another poll showing Clinton up double digits (Quinnipiac) (4-12-16)

[geek tragedy]

https://www.qu.edu/images/polling/ny/ny04122016_Ngr72wd.pdf

https://www.qu.edu/news-and-events/quinnipiac-university-poll/new-york-state/release-detail?ReleaseID=2343

With a 65 - 28 percent lead among black voters, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton tops Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont 53 - 40 percent among New York State likely Democratic primary voters, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released today.

Donald Trump has 55 percent of New York likely Republican primary voters, followed by Ohio Gov. John Kasich with 20 percent and Sen. Ted Cruz of Texas with 19 percent, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University Poll finds.

Today's results show little movement from a March 31 survey showing Clinton over Sanders 54 - 42 percent and Trump with 56 percent, followed by Cruz at 20 percent and Kasich at 19 percent.

Momentum!

[hrmjustin]

1. She gained a percent in that poll.

Still waiting on Siena.

[geek tragedy]

2. I am too. I thought 1 week out would be their time to release.

I'm sure PPP will do a robopoll later this week, they're always good for that.

I think Clinton +18 is a good bet.

[hrmjustin]

3. PPP has been in the field over the past two days.

[geek tragedy]

4. 1/10 polls will inevitably show Sanders in single digits. We know what the reaction to that will be

[hrmjustin]

5. They are pushing an oan poll but that is affiliated with Gravis polling.

[geek tragedy]

6. I missed that one. We're about due for a Seth Abramson blog post aren't we? nt

[hrmjustin]

7. Lol or a Goodman post.

[geek tragedy]

8. He already had his turn this week.

He's the "Hillary will win but get thrown in jail" BernieBro

[geek tragedy]

10. PPP just tweeted that they'd have results out later this PM, hinted that they'd be boring nt

[ViseGrip]

9. bernie is ahead of where he was before Michigan! yay!

[Zynx]

12. And right where he was in Ohio and Arizona.

Michigan was a fluke. It was also an open primary. This is not. He will lose NY and probably by a wide margin.

[DCBob]

11. Consistent solid double digit lead.

Thats more than good enough!

[Zynx]

13. She can afford to even lose NY by a small margin and still basically knock Bernie out.

He will have to basically concede the race if he doesn't win NY by a decent margin. Winning NY is a necessary, but not sufficient condition for him. Winning NY is not necessary for Hillary, but it is sufficient.