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5 of the next 6 states are fully closed primaries worth 607 pledged delegates (Original Post) Godhumor Apr 2016 OP
Alaska was closed and Bernie won it by 63 points jfern Apr 2016 #1
Caucus not primary in Alaska n/t Godhumor Apr 2016 #2
lots of poorer voters can't take a half day off to have their vote count. bettyellen Apr 2016 #11
They'll be closer than that. geek tragedy Apr 2016 #3
That would be 385-222, and total delegate lead of 379 (with 1000 to go) Buzz Clik Apr 2016 #4
Polling in those states looks good for Clinton as well. Dem-only polls have been accurate so far. IamMab Apr 2016 #5
I know. . . . too bad the GE isn't Dems only. pdsimdars Apr 2016 #9
Hillary TMontoya Apr 2016 #6
Oh, that's rich! Elmer S. E. Dump Apr 2016 #12
These are numbers after the fact, edgineered Apr 2016 #7
So, past performance is no predictor for future success? Great Godhumor Apr 2016 #13
Means I have to start saying little prayers. pdsimdars Apr 2016 #8
Thanks for this. DCBob Apr 2016 #10
This will be fun to watch Gothmog Apr 2016 #14
 

geek tragedy

(68,868 posts)
3. They'll be closer than that.
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:05 PM
Apr 2016

But I still see the biggest three going for Clinton by double digits. Between 65 and 85 net delegates between those three. Lead could very well be over 300 pledged delegates by then.

 

IamMab

(1,359 posts)
5. Polling in those states looks good for Clinton as well. Dem-only polls have been accurate so far.
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:05 PM
Apr 2016

Brace for a momentum swing.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
9. I know. . . . too bad the GE isn't Dems only.
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:48 PM
Apr 2016

Bernie got 72% of independents and usually gets 20-30% of the Republican vote in Vermont. Hillary will never do that.
And Bernie beats all of the GOP candidates by double digits whereas Hillary only beats Trump in the head to head polls, and by much less than Bernie.
The GE is the important one. That's why I have some questions about closed primaries, they won't give you the best candidate for the GE.

 

TMontoya

(369 posts)
6. Hillary
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:05 PM
Apr 2016

Seems to have the "momentum" going into the next string of primaries. I expect she wins by 10-17 points in NY effectively putting Sanders away.

Godhumor

(6,437 posts)
13. So, past performance is no predictor for future success? Great
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 09:08 PM
Apr 2016

Glad to have you on the whole "Mathematically, there is no such thing as momentum" train.

 

pdsimdars

(6,007 posts)
8. Means I have to start saying little prayers.
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:44 PM
Apr 2016

I agree with you, this is a tough time. I hope the tide has changed enough to pull him through. But in my heart of hearts, I feel very calm about this and that is a good sign.

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