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morningfog

(18,115 posts)
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 10:50 PM Apr 2016

Simple hypothetical: candidate A gets more votes, candidate B more pledged delegates

Candidate A gets more popular votes while Candidate B get more pledged delegates.

Neither have enough pledged delegates to secure the nomination. Who should get the nomination? How should the super delegates cast their votes?

21 replies = new reply since forum marked as read
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Simple hypothetical: candidate A gets more votes, candidate B more pledged delegates (Original Post) morningfog Apr 2016 OP
It's all about delegates. dchill Apr 2016 #1
Didn't Clinton win the popular vote in 2008? n/t HerbChestnut Apr 2016 #2
Only if you included FL and MI, which were uncontested by Obama. morningfog Apr 2016 #3
I'm sure she would say she did, but that doesn't help your point does it? ;) revbones Apr 2016 #4
My point is that even if she doesn end up winning the popular vote... HerbChestnut Apr 2016 #20
You can't lump together the votes from caucuses and primaries, so you have to go with delegates. reformist2 Apr 2016 #5
well in this case its not even the issue drray23 Apr 2016 #6
That's not how you do a hypothetical. morningfog Apr 2016 #7
yes i know drray23 Apr 2016 #8
New rule! New rule! One bird is worth 1000 superdelegates! nt CalvinballPro Apr 2016 #9
dont give tad devine any new ideas drray23 Apr 2016 #10
the must thought you meant the other hypothetical Gwhittey Apr 2016 #15
Simple hypothetical: candidate A gets more votes, candidate B loses the pledged delegate count NuclearDem Apr 2016 #11
That's not the hypothetical of this OP. morningfog Apr 2016 #13
Pledged delegates. Codeine Apr 2016 #12
I agree with your concise answer. morningfog Apr 2016 #14
Whomever the party feels has the best chance of winning the GE. jmg257 Apr 2016 #16
Okay. Say Candidate A got more pledged delegates, morningfog Apr 2016 #17
They SHOULD lean towards the will of the people, but... jmg257 Apr 2016 #18
Pledged delegates are more important than popular votes, by design. But... thesquanderer Apr 2016 #19
candidate A gets more votes and pledged delegates - Candidate B gets less votes and pd's DrDan Apr 2016 #21
 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
3. Only if you included FL and MI, which were uncontested by Obama.
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 10:59 PM
Apr 2016

And penalized for moving up in the calendar.

 

HerbChestnut

(3,649 posts)
20. My point is that even if she doesn end up winning the popular vote...
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:50 AM
Apr 2016

She could still lose the nomination, and there would be a precedent for doing so.

drray23

(7,633 posts)
8. yes i know
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 11:08 PM
Apr 2016

Just thought I would throw in a cheap shot.. could not resist. Anyhow, in all seriousness, I am not sure what the answer should be. Given the rules, I would guess that the super delegates would have to vote their conscience. Whatever they feel is appropriate for the party.

drray23

(7,633 posts)
10. dont give tad devine any new ideas
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 11:12 PM
Apr 2016

After all, he did help shape the existing super delegate rules. Maybe he would push this new rule through. That could be the new campaign strategy.

 

NuclearDem

(16,184 posts)
11. Simple hypothetical: candidate A gets more votes, candidate B loses the pledged delegate count
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 11:14 PM
Apr 2016

Why on earth would superdelegates want to switch to candidate B?

jmg257

(11,996 posts)
16. Whomever the party feels has the best chance of winning the GE.
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 11:33 PM
Apr 2016

Its the party's convention after all.

 

morningfog

(18,115 posts)
17. Okay. Say Candidate A got more pledged delegates,
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 11:35 PM
Apr 2016

won the popular and won more states, but didn't secure the nomination with pledged delegates alone.

Same answer?

jmg257

(11,996 posts)
18. They SHOULD lean towards the will of the people, but...
Sat Apr 9, 2016, 11:39 PM
Apr 2016

Trump will be in a similiar situation (without the supers).
The party has its own interests.

thesquanderer

(11,989 posts)
19. Pledged delegates are more important than popular votes, by design. But...
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:44 AM
Apr 2016

...the single most important thing, if it actually is a close enough contest to fall to the super delegates, is to select the candidate with the best chance of winning the general election.

I'd say that's really the essential function of the super delegates. There's a reason the rules don't simply say, whoever has the most delegates wins, or whoever has the most delegates of the last two standing wins. If a delegate wins 2,383, the nomination is theirs. If a candidate was not able to generate that level of support, if you have a closely contested race or one where no one achieved a majority, the SD are supposed to choose who they think will be the best candidate, and I would say that the first criteria would be who is most likely to win. If the Super Delegates are not supposed to be able to select someone other than the person with the most delegates, then they have no reason to exist, the party could simply automatically nominate the candidate with the most delegates. But that's not the system we have.

I would say that, if neither candidate is clearly more likely to win in November, they should stick with the delegate leader.

(And one of the advantages of the calendar this year is that the Dems will know who the Republican candidate is before possibly having to make any choice.)

DrDan

(20,411 posts)
21. candidate A gets more votes and pledged delegates - Candidate B gets less votes and pd's
Sun Apr 10, 2016, 08:53 AM
Apr 2016

How should the supers vote?

That is the more probable scenario.

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