Six Polls

[Chichiri]

All from New York, all from the past few days:

Quinnipiac: Clinton 53, Sanders 40.

NBC/WSJ/Marist: Clinton 55, Sanders 41.

Monmouth: Clinton 51, Sanders 39.

Fox News (gag): Clinton 53, Sanders 37.

Baruch College: Clinton 50, Sanders 37.

Emerson: Clinton 56, Sanders 38.



I love my life.

[CorkySt.Clair]

1. Bernie will come in with roughly 40 percent

Maybe slightly less since the dirty Republicans can't vote for him in this state.

[upaloopa]

5. He will be in the 30's no repubs and no indies

Bernie was born there, left about 40 years ago, didn't to anything but attack the investment industry and he's back wanting a win.

[CorkySt.Clair]

6. Good points.

I hope he stays in the 30s. Would be a huge blow to his campaign.

[Sheepshank]

8. He has been described as a hitchhiker than now wants the keys to the car

applies very easily to his recent stint as a Democrat...I can see this applicable to his "idea" of creating a list of too big to fail banks (already in place since 2010) ......but that quote pretty much applies to everything else he's done in his life.

[upaloopa]

12. Since the banks now have to have capital to cover debts I don't see

what law Bernie can use to break them up. Dod Frank forces the banks to carry less debt in relation to capital

[Armstead]

24. "One of America's best Mayors" (US NEWS) Reelected to Congress repeatedly by large margins....

yeah a total failure and the people he represents really hate him.

[Jackie Wilson Said]

9. Investment industry? Man do I wish this process was over and we could get past

some of the craziness.

Investment industry?

[JackRiddler]

2. All using "likely voter" models.

See here:

http://www.democraticunderground.com/12511711436

[SFnomad]

3. I'm getting my BS fork ready n/t

[firebrand80]

4. SDs will choose him because he didn't lose by 50 nt

[geek tragedy]

7. Number 7 is coming out later this afternoon-PPP.

The spin will go from "we're going to win New York, she's not a real New Yorker" to "she only won by 14 points, even though it's her home state, something's wrong with her."

[Dem2]

11. PPP (D) NEW! 4/7 - 4/10 663 LV H51 B40 - - - - - - 8

it's out now.

[geek tragedy]

13. Looks like a very durable 10 point lead.

New York is not feeling the bern.

[Joob]

10. Awesome! Polls usually work out for Clinton! NT

(sarcasm)

[pat_k]

14. Undecideds

There seem high number of undecideds at this point, particularly given that lots of the "likely NY voters" polled would be Dems who cast a vote for her in 2006, or cast one for or against her in the 2008 primary.

Clinton's been on the national stage for for a couple decades -- first lady, senator, pres. candidate, secty of state, and now pres. candidate again. People know her (at least anybody over 25 does).

It sure sounds like there's a significant number who know Clinton, but are hesitant about voting for her. You know, people looking for an alternative.

I don't know if I'd be so thrilled with those numbers if I were her. Particularly when you add in her high negatives.

People are getting to know Sanders. And as they do, his numbers go up. (As the major differences between early voting results and election day results have demonstrated in other states.)

[CorkySt.Clair]

15. "People are getting to know Sanders."

If he loses NY it won't be because people don't know him.

This is an August-Sept. 2015 talking point.

[Armstead]

23. Not exactly

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/articles/2016/04/12/sanders_lags_in_delegates_but_leads_in_likability_130257.html

Bernie Sanders is still behind when it comes to delegates and votes, but he has one clear advantage over his Democratic and Republican presidential rivals - a lot of people actually like him.

By 48 percent to 39 percent, more Americans have a favorable than an unfavorable opinion of Sanders, giving him the best net-positive rating in the field, according to a new Associated Press-GfK poll. Unlike the other candidates, Sanders also is doing better as more Americans get to know him: His favorable rating is up from an earlier AP-GfK poll.

The numbers speak to Sanders' rapid rise from a relatively unknown Vermont senator to a celebrated voice proclaiming political revolution. They also reflect just how unpopular the rest of the field is.

And Clintons Unfavorables rise the more people see her

[Demsrule86]

18. look at the numbers

If every undecided broke for Bernie, he would still lose and he needs to win them all.

[Demsrule86]

16. At which point...

Since he needs to win all the remaining primaries big, he should get out. But I hear he is now saying he does not need to win New York. Sign...I guess he plans to create a ruckus and cost us the election...thanks so much Bernie...when I am forced by Pres. Trump to dine on cat food...I will remember you but not fondly. You no doubt will be just fine...lots of money in the Senate. You can afford to have a pity party.

[mcar]

17. K&R

[DesertRat]

19. Thank you for posting

[NurseJackie]

20. I think Bernie is going to lose.

Not just New York, but the entire nomination.

[Armstead]

21. Less "happy are her Favorable/Unfavorable Nationally

She has a 54.3 percent Unfavorable and a 40 percent Favorable.

The more people are exposed to her the less they like her.

June 2015 it was 45 Favorable and 45 Unfavorable.

It has been trending in a negative direcftion ever since.

Can she win the eGeneral. And if so, can she govern with over half the country disliking her?

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/other/clinton_favorableunfavorable-1131.html

REal Clerat Politics Clinto

[MoonRiver]

22. Wow, talk about consistent results!

GO HILL!