Rasmussen tracking: Obama 49 Romney 39 / Obama 48 Santorum 41

[DCBob]

The Rasmussen Reports daily Presidential Tracking Poll for Thursday shows that 28% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as president. Forty percent (40%) Strongly Disapprove, giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -12 (see trends).

In a potential Election 2012 matchups, the president leads Rick Santorum 48% to 41%. If Mitt Romney is the Republican nominee, the president leads 49% to 39%.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

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Its starting to look like Santorum is becoming the stronger candidate. I think we want Romney to be our opponent. Razpuken does fudge data but I think he only does that when it benefits a Republican.

[babylonsister]

1. This must slay Rasmussen!! Great news! nt

[DCBob]

2. yeah, really. it makes one wonder what the "real" numbers are.

I suspect Obama may be even further ahead given Rasmussen's track record of fudging numbers.

[Laura PourMeADrink]

10. Rasmussen (and Pew) got the 2008 result exactly right, Just sayin. List of polling accuracy...

http://race42012.com/2008/11/06/poll-accuracy-in-the-race-4-2008/

The following list ranks the 23 organizations by the accuracy of their final, national preelection polls (as reported on pollster.com ).
1. Rasmussen (11/1-3)**
1. Pew (10/29-11/1)**
2. YouGov/Polimetrix (10/18-11/1)
3. Harris Interactive (10/20-27)
4. GWU (Lake/Tarrance) (11/2-3)*
5. Diageo/Hotline [phone])*
5. ARG (10/25-27)*
6. CNN/Opinion Research (10/30-11/1)
6. Ipsos/McClatchy (10/30-11/1)
7. DailyKos.com (D)/Research 2000 (11/1-3)
8. AP/Yahoo/KN (10/17-27)
9. Democracy Corps (D) (10/30-11/2)
10. FOX News/Opinion Dynamics (11/1-2)
11. Economist/YouGov (10/25-27)
12. IBD/TIPP (11/1-3)
13. NBC/WSJ (11/1-2)
14. ABC/Washington Post (10/30-11/2)
15. Marist College (11/3)
16. CBS (10/31-11/2)
17. Gallup (10/31-11/2)
18. Reuters/ C-SPAN/ Zogby (10/31-11/3)
19. CBS/NY Times (10/25-29)
20. Newsweek (10/22-23)
Initial Report: November 5, 2008

[Ebadlun]

3. Romney's ahead by 4 in gallup

http://www.gallup.com/poll/152918/Romney-Santorum-Closely-Matched-Against-Obama-Nationally.aspx

Don't ask me what that means..

[DCBob]

4. not much. its within moe and its a bit stale.

I wouldnt worry about it.

[Robbins]

5. Um

This Is USA Today/Gallup poll.They are often worse than RAS.After Republican convention In 2008 they had Mccain with double
diget lead.They are outliner.Even though Q only has Obama with small lead I take them more seriously than USA Today/Gallup

[boxman15]

6. Gallup is worse than Rassmussen nowadays when it comes to things like this.

[customerserviceguy]

7. I find that interesting

Romney's chief argument has been, "I'm the guy who can beat Obama," and if the trend continues, he'll see his support erode even further. And yes, we do want Romney to be the opponent. I sure hope DU'ers in Michigan and Arizona take that into account if they want mischief. Better to vote for Paul than Santorum if you want to make trouble for Repukes without a possibility of making it for our side.

[DCBob]

8. Totally agree.

Also, Ron Paul is becoming an interesting player in all this with his "alliance" with Romney. Not sure where that is heading but it doesnt bode well for Santorum.

[customerserviceguy]

9. You think maybe Ron Paul

figures he can trade his delegates on a second ballot for a VP slot? This is Paul's last shot at any prize bigger than his House seat, and he's probably figured out by now that he's simply not going to win the nomination, or a third party run.