2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forum6 Key Issues Where Trump Neutralizes Hillary or Runs to Her Left
http://www.alternet.org/election-2016/6-key-issues-where-trump-neutralizes-hillary-or-runs-her-leftSome experts think Hillary could be in trouble against Trump, who goes left and right simultaneously.
President Obama has repeatedly said theres no way Americans would elect Donald Trump president. But Democrats dont have to think back very far to dismaying GOP victories where they were left asking, what happened? There was George W. Bush in Ohio in 2004, in Florida in 2000 and Ronald Reagan in 1980.
Trumps continuing path toward the 2016 GOP nomination has already confounded the pundits, political junkies and oft-quoted scholars. Before last week when he won big in Florida, Illinois and North Carolina, the Nations William Greider wrote, The Democratic Party could find itself obliterated by this election" and offered "a sequence of events I find plausible. He started with Trump getting the nomination, Bernie Sanders retiring gracefully so he will not be labeled a spoiler, and then Trump doing something not seen in a long time: taking hard-right and hard-left positions.
Then, in the fall campaign, Trump changes his style and launches a ferocious and substantive assault on [Hillary] Clinton, with devastating effect. He does this essentially by taking over Sanders' economic agenda. He denounces HRC as a tool of wealthy plutocrats and speaks for working-class discontents, much as he has done in the primary season, wrote Grieder. Imagine a campaign that merges Bernies straight-talk values with traditional Republican values.
(snip)
1. The Anti-Free Trader.
(snip)
2. Cutting Americas Military Budget.
(snip)
3. Rejecting Big Money Political Corruption.
(snip)
4. Preserving Social Security and Medicare.
(snip)
5. Lowering Seniors Prescription Drug Costs.
(snip)
6. Breaking Health Insurance Monopolies.
----------------------------
Clinton looses on these 6 issues. Even if she attempts to triangulate or 'evolve' on these, not many will believe her.
What will Hillary do when Trump offers the above agenda to Democrats and his racist xenophobic to his right wing supporters?
Here's one "what if":
Your choice Democrats (White people), is you get to have the agenda of 6 above, which is LEFT of Clinton, if you're willing to throw non-whites under the bus. This will be a tough choice for some. Let's see, shut down free trade and bring jobs back, Keep my social security and medicare even expand them, cheaper medication, if I am willing to ignore the racism and xenophobia.
Trump cannot get LEFT of Bernie Sanders on anything.
vi5
(13,305 posts)This stuff should be no brainers for any Democrat worth his salt. But since we've taken a "Who else are you going to vote for?!?!?" approach to helping maintain the strength of organized labor in this country, here we are with a huge opening for someone like Trump to feed into all of these issues (most of which fall to some degree into the labor end of things).
seaglass
(8,173 posts)Nobody. However, if we see anyone puffing up Trump they will have to go do it someplace else.
http://www.democraticunderground.com/?com=view_post&forum=1013&pid=5098
Jackie Wilson Said
(4,176 posts)clever ways will be gone about to promote that here on Democratic Underground.
Anyone who is not a republican in disguise will immediately expose these efforts as you just did.
RiverLover
(7,830 posts)for Bernie. Bernie is genuinely LEFT of Trump, unlike Clinton.
Clinton is a conservative interloper. A stink bomb into Liberals.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Actual Sander supporters understand that a vote for Donald Trump is not a vote to protect Social Security or reform our health care system.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)But yeah, that poster may well get banninated. Totally shocked I wasn't, after some effective alert swarming got me two hides in a ten minute period (thus automatically triggering a suspension-for-review). But I'm just a Bernie supporter...not someone who'll post pro-Trump stuff.
Not at all sure the OP actuary qualifies, though. Pointing out possible areas in which Trump might successfully position himself to the left of Hillary is a genuine concern...something she has to be ready for. If Trump pulled that off, it would be yet another problem in securing enough of the independent moderate vote (which will be critical in swing states).
seaglass
(8,173 posts)know the OP and maybe s/he doesn't care if s/he gets banned. Just thought the poster should know.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)and Social Security/Medicare.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)Donald Trump said on 60 Minutes last Sunday that he would, as president, work to repeal Obamacare and replace it with a government-funded universal healthcare program.
...
Trump began explaining, Theres many different ways, by the way. Everybodys got to be covered. This is an un-Republican thing for me to say because a lot of times they say, No, no, the lower 25 percent that cant afford private. But
Pelley then interrupted, noting that Trump was describing a universal healthcare plan.
Trump continued, I am going to take care of everybody. I dont care if it costs me votes or not. Everybodys going to be taken care of much better than theyre taken care of now.
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)Scuba
(53,475 posts)Disclaimer: I live in a purple state and will vote for the Democratic Party nominee.
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)Scuba
(53,475 posts)Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)No one is pumping up Drumpf !
This is about how to handle a potential game plan that would be devastating to Clinton - if she gets that far.
It's really stupid to ignore this or sweep it under the rug
seaglass
(8,173 posts)artislife
(9,497 posts)Can we discuss?
I would love to break up the stranglehold Medical Insurance has on this country. One way would be to make them non-profit, another way would be to have someone else make the rules of what they can reimburse at, deny and open enrollment dates etc. Or just get rid of them...
I worked as a biller for a chiropractor and the Insurance companies suck. They suck.
BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)I guess we'll just fall in line and shut up. Or NOT!
seaglass
(8,173 posts)Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Sanders supports defense spending, Trump wants to build the biggest military so the two would be able to work together.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)...is on gun manufacturer liability (for suits unrelated to product defects). And Bernie's clearly correct on that one...
As far as defense spending goes, Hillary's the proven warmonger, Bernie's the proven peacenik. No contest on that one.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Sanders has a D- rating from the NRA. How's that foot taste?
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)I'm absolutely fine on that. Nuisance lawsuits as a dodge past the inability to get what one wants via the democratic process deserve to be legislated against. Clinton and Sanders have identical records besides that item. To imply that he's closer to Trump than to his opponent on gun control is a blatent lie.
NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)Oh, the irony.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)NuclearDem
(16,184 posts)habit of crying election fraud and baselessly suing everyone and everything in sight to get a state's popular vote overturned.
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Unless you're of the "collective guilt" persuasion, and then I see no reason to take your assessments seriously.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Are you saying Trump is for gun control?
Lizzie Poppet
(10,164 posts)Once again, since I seem to be struggling to get this across to you, only their position on prohibiting nuisance lawsuits assets them apart on gun control. That measure to prevent these anti-democratic suits, even if it weren't the correct decision, doesn't in any demonstrable way affect that figure.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)On Bernie on gun control, any rating but a F does not make the case.
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)Reality Check
Hartmann just went over this on his show. Can't noodle through it here?
Response to Ferd Berfel (Reply #11)
geek tragedy This message was self-deleted by its author.
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)Talk is cheap
That's pretty much the way it works these days on both sides.
I don't trust Hillary either.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)to deport every Mexican on US soil will vote for Trump.
Response to Ferd Berfel (Reply #24)
Post removed
revbones
(3,660 posts)Should probably re-evaluate their life as well. She is on the take for Wall St, she won't champion health reform because she has big money pharma donors, and she's explicitly stated a willingness to compromise on Social Security (raising retirement age) and abortion (reducing time allowed).
For jury members and Hilary supporters stuck in alert mode:
The Terms of Service clearly state "But that does not mean that DU members are required to always be completely supportive of Democrats. During the ups-and-downs of politics and policy-making, it is perfectly normal to have mixed feelings about the Democratic officials we worked hard to help elect."
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)on Social Security, Medicare, and health care is either a Trump Humping Troll or so stupid they need instructions on how to breathe.
And, Clinton is promoting the public option as part of her agenda. Get back to us when your boy Donald is doing the same/.
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)However, if gun control is NOT your key issue, as it is not mine and I suspect many others, then there is not that substantial difference between Bernie and Hillary that it would cause me to change my vote.
Having a Republican who effectively runs to the Left of Hillary, with some history to back that up, well, that I find really troubling and kind of a political coalition-bending game-changer, as horrific as so much about him truly is.
Thinkingabout
(30,058 posts)Average 80 people a day are dying, yes it is a big issue with me. When those possessing a gun thinks it is ok to go into schools and kill innocent people, when they go to theaters, shopping centers, places of worship, yes it is a problem for me. BTW, there are other positions of which I do not agree with Sanders but the gun issue is overwhelming.
highprincipleswork
(3,111 posts)trumad
(41,692 posts)Dem2
(8,168 posts)President Drumf!!
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)anyone?
immoderate
(20,885 posts)Trump is a loose cannon. He might do anything. I have a pretty good idea of what Hillary would do. Trump can out-triangulate her.
What if he says, "I was just kidding about the wall?"
--imm
Well, at least you're trying.
Response to Ferd Berfel (Original post)
geek tragedy This message was self-deleted by its author.
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)Great. That's a winning plan
Response to Ferd Berfel (Reply #21)
geek tragedy This message was self-deleted by its author.
revbones
(3,660 posts)Can't you guys just re-read that dang post??? It's not promoting Trump. Are you guys so overly sensitive that anytime Hillary is negatively mentioned in a post with Trump you think it's promoting Trump???
The op is just elaborating on a weakness that she has based on Trump as her opposition. Get over it. Sheesh.
For jury members and Hillary supporters stuck in alert mode over anything :
The Terms of Service clearly state "But that does not mean that DU members are required to always be completely supportive of Democrats. During the ups-and-downs of politics and policy-making, it is perfectly normal to have mixed feelings about the Democratic officials we worked hard to help elect."
Response to revbones (Reply #45)
geek tragedy This message was self-deleted by its author.
revbones
(3,660 posts)Trump has an opening to run on some issues to Hillary's left. That's all the article was saying, and yes that is a basic fact.
You guys can't take anything negative about Hillary, so you have to spin it as something else to try to beat down the person saying it. It's disgusting how Hillary supporters will contort themselves to try to say something is something its not in order to justify an alert or ban.
You can read into things all you want, but it doesn't make it true. I'm so disgusted with your misrepresentations that I'm actually wincing while reading the ignorance posted.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)That is a basic fact.
One that the Team Trump Humping has willfully distorted.
revbones
(3,660 posts)I doubt it. We do know that she is against single-payer and for raising the retirement age. That gives an opponent an opening on the left.
That is a basic fact as you say.
You are being "flatout dishonest" as you put it.
Ferd Berfel
(3,687 posts)I've never voted for a republican and will never vote for a right winger, Trump included. However, I have at times, not voted in specific categories. It's amazing how fast some people jump the shark over a discussion that doesn't flatter her or points out things she needs to cover.
You are correct, she is vulnerable to being out triangulated by Drumpf, and on the Left. The article is from ALTERNET for godsake, not some right wing rag.
Electric Monk
(13,869 posts)Bernie polls much better against him in the general, over and over.
geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)analyst will tell you.
it's only Bernie fans who can't do math who claim Clinton can't beat Trump.
Just because a sizeable portion of the Hillary Hating crowd here prefers Trump to Clinton does not make it so in the general election.
brooklynite
(94,667 posts)...and how many people do you think will be saying "I think he's a mysoginistic, racist big-mouth, but I really would like to cut costs at the Pentagon?"
vintx
(1,748 posts)revbones
(3,660 posts)those saying she's corrupt, a liar, and will shift right in the election and beyond.
For jury members:
The Terms of Service clearly state "But that does not mean that DU members are required to always be completely supportive of Democrats. During the ups-and-downs of politics and policy-making, it is perfectly normal to have mixed feelings about the Democratic officials we worked hard to help elect."
JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)problem is, he's very good at it.
artislife
(9,497 posts)JackRiddler
(24,979 posts)This is a handicap. He's got the WWE vote all lined up.
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)geek tragedy
(68,868 posts)Snarkoleptic
(5,998 posts)Juror #1 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: The primary isn't over. Give it a rest.
Juror #2 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: if it were not for these statements, I would have voted to Leave It. "Your choice Democrats (White people)" "if you're willing to throw non-whites under the bus." Choose your words more wisely.
Juror #3 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: Agree. This is trump humping.
Juror #4 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #5 voted to HIDE IT
Explanation: No explanation given
Juror #6 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: There is nothing wrong with this post.
Juror #7 voted to LEAVE IT ALONE
Explanation: No explanation given
Response to Snarkoleptic (Reply #32)
geek tragedy This message was self-deleted by its author.
Snarkoleptic
(5,998 posts)Clinton said she wants to preserve Social Security and raise payments to people who need it mostsuch as widowers, who see cuts after a spouse dies, women and poor people who have historically been underpaid compared to white men. Sanders, in contrast, said benefits must be raised for everyone. Trumps stance on this issue is far from ideal, but its outside the GOPs mainstream. Its neither constructive nor destructive, but that tends to neutralize the issue in a fall campaign with Clinton.
Valid point? Perhaps
Trump Humping? NO!
Those anxious to pivot to the general must also look at issues of the general.
Response to Snarkoleptic (Reply #50)
geek tragedy This message was self-deleted by its author.
Snarkoleptic
(5,998 posts)This is particulary true when viewing the chasm between Drumpf's (certain to be flip-flopped on) position vs. the mainstream republiClowns who want to privatize of kill the "big three" outright.
Just as Clinton is running to the left with her newfound distaste for TPP (which she previously referred to as "The Gold Standard of Trade Agreements" , which was done to prevent Sanders form contrasting his long held position vs. hers.
vintx
(1,748 posts)This is something deeper than denial.
PeaceNikki
(27,985 posts)Onlooker
(5,636 posts)Those Sanders supporters who campaign for Trump are pretty embarrassing to those of us who recognize Trump is a fascist. On every one of those issues, Hillary is actually to the left of Trump. Trump supports a far more active military than Hillary does, and has pledged a massive military build-up. Trump isn't anti-free trade; he's against the current agreement because it basically does not help the wealthy enough. He is all for big money political corruption, and his record proves it. Hillary has already come out for preserving social security and medicare, and she's all for lowering prescription drug costs. Trump is against Obamacare and uses the argument that he's against health insurance monopolies. If you oppose Obamacare and single payer, Trump is a good choice.
Do we really need this kind of bullshit in DemocraticUnderground? These increasingly desperate attacks on Hillary will only serve to help America elect a fascist like Trump.
Peace Patriot
(24,010 posts)While nobody with a brain expects Clinton to STAY left.
Bernie Sanders is the only reliable candidate. What you see is what you get. An honest president. Imagine!
MisterP
(23,730 posts)he'll just go "you say we're xenophobic warmongers, you've repeatedly started wars even south of the border, bragged about deportations, and are the only one in this room who voted for the border wall! your economic team is packed with people who say retirement should be at 70 or 75! you say I hire illegals? your policies have sent millions and millions of jobs overseas! you say I'm a huckster? you've bled hardworking whites dry and come to town with the same carny act! I'm racist? you cheerlead polices that jailed a third of (slur redacted) men and took credit for that as a fall in unemployment! I'm greedy? you're in the payday-lending party! your whole campaign is based on voters not knowing a damn thing you've done!" (give or take some slurs)
Clinton's stood on both sides of the fence for so long there's nothing left of her as a pol, just speeches, neoliberal pie in the sky, and accusations of bigotry against a rock-solid fighter against it back when she was using the same bigotry to pander some more
pampango
(24,692 posts)FDR would assure you of that.
Hoover and Coolidge tried that. High tariffs led to little trade. Result: not a return of jobs but an historically high level of income inequality and then a Depression. FDR saw the folly of that trade policy and liberalized trade by reducing tariffs first, then proposing international control of trade - something Mr. Trump is not a big fan of.
Here, too, Trumps positioning could track to the left of Clinton. And unlike Sanders, whose state has an F-35 fighter plane base, Trump has explicitly said that plane was a waste of money. Like so many Trump plans, the specifics are hazy.
His plans are so 'hazy' that it is hard to give him credit for being 'left' of Hillary or Bernie. As bellicose as he sounds about using the military to impose US' will on foreign countries, it would be unlikely that he could reduce the military budget under such circumstances.
Trumps stance on this issue is far from ideal, but its outside the GOPs mainstream. Its neither constructive nor destructive, but that tends to neutralize the issue in a fall campaign with Clinton.
Trump is to the left of most republican candidates but he is not left of Hillary and Bernie. The article even states as much.
Heres another issue where Trump is saying he wants to do what Democrats like Obama, Clinton and Sanders have long called for, but which has been blocked by congressional Republicans.
Again, he is to the left of congressional republicans but not of Hillary and Bernie.
We know that Trump has pledged to get rid of Obamacare and he hasnt said much about its replacement other than it would involve consumers crossing state lines.
Again, that hardly puts him to the left of the Democratic candidates
And unlike Sanders, whose state has an F-35 fighter plane base, Trump has explicitly said that plane was a waste of money.
I love Bernie, but Donald is to the left of him on the F-35. I believe Bernie would back away from the F-35 if he becomes president.
Koinos
(2,792 posts)His only belief system is narcissism. What promises did Mussolini make to the Italian people?
Seriously, most thinking people would vote for Clinton against Trump because of Trump's racism and xenophobia alone.
If Trump is nominated, even some staunch Republicans will vote for Clinton, rather than see their party destroyed.
Anyone who believes those six "promises" would be carried out by a "President Trump" is borderline delusional.
I dislike many of Clinton's positions, but any Democrat who gives any credence to Trump has too many problems for me to enumerate.
This OP comes dangerously close to a Trump endorsement or a justification of a vote for Trump. What some might call "extortion" from so-called Sanders supporters is getting tiresome.
Sanders supporters should instead work harder for a massive GOTV effort. They should leave their keyboards, stop bragging about big rallies, and physically get like-minded citizens to the polls.
Snarkoleptic
(5,998 posts)Last edited Mon Mar 21, 2016, 03:24 PM - Edit history (1)
The flaw in your argument is thinking Drumpf's hordes of fascist-wannabe's and temporarily-embarrassed-millionaires have critical thinking skills.
Koinos
(2,792 posts)He hasn't gotten more than 40% of even the Republican votes in this primary. If he becomes the nominee, he will have done it with a plurality and not a majority of votes.
I trust that no more than 40% of Americans of all parties combined are bat-shit insane and racist. Most Americans who vote will vote against him. A ham sandwich would defeat him in the general election.
I don't count Trump followers as thinking Americans, and I certainly don't think they have critical thinking skills. But the majority of Americans are better than that. I have not yet lost all faith in human nature.
H2O Man
(73,579 posts)Recommended.
ViseGrip
(3,133 posts)Winning in November?
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)Just because someone sees a scenario where Trump could beat Hillary doesn't make someone a Trump supporter. I see plenty of possible, but not likely, ways that could happen. You would too if you opened your eyes. And the same goes for Bernie if he is the nominee.
Trust Buster
(7,299 posts)BillZBubb
(10,650 posts)The issue is that Trump is essentially a free agent. He is not tied to republican orthodoxy, so he can tailor his positions to gain more votes. He can go left or right. It is a very real threat to whomever the Democrats nominate.