Reuters/Ipsos race tied among likely voters, Obama up 3 points among registered voters.

[ProSense]

Here is what comparing Oct 2, Oct 11 and Oct 22 looks like:




DAILY ELECTION TRACKING 10.02.12
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12040

Daily Election Tracking: 10.11.12
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12068

Daily Election Tracking: 10.22.12
http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=12113

[woolldog]

1. 8% undecided?

Who are these people?

[DemKittyNC]

2. 8% Of the population is completely braindead. n/t

[RosedaleGuy]

8. True, but Dems need to make simple clear arguments they can understand

I bet you even a brain-dead voter would say no if asked, "Do you think we should increase military spending by $2T like Romney is proposing?"

[AJH032]

3. Ipsos projects Obama will carry hotly contested states such as Florida, Ohio and Virginia

http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/10/22/us-usa-campaign-poll-idUSBRE89K0A920121022

Ipsos projects Obama will carry hotly contested states such as Florida, Ohio and Virginia, for a relatively comfortable electoral college victory.

That's good news, but I don't see any Ipsos state polls anywhere. Does anyone know where this is coming from?

[Welcome_hubby]

5. I wonder why Ipsos is hiding its polls from those states

They must be basing their projections on something.

[catbyte]

4. Why is anyone even looking at national polls?

Seriously, why?

[geek tragedy]

6. For one, they provide context for state polls--a kind of sanity check.

Also, a legitimacy issue.

The most important thing is that Obama stay in office. Without a doubt.

But, would Obama greatly prefer to win the popular vote? Absolutely--that would help in his dealings with House Republicans.

[progressivebydesign]

7. No, they really do NOT offer anything. Focus on the States. Period. nt

[ProSense]

10. There are BS state polls too.

Suffolk Poll: Obama, Romney Tied In Ohio
http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/suffolk-poll-obama-romney-tied-in-ohio

A lot of RW pollsters and those trying to push a Romney surge.

[Blaukraut]

12. Something is weird about timing of polls

It seems like every time there is a state poll that comes out where Obama is ahead, another one comes out either the same day or the following day that has him tied or behind. Probably just a coincidence, but funny how it works to keep the poll aggregates at a tight margin.

[ProSense]

13. There just seems to be too many weird polls in the mix this year.

You have one pollster showing Obama leading in four states, then one poll showing him tied in Ohio.

The whole Romney gaining then only applies to Ohio.

At the national level, Gallup is serving this purpose, keeping the race close. Then a few polls effectively begin countering that, and another poll comes out with weird results.

http://www.democraticunderground.com/1251162964

[ProSense]

11. And magically, a BS state poll

moves Ohio back to toss up:

http://livewire.talkingpointsmemo.com/entry/suffolk-poll-obama-romney-tied-in-ohio

[ProSense]

9. To call bullshit on the media reports.

There are so many people listening to the MSM who are literally in a panic.