than the current four-point spread. As always, caution should be used when interpreting a single night of data in a tracking poll. Friday morning will be the first update based entirely upon interviews conducted after the final debate.

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The debate bump is sure coming (Original Post) TexasCPA Oct 2012 OP
It's only one day teabaggersarestupid Oct 2012 #1
We're at the point now where we need to stop concerning ourselves with national polls. progressivebydesign Oct 2012 #2
 
1. It's only one day
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:13 PM
Oct 2012

But isn't this the first day in quite some time that ALL tracking polls went in Obama's direction?

progressivebydesign

(19,458 posts)
2. We're at the point now where we need to stop concerning ourselves with national polls.
Wed Oct 24, 2012, 01:16 PM
Oct 2012

Nice to see some upward movement, but you do realize that these polls include complete red states with margins like 30% toward Romney, when the blue states are nowhere near that lopsided. Plus the national polls' Likely Voter model is flawed, so the Registereds are the ones to watch.

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