2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum7-eleven has Obama as a clear winner of the elections
According to their count of Blue Obama cups and Red Romney cups sold, President Obama is way ahead. I read that this "polling" has been more accurate for the last three elections than the actual polls.
I was really happy looking at the map until it showed Texas as a solid blue. Regardless, it is remarkable that the blue cups are outselling the red ones in such a red state.
Here is a link to the 7-eleven map. It's fun to see who's sold more cups, not only by state, but also by city
here's the link:
http://www.7-eleven.com/7-Election/NationalResults.aspx
surrealAmerican
(11,364 posts)1. They gave part of Michigan to Wisconsin.
2. A lot of states are apparently not participating. Until I saw the map, I had thought all the states were participating.
I like seeing all the blue as much as anybody, but this is too light on actual information.
DemKittyNC
(743 posts)didn't I read somewhere that they have been extremely accurate at predicting Presidential races in the past as well? I would probably trust this polling over any other.
NYC_SKP
(68,644 posts)Ask not what 7-Eleven can do for you ask what 7-Eleven can brew for you!
Democracy is brewing this election season at the nations largest convenience store retailer. Beginning September 6,
7-Eleven customers will cast their ballots, blue or red, by simply purchasing their morning coffee.
Every four years, 7-Eleven unveils custom coffee cups for the Democratic and Republican presidential nominees and
tracks customers' votes through purchases. Dubbed 7-Election, the unabashedly and unscientific poll
has correctly predicted the presidential election for the past three election cycles 2000, 2004 and 2008.
Voting ends on Election Day, November 6.
To honor early voting, 7-Eleven is celebrating CofFREE Day on September 28, one day before National Coffee Day, and inviting customers to
vote for free on Friday morning. Everyone across the U.S. can make a stop at participating 7-Eleven stores between 6 a.m. and 10 a.m. to
receive a free large-size cup of hot coffee, cappuccino, latte or tea, while supplies last. Now that's patriotism with a perk!
http://www.7-eleven.com/7-Election/Press.aspx
LiberalElite
(14,691 posts)How much of a predictor can these results be when they're missing 16 states?
pnwmom
(109,001 posts)NYC_SKP
(68,644 posts)I could be wrong but I don't think this is very scientific.
lunatica
(53,410 posts)It's as good a poll as all the others are. Which doesn't mean I'm saying it's a good poll.
DemKittyNC
(743 posts)See, I knew I wasn't crazy and I read that somewhere. Thank you! It is good to see President Obama kicking ass even in the Java World
johnlucas
(1,250 posts)I especially love that current 59% Obama, 41% Romney result.
http://www.7-eleven.com/7-Election/NationalResults.aspx
John Lucas
lunamagica
(9,967 posts)2004 Election
George W. Bush*
7-Election 51%
U.S. Voters 50.7%
John Kerry
7-Election 49%
U.S. Voters 48.3%
2008 Election
John McCain
7-Election 46%
U.S. Voters 45.7%
Barack Obama*
7-Election 52%
U.S. Voters 52.9%
I wonder if any of the official polls was this accurate?
DemKittyNC
(743 posts)Like I said I would probably trust this over actual polling since Gallup and the likes seem to be bought and paid for to swing in the favor of the candidate that they want to win. Thank you for that data!
LisaL
(44,974 posts)boingboinh
(290 posts)It would be easier than to find a pattern and compare to 2008.
LisaL
(44,974 posts)Those are the ones out there buying sodas in 7-11.
ProudProgressiveNow
(6,129 posts)LisaL
(44,974 posts)under 40 voted, Obama would win TX. So there is hope for TX yet (in 30 years?).
Frank Cannon
(7,570 posts)Not even decaf, is my understanding.
Unless 7-11 also offers hot chocolate, I think that should be taken into account.
ON EDIT: I have just been informed that 7-11 DOES offer hot chocolate. So maybe it's not a big deal.
courseofhistory
(801 posts)You can find your state at the [URL="http://www.7-eleven.com/7-Election/NationalResults.aspx"]link[/URL].
[CENTER][IMG][/IMG][/CENTER]
Colo. Spgs. where I am is 55% O 47% R
I read somewhere that these unscientific "coffee polls" have been pretty accurate in the past.
Drunken Irishman
(34,857 posts)It does give you a basic indication of where people are leaning. It makes sense. Who would grab the cup of the candidate they don't support? Most take pride in their candidate ... or at least, not voting for a certain candidate (I liked Kerry, but was never too keen on his campaign, still ... I took pride in showing everyone in red Utah that I wasn't supporting Bush) ... so, they'll grab the cup of the guy they support. Sure, some might feel pressured to pick a certain candidate they don't support, but in the end, I bet the number is statistically minimal.
Is Obama leading the real popular vote 59-41? No. Factor in the red states and that number declines ... but it does show you he's doing good in swing states and, with them never being wrong in the past, you can't definitively say it's not a good predictor until, you know, its predictions prove wrong.
johnlucas
(1,250 posts)You doubted my conclusions about Obama's 15-20% lead in my Obama Landslide thread.
I know how this is gonna turn out & it's nice to see 7-Eleven of all places underline my view.
They got the last 2 elections right. This will be the 3rd.
This race ain't close.
Ain't never BEEN close.
I can't wait until the blowout & I can't wait to say 'I told you so' to all my doubters.
John Lucas
johnlucas
(1,250 posts)Yep.
7-Election is one poll that you just might be able to count on.
I predicted an Obama landslide of 20% of the Popular Vote (15% minimum) in this thread posted on October 10th.
ELECTION SPOILER: Obama wins in a LANDSLIDE
All my reasoning is inside that thread.
But 7-Election like Intrade is where people put their money where their mouth is.
Talk is cheap, actions mean everything.
Watch where the dollars go.
This current tally of Obama 59% to Romney 41% falls RIGHT WITHIN my 15-20% margin of victory.
That's 18 points of Obama leading according to this October 22nd tally from 7-Eleven's 7-Election.
And we still have 2 weeks to go.
I never believed this race was close.
Media is invested in a horse race for ratings.
Republican operatives also influence things behind the scenes to get a more favorable picture of that failure Romney.
It's gonna be a landslide just like I said.
John Lucas