What Will Absolutely Not Happen in the Democratic Primaries

[MineralMan]

Lots of folks proposing lots of things these days as we move past the halfway point in the Democratic Primary season. Here are the proposals that will not happen in 2016, based on over 50 years of observing presidential primaries:

1. Changing all primaries to "Open Primaries" - There is no mechanism in any state to alter how the primaries or caucuses are done. The rules for those things have been set long ago. In some states, the state legislature controls the process. In most caucus states, the rules are established by the state Democratic Party organization in a previous year. No changes are possible now.

2. Superdelegates will change their votes en masse - Not a chance. We have two primary candidates. One of them will have a majority of pledged delegates when the convention occurs. Superdelegates play a real role only when there are more than two candidates and nobody has a majority of pledged delegates. This year, almost all superdelegates will vote for the candidate with the majority of those pledged delegates. Superdelegates do not vote until the convention. Some may have declared their support, but they will vote for the majority candidate at the convention. They are not going to go against the will of the primary voters.

3. The remaining states with the largest delegations will vote differently than expected - This is also very unlikely. While the margins may not be as large as polling predicts, none will shift in a major way. Even in states where one candidate is leading, the most that can be expected is a near-tie. That would divide that state's delegates evenly and would alter the pledged delegate margin that is already established.

4. One candidate will be indicted for something - That will not happen before the convention. The FBI, which is investigating some things with regard to one candidate, has no power to indict anyone. That falls to the Justice Department, which would have to call a federal Grand Jury after conducting its own investigation about whether there is real evidence of a prosecutable crime. The Justice Department is part of the Executive Branch, which is headed by Democratic President Obama. There will be no Grand Jury. There will be no indictment prior to the November general election. It will not happen.

Those are things that will not happen in 2016. You can take that to the bank.

[think]

2. Which bank? Goldman Sachs? JP Morgan? Citigroup? UBS?

[MineralMan]

4. Whichever bank you use for your checking account,

I suppose. You do have a bank, right? If not, then you'll have to find some other place to stash your money, I guess.

[think]

6. I'd prefer one that doesn't lie to congress & it's customers and doesn't routinely violate US laws.

The Canadian banks suffered very little impact from the last global meltdown but now seemed poised to suffer due to the oil tar sands becoming as worthless as they are toxic.

Credit unions are nice for local banking but don't lend themselves as well to national banking needs where a person travels frequently.

And pay day loan and banking services? What kind of deprived person would support that racket?

Now banking at the Post Office sure would be convenient, lend itself to national banking needs, and protect consumers from unscrupulous predator banking options but unfortunately this isn't a reality.

Hmm...

Any suggestions?

[MineralMan]

7. Hmm...so you don't use a bank?

Never mind, then.

[think]

8. No. I currently use one from Hillary's list as I don't a have a better option currently

based on my needs.

I'm hoping to find one with some integrity.

[Punkingal]

3. Agree with your first point.

But the other 3, well no one knows the answers on those with absolute certainty.

[MineralMan]

5. Well, those are my predictions.

If I'm wrong about them, we'll know in late July. Check back with me then.

[PufPuf23]

9. I agree on all points save momentum favors Sanders but this is likely too little too late.

Otherwise so what?

What is obvious is that there is and will continue to be a variety of sleazy methods to tilt the Democratic Party selection process for POTUS nominee in favor of Hillary Clinton.

I do not think that Bernie Sanders and his supporters should even take the bias personally.

Any alternative Democratic candidate that rose to the top contender would face similar obstacles.

We are lucky to have Bernie Sanders as a candidate contra to Hillary Clinton because they are Yin and Yang within the Democratic Party.

Sanders, even if he fails to be nominated, has and will raise important discussion about policy and direction that otherwise would be ignored.

Already to those that watch, Hillary Clinton is a very flawed candidate that, if elected (likely), will not be as successful, liked nor respected as POTUS Obama and the leadership of the nation and Democratic Party will continue to drift and lose ground into the neoliberal and neoconservative void.

Hillary Clinton and followers put her ambition over what is best for the nation and the Democratic Party.

Is this person suitable to be POTUS?

[think]

10. Hillary won't get indicted. As you say we rarely prosecute people in those positions unless

they murder someone on TV.

As for the delegates I could see them bailing if the American people ever find out what Hillary Clinton has actually done and what she stands for. Unlikely as the American public in general isn't that well informed and the corporate media isn't going to help them.

I use to think the email scandal was just GOP hot air. Now it's obvious Hillary broke some laws in regards to national security, disobeyed the president in regards to Blumenthal, and most likely did some serious wheeling and dealing with dubious characters.

But as ultimately corrupt, compromised, and aligned with neocon foreign policy as Hillary is; it is very likely she's going be the proud nominee for the Democrats....