New Maryland Poll (WP): Clinton 55 - Sanders 40

[brooklynite]

https://www.washingtonpost.com/local/md-politics/poll-clinton-trump-lead-in-maryland/2016/04/07/f21637c4-fb3b-11e5-9140-e61d062438bb_story.html

[SidDithers]

1. Sanders needs a 30 point swing to stay on pace...

for the nomination.

Sid

[NurseJackie]

13. Well, it could happen. I'm getting nervous.

[jcgoldie]

2. just wait till they get to know him though (nt)

[leftynyc]

3. Good news

The road to getting more pledged delegates for Bernie is going to be long and hard. The math is simple.

[jfern]

4. Maryland has a higher black percentage than SC

[geek tragedy]

5. Not a bad poll for Sanders. His target here is to lose by 9.

Given the demographics, staying within 20 points is a good result for him.

They screened for party registration, so looks legit.

[firebrand80]

7. Where are you getting that target number from? nt

[geek tragedy]

8. Nate Silver's estimate of what he needs to do in each state.

That estimate shows he needs to win NY and PA.

[firebrand80]

10. Got it, thanks nt

[TMontoya]

6. Looking good

For Clinton, she should perform extremely well in the coming primaries.

[virtualobserver]

9. looks good, Bernie is within striking distance.

[Jitter65]

11. Well,. it oought to be higher than that. I think it will be now. nt

[Cal Carpenter]

12. So Sanders has gained 10 to 15 points

vs other relatively recent polls and Clinton has lost a few points. As undecideds make up their minds they are clearly going to Sanders for the most part.

Of course with different pollsters it is hard to make a direct comparison, but there are quite a few MD polls from the last 6 or 8 weeks to show the pattern.

Like many of the other states, it seems that her share of the projected vote peaks very early and then remains flat or sinks a little. You can see it in NY - aside from one serious outlier, her share has stayed flat and has even gone down a little, while Sanders continues to gain ground. Same for PA.