Hillary building a large wall around New York won't keep Bernie out

[Rosa Luxemburg]

Bernie was born and bred in Brooklyn. Although Hillary has one of her houses there she abandoned her New York constituents when she fled from the Senate.

[Firebrand Gary]

1. LMAO

[TMontoya]

2. Honestly

Where is this idea coming from that Sanders will win NY by the blowout margins he needs?

[Avalux]

4. Thank back, stranger things have happened. n/t

[SheilaT]

6. Well, to start with, NY doesn't have any advance voting,

which strongly favors Bernie.

For another, if Hillary loses, even if just by a few points in NY, she will be seen as losing her "home" state.

[TMontoya]

10. Actually

Demographics heavily favor Clinton. Closed primary and well ahead in the polls everytime. Even a 1 point loss by Sanders would put the final nail in the coffin for his campaign.

[CoffeeCat]

8. It's fair to suggest that Bernie could do well

in NY. He was behind by 35 points just two weeks ago. According to the latest NY Dem polls, he's behind by 10. That's a 25-point increase in a short amount of time.

Plus, he's got a huge crowds and enthusiasm. 18,000 in the Bronx. We still have a big debate in NY, plus he has major rallies planned for NY. He's got an entire week to focus on NY, and momentum from the WI and WY wins.

[TMontoya]

11. No

That was an outlier and even still she is solidly winning. NH PA and MD will go heavily for Clinton..

[Rosa Luxemburg]

17. They may not

[CoffeeCat]

19. There were a few polls showing Hillary with very large leads

and those 20+ leads have evaporated

It's a ten-point game now. And we've got a lot of time to go. Time always favors Bernie Sanders.

March 14-16 Emerson poll had Hillary up 48 points (71 to 23)

March 3 Siena Poll had Hillary up 21 points (55-34)

According to the last two polls, it's a 10-point race. The latest 4/1 CBS polls shows a 10-point game (53/43).

Anyway you slice it--Bernie has made significant gains.

And I find it completely disingenuous, that now it's fair game to call that Emerson poll an "outlier" when a couple of weeks ago that poll was posted on DU probably 50 times, and used to justify Bernie dropping out now, because he wasn't going to be trounced in NY. You guys can't have it both ways.

Bernie is gaining in NY. He's only just begun campaigning in the state. Furthermore, it's a real contest in NY, in a state where she was a Senator. This is not ideal for her, at all.

[Cal Carpenter]

9. It appears that this idea is coming from you, actually,

because there is nothing of the sort in the OP.

[artislife]

21. Well since you have only been here less than a week

May I suggest reading the site and getting a feel for the answer?

We have been at it for awhile.

[MadBadger]

3. By that logic, Bernie will abandon Vermont if he wins the presidency.

She became secretary of state. Give me a break.

[Beacool]

5. She abandoned New Yorkers when she fled the Senate?????

Yeah, to become SOS. I'm sure New Yorkers are heartbroken. Hmmm, let me think......Nope, they are not.

[CentralCoaster]

7. She's in the Bronx tonight. Riverdale, that is, on the Hudson, $10,000/person to get in.

She's all about the Bronx, yanno.

[pinebox]

12. One word...Fracking

And Bernie will bring that up very hard in the NY debate.
NY is anti-fracking paradise and it is a red button issue there.
Hillary sold fracking around the globe.
Truth!

[Rosa Luxemburg]

15. Good point!

[DebbieCDC]

13. Will she get Jersey to pay for it?

Just askin'

[Rosa Luxemburg]

16. LOL!

[KingFlorez]

14. No one cares where Sanders was born

It's about as relevant as Clinton being born in Illinois, which didn't give her an advantage. Clinton representing New York in the Senate for 8 years is actually an advantage.

[SheilaT]

18. She's been out of that office for eight years now.

It's really disheartening how many people never have a clue who their Representative or Senators are. Although, admittedly she was a celebrity Senator, so more people would have been aware of her than is usual.

I have heard it said that she is widely disliked Upstate, but I cannot source that.

I do agree, that to most New Yorkers, Bernies NY origin won't matter much. They'll vote for him based on his policies.

[artislife]

22. Except for New Yorkers. They are probably some of the proudest

Of where they came from.

Every.single. NYer I have ever met, has waxed on and on and on about how NY is the best in the world.

They are proud.proud.proud.

[KingFlorez]

24. It's unlikely that he's guaranteed to win New York because he was born there

He hasn't lived there in many years. It's quite ridiculous to count Clinton out in New York because Sanders was born there, but whatever.

[artislife]

25. yeah...whatever!

[Rosa Luxemburg]

26. She is not guaranteed

[Luminous Animal]

20. Hillary does not have a house in Brooklyn.

[Rosa Luxemburg]

23. Chappaqua