2016 Postmortem
Related: About this forumToday's Marquette WI poll seems off: (Obama +1); (Thompson +1)
Their number for Obama seems lower than other Wisconsin polls we have seen in the past week, and they are the first pollster to give Thompson a lead in quite some time.
I'm assuming Baldwin is going to maintain the overall lead she has had, particularly after what Thompson's son said this week about sending the President back to Kenya.
Wednesday, October 17
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PRESIDENT
Obama - 49
Romney - 48
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SENATE
Thompson - 46
Baldwin - 45
https://law.marquette.edu/poll/wp-content/uploads/2012/10/MLSP13_Toplines_Likely.pdf
chille1
(73 posts)DemocratSinceBirth
(99,716 posts)Do you think the president worked Romney the way Joe Louis worked Max Schmeling in their rematch. I thought Romney was a nanosecond away from calling President Obama the N word and Candy Crowley the B word.
I don't think anybody talked to that empty suit that way in his life.
WI_DEM
(33,497 posts)and you can depend on it.
I assume this poll was taken before Thompson's latest scandal.
Nate Silver gives Baldwin about an 80% chance of winning, so I'm hoping this doesn't change that.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)TroyD
(4,551 posts)I posted a whole bunch of positive polls yesterday, as I always do.
Don't start implying otherwise.
Response to TroyD (Reply #6)
DemocratSinceBirth This message was self-deleted by its author.
progressivebydesign
(19,458 posts)and your name seems to pop up above quite a few bad ones. And I think sometimes... how do people find the worst polls? I certainly don't see them on DU or any of the democratic sites...
Maximumnegro
(1,134 posts)So this is a rare poll these days that actually warrants a little concern. But Obama hasn't put ad time in WI I don't think so they must be confident.
Scuba
(53,475 posts)... it has a job at Marquette. It's not conducted by the University.
It's actually done by/for the Bradley Foundation, which is the evil spawn of AFP. You may ignore it.
TexasCPA
(527 posts)Obama has dropped from +8 to +2. Kerry only won WI by .4%. Hopefully, we will be back up 5 or 6 after the strong debate.
Cosmocat
(14,575 posts)that some of the romney superpacs have bought up a LOT of ad time and plan to deluge the state with negative adds against baldwin. It is pretty obvious this is one of the senate seats they are going to try to fight back.
Jennicut
(25,415 posts)Seems unlikely since no other poll since August has found a Thompson lead.
hrmjustin
(71,265 posts)DarthDem
(5,257 posts)Check its history - - it can safely be ignored as a RW shill poll. And considering that every other poll for weeks has had Baldwin ahead be several points, it can even more safely be ignored.