2016 Postmortem

WI_DEM

(33,497 posts) Wed Oct 17, 2012, 02:38 PM Oct 2012

Here is a regional breakdown between Gallup & IBD/TIPP Tracking Polls...

IBD/TIPP:

REGION
Northeast 54% 37% 8% (Obama +17)

Midwest 45% 46% 7% (Romney +1)

South 43% 50% 5% (Romney +7)

West 49% 44% 6% (Obama +5)

Gallup:
Obama Romney Margin
.
East 52 48 O+4
.
Midwest 52 48 O+4
.
South 39 61 R+22
.
West 53 47 O+6

The numbers for Gallup in the Northeast are nuts. The Northeast has New York, Massachusetts, New Jersey, Connecticut, Rhode Island, Vermont, Maine...all strong Obama states and yet Gallup wants us to believe Obama is only leading by 4 in that region?

2 replies

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Here is a regional breakdown between Gallup & IBD/TIPP Tracking Polls... (Original Post) WI_DEM Oct 2012 OP

Gallup has the East while IBD/TIPP has Northeast andym Oct 2012 #1

Geezus what the hell is Gallup polling in the South...LOL boingboinh Oct 2012 #2

andym

(5,445 posts)

1. Gallup has the East while IBD/TIPP has Northeast

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 02:41 PM

Oct 2012

Are these defined similarly? Maybe Gallup includes more states in the East....

boingboinh

(290 posts)

2. Geezus what the hell is Gallup polling in the South...LOL

Reply to WI_DEM (Original post)

Wed Oct 17, 2012, 02:45 PM

Oct 2012

Seems silly to include the South since there is no chance Obama takes any of it (maybe Florida??). Gallup seems heavily weighted on the South states. How odd.

Also their East must be including more states than IBD.

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