2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumBernie Polls: Hillary in His Sights, Sanders Makes Up Ground in Two Important Demographics
Bernie Sanders is rapidly making up ground in the polls, but his hopes of winning the Democratic nomination may actually be boosted by two demographics hidden a bit deeper in the numbers showing him catching up to Hillary Clinton nationwide.
Sanders is undoubtedly riding a wave of momentum in the Democratic primary, the winner of seven straight contests including what turned into a 13-point win this week in Wisconsin. In doing so, Sanders has topped Clinton in fundraising and enthusiasm, drawing larger crowds to events in the same cities. He has also been turning over two key demographics, ones that pushed Clinton to big wins earlier in the primary calendar but could be her downfall going forward.
Exit polls from Wisconsin showed that Bernie Sanders improved greatly among black voters. Once a demographic he could barely touch Clinton won the black vote in southern states by more than 90 percent in many cases Sanders improved to roughly 30 percent of the black voter demographic in the Badger State, the New York Times reported.
While not a slam dunk for Sanders, the improving numbers are much needed as he looks ahead to some larger states with high populations of black voters. To this point, much of Sanders winning streak has been in states with high white populations.
Even more stark numbers come from a recent poll of Latino voters, showing Bernie Sanders actually leading Clinton by close to 30 points among this group.
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These are two important groups that will vote in large numbers in upcoming states, including New York and Pennsylvania. If Bernie Sanders is to continue making progress, he will need to score victories in these states and likely hold Clinton to a slim win in Maryland, where a Sanders win still seems very unlikely.
For the Sanders campaign, the best hope is to continue trimming Clintons delegate lead ahead of the California primary, where a large win could make up significant ground.
http://www.inquisitr.com/2971685/bernie-sanders-polls-with-hillary-clinton-in-his-sights-sanders-makes-up-ground-in-two-important-demographics/
napi21
(45,806 posts)Yurovsky
(2,064 posts)at the same time, the more Hillary goes out and attacks progressive values as "unrealistic" and "Naive", her numbers fall.
Hopefully voters will realize only Bernie can beat the GOP in November.
Uncle Joe
(58,426 posts)CNN absolutely sucks, they always start out at the top of the hour covering the Republicans first which generally last for more than thirty minutes of the hour segment.
Then if they talk about Bernie, it lasts no more than about 9 minutes on average (that's being generous) with the host setting up the negative frame while any Bernie supporter is cutoff or perhaps only given one chance for response as happened to Bill Press last night.
I do believe and fervently hope the American People are waking up to cynical, self-serving corporate media conglomerate manipulations and propaganda.
reformist2
(9,841 posts)jillan
(39,451 posts)Even the MSM is talking about the possibility of a brokered convention - for the Dems!
Uncle Joe
(58,426 posts)Peace to you jillan.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)If Clinton has more than a majority of pledged delegates, she already has enough superdelegates to put her over the top.
The superdelegates are not going to steal it for Bernie. No one believes that is possible inside the Sanders campaign.