2016 Postmortem

brooklynite

(94,585 posts) Thu Apr 7, 2016, 01:03 PM Apr 2016

Hillary Clinton's loss in Wisconsin shows that she's following the same path to failure as in 2008

...except for winning Iowa
...and Illinois
...and Missouri
...and Virginia, North Carolina, South Carolina, Alabama, Georgia, Mississippi and Louisiana.

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Hillary Clinton's loss in Wisconsin shows that she's following the same path to failure as in 2008 (Original Post) brooklynite Apr 2016 OP

The 2008 and 2016 coalitions are identical with one exception. aaaaaa5a Apr 2016 #1

aaaaaa5a

(4,667 posts)

1. The 2008 and 2016 coalitions are identical with one exception.

Reply to brooklynite (Original post)

Thu Apr 7, 2016, 01:28 PM

Apr 2016

In 2008 Hillary had:
Moderates
Older Democrats

Obama had
Liberals
Young Voters
Minority Voters

This year Hillary is carrying the same coalition except the minority vote has moved to her side. That is the difference and that is why she will win.

Sanders coalition is smaller than Obama's in 08, because he only has 2/3rds of Obama's 2008 primary democratic base. He has young people. He has liberals. But he does not have the black vote. The black vote changed coalitions this year. This why Sanders will lose and Clinton will win in 2016.

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